Official Bubble Watch Thread

#176
#176
whobethis16 said:
Is it a "if the tournament started today" deal, or is he thinking "up until now, and with what they have left, this is what will happen"? If it's the latter, then he thinks this team will lose one that they shouldn't, knocking them out. I know a lot of them think in terms of "if the tournament started today", but I don't know if that's how all of them think.
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If the tourney started today we would be in. So yes he is saying we will go 5-5 in the next 10 and miss the cut.
 
#177
#177
I doubt it happens,but if k-state happens to knock off baylor, would have to think that raises our rpi HUGE,as well sos.
 
#181
#181
rocky200663 said:
If the tourney started today we would be in. So yes he is saying we will go 5-5 in the next 10 and miss the cut.
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It's just early...teams less than 4 games over .500 don't get in, we are 12-9...but P5 teams with a RPI inside of 50 don't get left out, we are at 38...so right now we just are an odd case, but something will give. Either we will get to 17-13 which then puts us 4 games over .500, or we won't and then our RPI will be outside of the 50 mark.
 
#182
#182
Dallasbowlin said:
I don't see how Kansas state defeating Baylor @baylor doesn't help us any.
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Because you don't understand the RPI formula, I know that sounds harsh but it's the truth. It would help us in the perception of our win against them, but as far as our RPI and SOS it won't impact us anymore than any other team they beat.
 
#183
#183
bleedingTNorange said:
Because you don't understand the RPI formula, I know that sounds harsh but it's the truth. It would help us in the perception of our win against them, but as far as our RPI and SOS it won't impact us anymore than any other team they beat.
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It's a broken system IMO. I don't see the point in rpi. Use strength of schedule and quality wins. No use in over complicating things.
 
#184
#184
Dallasbowlin said:
It's a broken system IMO. I don't see the point in rpi. Use strength of schedule and quality wins. No use in over complicating things.
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RPI isn't complicated. It's just a simple formula of winning percentages. By incorporating opponent's and opponent's opponents's winning percentages it includes SOS and quality wins in the formulation.
 
#185
#185
Dallasbowlin said:
It's a broken system IMO. I don't see the point in rpi. Use strength of schedule and quality wins. No use in over complicating things.
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They use those things as well, but again, Kansas State beating Baylor doesn't impact our SOS anymore than if they were to beat anyone.
 
#188
#188
So better scenario for us? :)
A) We play and beat Missouri bad
B) It snows that day and the game is cancelled

That is one terrible bball team
 
#190
#190
Tennessee has probably 2-3 losses to spare for the rest of the season (Depending which losses of course) and probably needs one more good win. Other than Kentucky, we don't have any top 40 RPI wins (K State, Vandy, GT were all alright, border top 50) but we will probably need one top 50 RPI W to secure a spot.
 
#191
#191
We just got a little love from Fran Fraschilla on ESPN in the Michigan St/Nebraska game.
 
#193
#193
If Tennessee can end the season with 3 more losses, go 19-12, and pick up 1 win in the tournament, then I think we should feel good about our chances.

However, we have nothing to lose in the games @South Carolina and @Kentucky so if we steal one in either of those games, I think we move into the "Last Four Byes" category.
 
#194
#194
Is there any way that GT or ETSU would retroactively count as quality wins? Any chance those teams can get to sub 50 RPI?
 
#196
#196
bleedingTNorange said:
It's just early...teams less than 4 games over .500 don't get in, we are 12-9...but P5 teams with a RPI inside of 50 don't get left out, we are at 38...so right now we just are an odd case, but something will give. Either we will get to 17-13 which then puts us 4 games over .500, or we won't and then our RPI will be outside of the 50 mark.
Click to expand...

The Vols are 13-9
 
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