Lunardi has us in the last 4 in as of today

#51
#51
PagingDrVol said:
The "weak SEC schedule" propaganda is proving to be a myth. There are currently 5 SEC teams in the ESPN RPI top 40...FL, KY, AR, MO, and LSU. Because those teams play each other a lot in addition to the weak sisters, their RPIs won't change much unless they lose an unexpectedly large number of their lower tier games. Also - Xavier is 24 and VA is 48. Both will be high quality wins for us. We are in with 12 conference wins, unless we lose 4 or more games to Auburn, AL, GA, and SC. Then, 13 would still do it.

You're taking their money like suckers Bleeding. (Sorry for killing your game!)
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The SEC has done a lot of damage control the last week or so. Even though their schedules are pretty soft, LSU, and Ark has continued to just keep winning. MIZZ has been a nice surprise also. The SEC has moved from 8 to 6 as a conference in RPI in the last week.
 
#52
#52
This team is just too inconsistent for me to have any confidence that they'll make the tourny
 
#53
#53
I will add a zero to that 100 bet that we don't get in with 19wins.

Anybody that thinks 19wins is going to get enough quality wins to get in the tourney needs a reality check

Keep in mind that's really only 18 wins with this Saturday not counting
 
#56
#56
BruinVol said:
I will add a zero to that 100 bet that we don't get in with 19wins.

Anybody that thinks 19wins is going to get enough quality wins to get in the tourney needs a reality check

Keep in mind that's really only 18 wins with this Saturday not counting
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To be clear, the 19 wins was not counting tusculum game.

We already have 2 quality wins, and with 7 games remaining against top 50 RPI teams, there's a few opportunities.
 
#57
#57
bleedingTNorange said:
To be clear, the 19 wins was not counting tusculum game.

We already have 2 quality wins, and with 7 games remaining against top 50 RPI teams, there's a few opportunities.
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19total no shot

20 total wins puts an enormous amount of pressure on the SEC tourney and without winning a few games there won't be enough IMO.

21(regular season) total wins would put us just on the correct side of the bubble IMO.

22(reg season)total wins before we will be able to talk about seeds and not bumbles being busted.
 
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#58
#58
BruinVol said:
19total no shot

20 total wins puts an enormous amount of pressure on the SEC tourney and without winning a few games there won't be enough IMO.

21(regular season) total wins would put us just on the correct side of the bubble IMO.

22(reg season)total wins before we will be able to talk about seeds and not bumbles being busted.
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An expected RPI of 50 and NO SHOT?

I'll stick with experts opinions, sorry bruin.
 
#62
#62
bleedingTNorange said:
Lmao, we are 8-4, having what most would call a bad start, are still projected in the dance...and you declare, "we MAY have a chance"?

Agenda much?

This team is dancing, I would be willing to bet anything on this, any takers? Gotta get one last bet in before the new year, my resolution is gonna be no more betting!
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I would take that bet... if I weren't a Vol fan.

Why would I bet against my own team?

I want them to make it but if I weren't a fan, I'd bet against them making it. I'd also bet on Martin being fired.
 
#63
#63
Please list the quality wins we would have with a 19-12 record.



Anybody that thinks that's going to be good enough for an at large also needs to add the losses to that list.

No shot
ZERO that 19 gets us in
 
#66
#66
BruinVol said:
Please list the quality wins we would have with a 19-12 record.



Anybody that thinks that's going to be good enough for an at large also needs to add the losses to that list.

No shot
ZERO that 19 gets us in
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I kinda agree with this. 19 wins means 10-8 in conference and a first round loss in the SecT. I was trying earlier to figure out what combo of wins/losses would give us enough good wins without bad losses to fit this scenario with us getting in. I think the only way we could do this is win @Ky, @Fla, @Mizzou, @LSU, and sweep GA, SC, Aub, and aTm, while losing the home games versus the rest, and the remaining games versus the mid-tier teams home and away, so we finish in a 3-4 way tie for 4th in the conference. Then our SecT loss would have to be against Ark or MU. Not likely that all that hits. Getting to 11-5 changes everything.
 
