Latest Coronavirus - Yikes

#37,277
#37,277
evillawyer said:
The mortality rate for confirmed cases is well above 3%. The best test case we have for what actual mortality rate is is the Diamond Princess since EVERYBODY on board was tested. 700+ confirmed cases (many of which were extremely mild or asymptomatic) resulted in 8 or 9 deaths. So that tells us is probably around 1.0-1.5%. And that assumes no preventable deaths from lack of adequate medical care, which would likely happen if the hospitals were flooded with COVID patients.
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That is great in regards to the confirmed mortality rate and the diamond princess.(you are also assuming no help from Hydroxychloroquine) Mr. Burry’s tweet was in regards to the actual mortality rate being lower due to the lack of testing at this time.

Please, try to keep up. I know at times it is difficult.

Man who predicted the housing market collapse vs EL in a math competition. Who does everyone have?
 
#37,279
#37,279
RollinVol said:
I understand if you don't say. What CoC do you go to? I am a minister in the Christian Churches (not DOC).
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I am assuming you mean Christian Church and not First Christian Church, which is entirely different and more towards DOC.

I grew up CoC. Have come to some understandings in my adult studies, but have chosen to remain worshipping with CoC. My only foray outside the CoC other than occasional visits elsewhere, was a Christian Church in Lavonia, GA, as there was not a real choice option for the CoC around that area other than a couple small ones we tried and I would not go back to for various reasons. We had good options in Clemson, Anderson, and Greenville, SC across the border, but not readily accessible for regular family attendance. My take was the Christian Church was a CoC with some Baptist undertones, as they used to be the same until the CC broke away over a small handful of items. Piano, letter of membership, some terminologies, etc. But, no real deal breaker to stop attending there. Other than the preacher constantly asking me when I was moving my letter. And me reminding him we don't have letters, and that he knew that, and they are pointless because of the fact we had been attending there for a year. During that time, not even one request for me to lead prayer or serve on table. Not one thing to be involved, even though we worshipped with them for a year. They didn't offer to give back my contributions though when we quit going there. No argument or bad blood. Just tired of the game. Wife is a converted Catholic. Prior girlfriends in my life that were Baptist, or Evangelical, what not. One set of grandparents were Methodist/Baptist. Not unaware of other faiths, as some would be, or even think I might be. So, I have my reasons for remaining CoC. To answer the direct question, I have been attending Collegeside CoC in Cookeville, TN. It's a really good church. Parents attended there when dad retired and moved home. Visited with them. Moved there myself. We tried a couple places and stayed there for my son in the youth program. My wife would probably like to try somewhere else. I'm ok either way. It's a great church, but all large churches have a different set of challenges than say a 100 member church. But, they do as well as a body of believers could at managing size. Very few internal issues ever heard of publicly that I could even speak to.
 
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#37,281
#37,281
GVF said:
I am assuming you mean Christian Church and not First Christian Church, which is entirely different and more towards DOC.

I grew up CoC. Have come to some understandings in my adult studies, but have chosen to remain worshipping with CoC. My only foray outside the CoC other than occasional visits elsewhere, was a Christian Church in Lavonia, GA, as there was not a real choice option for the CoC around that area other than a couple small ones we tried and I would not go back to for various reasons. We had good options in Clemson, Anderson, and Greenville, SC across the border, but not readily accessible for regular family attendance. My take was the Christian Church was a CoC with some Baptist undertones, as they used to be the same until the CC broke away over a small handful of items. Piano, letter of membership, some terminologies, etc. But, no real deal breaker to stop attending there. Other than the preacher constantly asking me when I was moving my letter. And me reminding him we don't have letters, and that he knew that, and they are pointless because of the fact we had been attending there for a year. During that time, not even one request for me to lead prayer or serve on table. Not one thing to be involved, even though we worshipped with them for a year. They didn't offer to give back my contributions though when we quit going there. No argument or bad blood. Just tired of the game. Wife is a converted Catholic. Prior girlfriends in my life that were Baptist, or Evangelical, what not. One set of grandparents were Methodist/Baptist. Not unaware of other faiths, as some would be, or even think I might be. So, I have my reasons for remaining CoC. To answer the direct question, I have been attending Collegeside CoC in Cookeville, TN. It's a really good church. Parents attended there when dad retired and moved home. Visited with them. Moved there myself. We tried a couple places and stayed there for my son in the youth program. My wife would probably like to try somewhere else. I'm ok either way. It's a great church, but all large churches have a different set of challenges than say a 100 member church. But, they do as well as a body of believers could at managing size. Very few internal issues ever heard of publicly that I could even speak to.
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There should be a Church Politics Forum to make the Politics Forum look sane.
 
