Official Bubble Watch Thread

#126
#126
bleedingTNorange said:
With our SOS we are gonna have that going for us unlike some teams in years pasts, here's the expected RPI for each record, remember Chaminade doesn't count as a win...

21-9: 20
20-10: 27
19-11: 31
18-12: 39
17-13: 48
16-14: 59


Since 2011 when field expanded to 68, highest RPI P5 team left out of field, and their SOS and highest RPI P5 team to make the field and their SOS...RPI/SOS:

2011: OUT: Boston College 58/38 IN: Southern Cal 67/28
2012: OUT: West Virginia 57/27 IN: Virginia 53/75
2013: OUT: Kentucky 57/62 IN: California 54/22
2014: OUT: Missouri 44/55 IN: Iowa 62/45
2015: OUT: Stanford 59/49 IN: Indiana 61/52
2016: OUT: Florida 55/22 IN: Vanderbilt 62/30

Avg: IN: 55/42 OUT: 60/42

So RPI inside of 55 with our SOS and we are very likely in, RPI between 55-65 and we would have a chance but need a lot of help.

So with that said, 17-13(10-8) 1-1 in the SECT and I think we are safely in.
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17 wins looks like a lock to me
 
#127
#127
iKrager said:
I'm pretty sure Cuonzo's 2nd year team got snubbed with 19 or 20 wins, no? AND we won like our last 6/8 games back then IIRC
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Every year there's talk of tourney "snubs" from those who thought the teams were locks. Our tourney chances aren't 100% with 19 wins. North 50%, but I can't say they'd be a lock. Also, possibility of bid-stealers, etc.
 
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#128
#128
college-basketball-bubble-talk-heats-calendar-turns-february
 
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#130
#130
golfballs said:
Every year there's talk of tourney "snubs" from those who thought the teams were locks. Our tourney chances aren't 100% with 19 wins. North 50%, but I can't say they'd be a lock. Also, possibility of bid-stealers, etc.
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At 19-11 Tennessee would be the biggest snub in NCAAT history since its expansion
 
#131
#131
We have a chance to go deep in the sec tourney. Depends on what happens down the road. Making it to the championship game would almost make us a lock,IMO.
 
#133
#133
bleedingTNorange said:
Only thing with 17-13 that scares me is if we went 0-1 in SECT, Jerry Palm mentioned a stat that only 1 team has got in not being at least 4 games over .500, we would be 17-14 so that would scare me.
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As long as the loss isnt to LSU:Mizzu in the sec tourney I think that's good.
 
#136
#136
BigZiti09 said:
BTO or anyone - are we showing up in any bracket projections yet?
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Quite a few, bracket matrix which has 89 brackets from across the internet has Tennessee in 29 of them, which has them has a composite of first four out. If you look at the most recent brackets though they have Tennessee a bit higher.
 
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#138
#138
What about Quality wins? Have to think that wins vs. Kentucky and Kansas State are better than most bubble teams. Bubble is pretty weak this year.

Winning that upcoming game @South Carolina would be so huge
 
#140
#140
GBO_V4L said:
What about Quality wins? Have to think that wins vs. Kentucky and Kansas State are better than most bubble teams. Bubble is pretty weak this year.

Winning that upcoming game @South Carolina would be so huge
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At this point, it's about racking up top 100 RPI wins. Auburn, Vandy, UGA, OM, and Bama are all top 100.
 
#142
#142
2-1 games Bubble watch


Georgia Tech @ Clemson. Both bubble type resumes. I think its best for us to just have GTech keep winning and that becomes a feather in our cap going forward.
Syracuse @ NC State. Pull for the Orange. NC State is in the next four out on the Matrix. Syracuse is coming on a bit but much further down the pecking order.
FSU @ Miami. Pull for FSU. Miami is an 11 seed on the Matrix and a last four bye team in Lunardis bracket.
TCU @ Kansas State. Pull for Kansas State. These teams are pretty much in the same position. We should pull for Kansas State the rest of the way. Just like Ga. Tech. Gifts that keep giving.
Texas Tech @ Texas. Pull for Texas. Texas Tech is directly behind Tennessee in the Matrix and in Lunardis first four out.
Baylor @ Kansas. Just kidding...
Marquette @ St. Johns. Pull for St. Johns. Marquette is pretty well in for now. But their RPI is mid 50s. So they can't rest. A couple bad losses could put them right back on the ledge.
Seton Hall @ Xavier. Pull for X. Seton Hall is an 11 seed on the Matrix and in Lunardis last four out. We don't want them picking up a big road win here.
Penn State @ Indiana. Pull for PSU. Somehow after beating Kansas and UNC early Indiana has played their way to the bubble. They are 84 in the RPI.
Bama @ Arkansas. Pull for Arkansas. Arkansas is solidly in right now and Bama is right outside the Matrix. Its best we move past them in the SEC standings.
Richmond @ VCU. Pull for Richmond. VCU is in Lunardis last four byes. Richmond is still pretty far below us in the pecking order I think. VCU probably will get in, but still a couple three losses and it could get interesting.
 
#143
#143
Bump for those who may have missed it...bolded is the team we want to win
bleedingTNorange said:
Wednesday's Games to Watch:

Penn State vs. Indiana
Alabama vs. Arkansas
Georgia Tech vs. Clemson
Syracuse vs. NC State
Wichita State vs. Drake
Richmond vs. VCU
Villanova vs. Providence
Marquette vs. St. John's
TCU vs. Kansas State
Florida State vs. Miami
Virginia vs. Virginia Tech
South Carolna vs. LSU
Texas Tech vs. Texas
Seton Hall vs. Xavier
Nevada vs. Utah State
Click to expand...
 
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