#67
#67
TOP said:
I would take that bet... if I weren't a Vol fan.

Why would I bet against my own team?

I want them to make it but if I weren't a fan, I'd bet against them making it. I'd also bet on Martin being fired.
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There's plenty of people making the bet, the waters fine, c'mon in.
 
#68
#68
Despite the Negative Naybob Nostradamus projections of all those that believe we are doomed to failure, I still feel like we will be there come tourney time this year. Nothing concrete to back it up, just a gut feeling. I think these guys can play with about anybody that they put their minds to playing and the recent players-only meeting I believe will help out team chemistry. If these guys start holding each other accountable, then they are gonna start playing like we thought they could before the season started. I could always be wrong, but I would rather believe positively about our team than to wallow and pi$$ and moan about it.
 
#69
#69
bleedingTNorange said:
It dropped like half a point, could've been from the result of one game last night.
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It was 38. Something last time I looked so its dropped almost two points meaning its really fluid and hardly accurate at this time. This drop was with us winning also.
 
#70
#70
BruinVol said:
Please list the quality wins we would have with a 19-12 record.



Anybody that thinks that's going to be good enough for an at large also needs to add the losses to that list.

No shot
ZERO that 19 gets us in
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Good Wins: (N) Xavier, vs. Virginia
Bad Losses: (N) UTEP

19-11(11-7)
2 good wins
1 bad loss
SOS #35
RPI of 50



Check out Oklahoma's resume from last year:

20-10 (11-7)
3 good wins
2 bad losses
SOS #34
RPI of 48



Pretty similar right? Oklahoma got in as a 10 seed.
 
#71
#71
PagingDrVol said:
I kinda agree with this. 19 wins means 10-8 in conference and a first round loss in the SecT. I was trying earlier to figure out what combo of wins/losses would give us enough good wins without bad losses to fit this scenario with us getting in. I think the only way we could do this is win @Ky, @Fla, @Mizzou, @LSU, and sweep GA, SC, Aub, and aTm, while losing the home games versus the rest, and the remaining games versus the mid-tier teams home and away, so we finish in a 3-4 way tie for 4th in the conference. Then our SecT loss would have to be against Ark or MU. Not likely that all that hits. Getting to 11-5 changes everything.
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19 wins not counting tusculum.

Therefore it's 19-11 (11-7) In conference, or if you wanna include tusculum, 20-11.
 
#72
#72
volbeast33 said:
It was 38. Something last time I looked so its dropped almost two points meaning its really fluid and hardly accurate at this time. This drop was with us winning also.
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That's not at all what it means. It means, the RPI can change some, but unless some crazy unforeseen even happens, or every team we've played losses out...that number is going to be close.

On the flip side, if say UTEP ends up being good, and a few others are better than projections, that number will rise for us.
 
#73
#73
johnnybravo said:
The SEC has done a lot of damage control the last week or so. Even though their schedules are pretty soft, LSU, and Ark has continued to just keep winning. MIZZ has been a nice surprise also. The SEC has moved from 8 to 6 as a conference in RPI in the last week.
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LSU's schedule isn't bad. They beat UMass the first game of the year, and UMass is #1. They also played Memphis and Butler. LSU will really help the SEC.
 
#74
#74
bleedingTNorange said:
That's not at all what it means. It means, the RPI can change some, but unless some crazy unforeseen even happens, or every team we've played losses out...that number is going to be close.

On the flip side, if say UTEP ends up being good, and a few others are better than projections, that number will rise for us.
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How's NCST been doing?
 
#75
#75
bleedingTNorange said:
Good Wins: (N) Xavier, vs. Virginia
Bad Losses: (N) UTEP

19-11(11-7)
2 good wins
1 bad loss
SOS #35
RPI of 50



Check out Oklahoma's resume from last year:

20-10 (11-7)
3 good wins
2 bad losses
SOS #34
RPI of 48



Pretty similar right? Oklahoma got in as a 10 seed.
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Wake doesn't qualify as a good win?
 
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