#37,287
#37,287
titansvolsfaninga said:
nope, just very observant. If it makes you feel any better, kushner is neutered ken.
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She attended Georgetown, then transferred to the Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania(Ivy League) where she graduated with honors. You can hate her for being a Trump, but calling her an "airhead Barbie" is in no way being observant, and absolutely a case of being biased.
 
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#37,288
#37,288
GVF said:
I am assuming you mean Christian Church and not First Christian Church, which is entirely different and more towards DOC.

I grew up CoC. Have come to some understandings in my adult studies, but have chosen to remain worshipping with CoC. My only foray outside the CoC other than occasional visits elsewhere, was a Christian Church in Lavonia, GA, as there was not a real choice option for the CoC around that area other than a couple small ones we tried and I would not go back to for various reasons. We had good options in Clemson, Anderson, and Greenville, SC across the border, but not readily accessible for regular family attendance. My take was the Christian Church was a CoC with some Baptist undertones, as they used to be the same until the CC broke away over a small handful of items. Piano, letter of membership, some terminologies, etc. But, no real deal breaker to stop attending there. Other than the preacher constantly asking me when I was moving my letter. And me reminding him we don't have letters, and that he knew that, and they are pointless because of the fact we had been attending there for a year. During that time, not even one request for me to lead prayer or serve on table. Not one thing to be involved, even though we worshipped with them for a year. They didn't offer to give back my contributions though when we quit going there. No argument or bad blood. Just tired of the game. Wife is a converted Catholic. Prior girlfriends in my life that were Baptist, or Evangelical, what not. One set of grandparents were Methodist/Baptist. Not unaware of other faiths, as some would be, or even think I might be. So, I have my reasons for remaining CoC. To answer the direct question, I have been attending Collegeside CoC in Cookeville, TN. It's a really good church. Parents attended there when dad retired and moved home. Visited with them. Moved there myself. We tried a couple places and stayed there for my son in the youth program. My wife would probably like to try somewhere else. I'm ok either way. It's a great church, but all large churches have a different set of challenges than say a 100 member church. But, they do as well as a body of believers could at managing size. Very few internal issues ever heard of publicly that I could even speak to.
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Thanks for your response. Sorry for the losses in your congregation from the tornado. I am of the conservative Christian Churches. correct, not DOC. There are plenty of First Christian Churches which are not DOC. just a name thing. I actually respect many CoC guys. I even use some of their commentary stuff for my sermons. I have The Fourfold Gospel by McGarvey on my desk right now for some research.
 
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#37,291
#37,291
Fun coupon VOL said:
That is great in regards to the confirmed mortality rate and the diamond princess.(you are also assuming no help from Hydroxychloroquine) Mr. Burry’s tweet was in regards to the actual mortality rate being lower due to the lack of testing at this time.

Please, try to keep up. I know at times it is difficult.

Man who predicted the housing market collapse vs EL in a math competition. Who does everyone have?
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The fact that the actual mortality rate is less than 3%--which I think everyone accepts--does not entail that the actual mortality rate is specifically .2%. Where is he getting this number? Again, the only situation we have where an entire population was tested is the Diamond Princess. The mortality rate there was over 1% of those who tested positive. And mortality rate doesn't tell you a whole lot since you also have to look at how many people are likely to get infected.
 
#37,295
#37,295
1972 Grad said:
I suppose you have a considerable amount of evidence that Kushner has screwed up a bunch of stuff?
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What would constitute “screwing stuff up”? Given that bankrupting businesses in the Trump family is considered a good business strategy by some on this board, what benchmark should we be looking for that is under that low bar?
 
#37,297
#37,297
Weezer said:
She attended Georgetown, then transferred to the Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania(Ivy League) where she graduated with honors. You can hate her for being a Trump, but calling her an "airhead Barbie" is in no way being observant, and absolutely a case of being biased.
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You do realize there's massive grade inflation at Ivy League schools, right? The most common grade in many classes is an A and the average grade an A-minus. Almost everyone graduates with honors.
 
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#37,300
#37,300
evillawyer said:
The fact that the actual mortality rate is less than 3%--which I think everyone accepts--does not entail that the actual mortality rate is specifically .2%. Where is he getting this number? Again, the only situation we have where an entire population was tested is the Diamond Princess. The mortality rate there was over 1% of those who tested positive. And mortality rate doesn't tell you a whole lot since you also have to look at how many people are likely to get infected.
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Go ask him where he is getting it. You are on twitter more than me.

What was the breakdown for age on the diamond princess?
 
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