Official Bubble Watch Thread

#1,576
#1,576
vols 30 said:
They had 8 conference wins before tonight. All they needed was 1 more win to finish no worse than 9-9 in the ACC with a win earlier over North Carolina

I think Lunardi had them as a 8 or 9 seed before tonight's game
Click to expand...

They needed one more win to be assured a spot. They got it so what is the big deal?

It wasn't hard to look at their schedule and think they might tank it.
 
#1,577
#1,577
vols 30 said:
They had 8 conference wins before tonight. All they needed was 1 more win to finish no worse than 9-9 in the ACC with a win earlier over North Carolina

I think Lunardi had them as a 8 or 9 seed before tonight's game
Click to expand...

Well, apparently only 2 of those 8 conference wins were against the RPI top 50. Unbalanced schedules make conference records less meaningful. Two of their wins are against NC State, who is ranked 108 in RPI. If they hadn't won tonight, they could realistically have ended 8-10.
 
#1,578
#1,578
vols 30 said:
They had 8 conference wins before tonight. All they needed was 1 more win to finish no worse than 9-9 in the ACC with a win earlier over North Carolina

I think Lunardi had them as a 8 or 9 seed before tonight's game
Click to expand...

And with their schedule 1 game wasn't a given, that's all anyone was saying
 
#1,579
#1,579
BruinVol said:
They needed one more win to be assured a spot. They got it so what is the big deal?

It wasn't hard to look at their schedule and think they might tank it.
Click to expand...

I think winning 1 out of their last 4 was realistic. Besides The game at Duke, they had a decent chance at getting at least 1 win
 
#1,582
#1,582
Updated...removed Iowa State and Miami as I feel with tonight's wins both are safe, Texas Tech with the loss is out...IMO

USC
Northwestern
California
Arkansas
Michigan
Michigan State
Kansas State
TCU
Seton Hall
Tennessee
Wake Forest
Illinois State
---------------------------
Providence
Marquette
Pittsburgh
Georgia Tech
Clemson
Georgia
Illinois
Alabama
Vanderbilt
Georgetown
Syracuse
Indiana
Ole Miss
Ohio State
Penn State
Auburn
Boise State
Nevada
Rhode Island
 
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#1,583
#1,583
bleedingTNorange said:
Updated...removed Iowa State and Miami as I feel with tonight's wins both are safe, Texas Tech with the loss is out...IMO

California
Arkansas
Michigan
Michigan State
Kansas State
TCU
Seton Hall
Tennessee
Wake Forest
Illinois State
---------------------------
Providence
Marquette
Pittsburgh
Georgia Tech
Clemson
Georgia
Illinois
Alabama
Vanderbilt
Georgetown
Syracuse
Click to expand...

Expected records per rpiforecast...

California: 20-10(11-7) RPI:44 SOS:47
Arkansas: 22-9(11-7) RPI:38 SOS:61
Michigan: 19-12(9-9) RPI:49 SOS:35
Michigan State: 18-13(10-8) RPI:46 SOS:11
Kansas State: 19-12(8-10) RPI:61 SOS:58
TCU: 17-13(7-11) RPI:61 SOS:29
Seton Hall: 18-12(8-10) RPI:57 SOS:43
Tennessee: 17-13(10-8) RPI:48 SOS:16
Wake Forest: 16-14(7-11) RPI:43 SOS:13
Illinois State: 24-5(17-1) RPI:32 SOS:137
------------------------------------------------------------------
Providence: 18-13(8-10) RPI:74 SOS:53
Marquette: 18-12(9-9) RPI:69 SOS:59
Pittsburgh: 16-15(5-13) RPI:61 SOS:5
Georgia Tech: 16-14(8-10) RPI:84 SOS:45
Clemson: 17-13(7-11) RPI:63 SOS:23
Georgia: 16-14(8-10) RPI:56 SOS:21
Illinois: 16-14(7-11) RPI:75 SOS:24
Alabama: 18-12(11-7) RPI:78 SOS:71
Vanderbilt: 15-16(8-10) RPI:55 SOS:1
Georgetown: 16-15(7-11) RPI:66 SOS:12
Syracuse: 17-14(9-9) RPI:85 SOS:42
 
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#1,584
#1,584
Tuesday's Games to Watch:

Rhode Island vs. La Salle
Clemson vs. Virginia Tech
Northwestern vs. Illinois
NC State vs. Georgia Tech
Evansville vs. Wichita State
St. John's vs. Marquette
 
#1,585
#1,585
bleedingTNorange said:
Expected records per rpiforecast...

