There is no correlation at all between a player's talent and the risk of him getting in trouble on a college campus. When will people stop posting this kind of idiocy?
I never said that there is a direct correlation between talent level and a kid's character. If you keep imagining that people are saying that when they have not, then it will likely never end for you, SGM.
There are undoubtedly high character/high talent guys and there are undoubtedly low character/moderate talent guys. No correlation there, I agree. But the low character/moderate talent guys are not really at issue.
Why? Because if a staff recognizes that a guy represents a relatively high risk and low/lower reward to a program, then he never gets a sniff of a scholarship at a top level D1 program. The issue of correctly balancing character to talent is only really relevant at the top talent levels to a team like UT, because they don't need to take any significant risks with the guys that are not outstanding character guys at the moderate talent levels. So, the
average 3 star guy doesn't have higher character, but the typical 3 star guy
that a top-level program will offer a scholarship to better have his off-field life in order.
So, let's say (sake of argument) that 25% of all recruits have character problems and that isn't influenced by talent level (your premise, which I agree with). If there are 50 five stars, 150 four stars, and 750 three stars nationally, then there are about 13 five stars, 38 four stars, and 189 three stars that represent higher character-based risks.
To a program like UT, you eliminate ALL 189 three stars, because their talent isn't high enough to offset the risk and there are plenty of other guys at that talent level to choose from. Those guys go play for Memphis or ULaLa, or somebody. But, as a top program who needs outstanding talnet, you may not be willing to eliminate all 13 five stars and 38 four stars - you might be willing to lower the bar on character for some of them. That's where the character vs. talent balance is relevant.
If a top level program is having as many on-campus character problems (relative to overall numbers) from 3 star level recruits as from 5 star level recruits, then they aren't doing their homework right. With that said, it is an imperfect process, and there will always be exceptions.