Official Bubble Watch Thread

#876
#876
iKrager said:
I doubt we lose to Mizzou/LSU or any other bottom tier team. Our team is too well coached to drop games like that honestly. We haven't had a bad loss yet and I can't imagine we'll have one now.
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I doubt it too, just trying to imagine the most confusing scenario.
 
#881
#881
But Palm also has Michigan State and Ohio State in with 10 losses. And he has Clemson above Tennessee on the bubble at 13-10 and Clemson is 3-8 in ACC play.

Palm is a hack.
 
#882
#882
GatorsGators said:
But Palm also has Michigan State and Ohio State in with 10 losses. And he has Clemson above Tennessee on the bubble at 13-10 and Clemson is 3-8 in ACC play.

Palm is a hack.
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All credibility gone with 3-8 conference record, 10 loss team in front of UT. Also, Michigan State and Ohio State both stink and have beaten nobody. In fact, big ten bores me to death.
 
#883
#883
VolGee4 said:
I am not sure you understand what I have been saying. Throw their records out, and I believe a win is given the same weight regardless of who you play. That is, if all games are at home. It doesn't matter who you beat. Therefore, the records for Missouri and Alabama will both be thrown into the overall "pot" of our opponents' records. Standing alone, losing to Missouri at home is terrible. In fact, beating them doesn't really help either. But if you take both Missouri and Alabama at home, and ask which one is better to beat, I don't think it matters much. They are both at home, you split 1-1, and both of their records get used. That's the way I understand the formula.
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That might be right as far as RPI goes, but the problem is that the tournament field isn't picked entirely based on RPI. You have committee members factoring in bad losses and great wins. And a loss at home to Missouri would be devastating in that it would be among the worst losses on the board, meaning it would stand a very good chance of being the reason we're left out, especially if everything else is a wash. So maybe by RPI, Missouri loss/Alabama win is pretty much the same as Missouri win/Alabama loss. But by the eye test, that first one is easily worse, and might very well wind up sinking the whole resume, whereas the second one won't elicit much reaction either way. Same thing in the other direction if you perform the same thought experiment with a Kentucky win and an Alabama loss vs. a Kentucky loss and an Alabama win.
 
#886
#886
nirwin said:
That might be right as far as RPI goes, but the problem is that the tournament field isn't picked entirely based on RPI. You have committee members factoring in bad losses and great wins. And a loss at home to Missouri would be devastating in that it would be among the worst losses on the board, meaning it would stand a very good chance of being the reason we're left out, especially if everything else is a wash. So maybe by RPI, Missouri loss/Alabama win is pretty much the same as Missouri win/Alabama loss. But by the eye test, that first one is easily worse, and might very well wind up sinking the whole resume, whereas the second one won't elicit much reaction either way. Same thing in the other direction if you perform the same thought experiment with a Kentucky win and an Alabama loss vs. a Kentucky loss and an Alabama win.
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Yes, I understand that. But it has been known that the RPI alone used to be a very instrumental tool in selecting at-large teams. I was just merely pointing out that I don't believe the RPI will be effected much as long as we hit a certain number of wins, regardless of who the wins are against. I have said for years that the RPI is flawed, and I am guessing that is why the NCAA announced that they will be using other metrics starting next year.
 
#887
#887
Would be awesome to land at 19-12. Would likely make us a 4 seed in the SECT and pretty much lock it up regardless of what happens in the SECT
 
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#889
#889
Updated list, added Minnesota and VCU, removed Wichita State as they're now the MVC favorites for an auto bid...

Minnesota
VCU
Northwestern
Oklahoma State
Kansas State
California
Iowa State
TCU
Miami
Virginia Tech
Syracuse
Marquette
Michigan State
Tennessee
Indiana
Seton Hall
Clemson
---------------------------
Arkansas
Rhode Island
Michigan
Utah
Illinois State
Nevada
Boise State
Houston
Wake Forest
Ohio State
Alabama
Illinois
Memphis
Auburn
Vanderbilt
 
#890
#890
I think if we win tomorrow we are making the tourney. Lose tomorrow and we are on the outside looking in. Tomorrow is that pivotal IMO
 
#891
#891
Win 5 of the next 7 and we're in.
4 maybe - need some help
3 no.
 
#894
#894
Games to Watch Saturday:

Georgia vs. TENNESSEE

Minnesota vs. Rutgers
NC State vs. Wake Forest
Kansas State vs. West Virginia
Seton Hall vs. St. John's
Marquette vs. Georgetown
Kentucky vs. Alabama
Syracuse vs. Pittsburgh
Clemson vs. Duke
Penn State vs. Illinois
Miami vs. Louisville
TCU vs. Baylor
Kansas vs. Texas Tech
Vanderbilt vs. Missouri
Texas vs. Oklahoma State
Ohio State vs. Maryland
Washington vs. Utah
Boston College vs. Georgia Tech
Auburn vs. Ole Miss
Iowa vs. Michigan State
Oklahoma vs. Iowa State
Houston vs. Tulsa
Air Force vs. Boise State
Charlotte vs. MTSU
Davidson vs. VCU
Arkansas vs. LSU
California vs. Arizona
 
#896
#896
bleedingTNorange said:
Games to Watch Saturday:

Georgia vs. TENNESSEE

Minnesota vs. Rutgers
NC State vs. Wake Forest
Kansas State vs. West Virginia
Seton Hall vs. St. John's
Marquette vs. Georgetown
Kentucky vs. Alabama
Syracuse vs. Pittsburgh
Clemson vs. Duke
Penn State vs. Illinois
Miami vs. Louisville
TCU vs. Baylor
Kansas vs. Texas Tech
Vanderbilt vs. Missouri
Texas vs. Oklahoma State
Ohio State vs. Maryland
Washington vs. Utah
Boston College vs. Georgia Tech
Auburn vs. Ole Miss
Iowa vs. Michigan State
Oklahoma vs. Iowa State
Houston vs. Tulsa
Air Force vs. Boise State
Charlotte vs. MTSU
Davidson vs. VCU
Arkansas vs. LSU
California vs. Arizona
Click to expand...

Marquette and Seton Hall down double digits at the half
 
#897
#897
Don't know if this has been posted: Feb 10

Joe Lunardi’s ESPN bracket has Tennessee basketball as a No. 12 seed and one of the last four teams in along with the Arkansas Razorbacks, Indiana Hoosiers, and Seton Hall Pirates. He has them playing Indiana in a play-in game.

The USA TODAY bracket has Tennessee basketball more firmly in, as a No. 10 seed.

The Fox Sports bracket is the same way, with the Vols as a No. 10 seed.
 
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