California: 20-10(11-7) RPI:44 SOS:47
Arkansas: 22-9(11-7) RPI:38 SOS:61
Kansas State: 19-12(8-10) RPI:61 SOS:58
Michigan: 19-12(9-9) RPI:49 SOS:35
TCU: 17-13(7-11) RPI:61 SOS:29
Michigan State: 18-13(10-8) RPI:46 SOS:11
Seton Hall: 18-12(8-10) RPI:57 SOS:43
Tennessee: 17-13(10-8) RPI:48 SOS:16
Wake Forest: 16-14(7-11) RPI:43 SOS:13
Illinois State: 24-5(17-1) RPI:32 SOS:137
------------------------------------------------------------------
Providence: 18-13(8-10) RPI:74 SOS:53
Marquette: 18-12(9-9) RPI:69 SOS:59
Pittsburgh: 16-15(5-13) RPI:61 SOS:5
Georgia Tech: 16-14(8-10) RPI:84 SOS:45
Clemson: 17-13(7-11) RPI:63 SOS:23
Georgia: 16-14(8-10) RPI:56 SOS:21
Illinois: 16-14(7-11) RPI:75 SOS:24
Alabama: 18-12(11-7) RPI:78 SOS:71
Vanderbilt: 15-16(8-10) RPI:55 SOS:1
Georgetown: 16-15(7-11) RPI:66 SOS:12
Syracuse: 17-14(9-9) RPI:85 SOS:42
Click to expand...

Since when did we get projected to win 3/4?

It has been being 16-14
 
#1,586
#1,586
BruinVol said:
Since when did we get projected to win 3/4?

It has been being 16-14
Click to expand...

Apologies, I had copied and pasted it from previous pages and it didn't post my new post with it...

Had added that for sake of discussion we all are in agreement 17-13 is minimum needed, so for this to be relevant we are assuming Tennessee hits that mark so that's what I was posting it as. Fwiw they have a 37.6% chances to go 2-2 and 35.5% chance to go 3-1 per Sagarin.
 
#1,587
#1,587
bleedingTNorange said:
Apologies, I had copied and pasted it from previous pages and it didn't post my new post with it...

Had added that for sake of discussion we all are in agreement 17-13 is minimum needed, so for this to be relevant we are assuming Tennessee hits that mark so that's what I was posting it as. Fwiw they have a 37.6% chances to go 2-2 and 35.5% chance to go 3-1 per Sagarin.
Click to expand...

No problem.

I am starting to think 16-14 and 2 wins in the SEC might do it.
 
#1,594
#1,594
bleedingTNorange said:
Updated...removed Iowa State and Miami as I feel with tonight's wins both are safe, Texas Tech with the loss is out...IMO

California
Arkansas
Michigan
Michigan State
Kansas State
TCU
Seton Hall
Tennessee
Wake Forest
Illinois State
---------------------------
Providence
Marquette
Pittsburgh
Georgia Tech
Clemson
Georgia
Illinois
Alabama
Vanderbilt
Georgetown
Syracuse
Click to expand...

On Basilio Jerry "Palm said Tennessee is currently battling the likes of Syracuse, Pitt, Wake, Georgia Tech, Bama, Arkansas, Ole Miss, Michigan, Michigan State, Indiana, Cal, Kansas State, TCU, Texas Tech, Seton Hall, Providence and Marquette among others for the bottom of the field."

That was before Texas Tech lost to Iowa State.
 
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#1,597
#1,597
If Tennessee makes the NCAA tournament, Barnes has got to be a strong favorite for SEC COY of the year right? Gotta think White and Martin are the other favorites.
 
#1,600
#1,600
Should be a good day today, according to the palm reader we need Kentucky to beat Missouri, which I give that a 95% chance of happening, we need Georgia tech to beat nc state, I give that a 70% chance, and South Carolina needs to beat Florida, which I give a 50% chance of happening. If all three of those happen, and we win tomorrow, we should be back in the top 50 rpi, what I understand. We are barely out at 51 right now.
 
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