Official Bubble Watch Thread

#202
#202
BTO you think it's worth adding Mtsu to the list? RPI is in the 30s and I am sure it will fall but if they wins out only to lose in the tourney they might steal a bid.

If they were to lose just one game before the tourney that chance ends imo.
 
#203
#203
BruinVol said:
BTO you think it's worth adding Mtsu to the list? RPI is in the 30s and I am sure it will fall but if they wins out only to lose in the tourney they might steal a bid.

If they were to lose just one game before the tourney that chance ends imo.
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That's a good one to keep an eye on for sure
 
#205
#205
vols 30 said:
The southern conference is usually a week before the SEC tourney. If they win it, that's got to help UT
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Them or UTC winning it would be best...if ETSU was to win out they could potentially crack the top 50 RPI so might be worth rooting for them in any matchup against UTC.
 
#213
#213
Updated seed list:

Arkansas
Virginia Tech
Michigan State
VCU
Oklahoma State
Iowa State
Clemson
Kansas State
Marquette
Miami
Indiana
California
Tennessee
TCU
Michigan
---------------------------
Wichita State
Syracuse
Wake Forest
Seton Hall
Georgetown
Rhode Island
Utah
Texas Tech
Georgia Tech
Nc State
 
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#216
#216
Do we really need to discuss the fact that these PROJECTIONS are just that? We are certainly playing well enough and we have good enough RPI & SOS to warrant dancing discussion. However, with 9 losses, our trajectory is definitely not a clear shot to the tourney, especially with a roster full of freahman.

Therefore, one could easily make a valid argument for either case. If we had a couple more or less losses, then our trajectory would be much more predictable.

My advice, like BTO has been saying all along (albeit more politely), shut up, enjoy the ride, and see what happens. It's certainly pointless to hold your breath or get your panties in a wad at this point. There's still plenty of time for us to dominate, tank, or play mediocre; any of those three being completely plausible.

GBO
 
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#217
#217
dropped to 35 in the kenpom rankings, number 1 sos still.

edit: 38th RPI according to ncaa
 
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#218
#218
BruinVol said:
And the biggest reason most have us out is the +\- on record?
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100% IMO...

If Vols win Saturday I would expect them to make a big jump...check out the average seed, Vols ranked well ahead of the 2 teams in front of them, and are actually ranked higher than 5 teams IN the field...so if they had the needed number of "votes" they would not only be in the field, but in as a 9/10 seed.
 
#220
#220
Chris4Vols22 said:
Do we really need to discuss the fact that these PROJECTIONS are just that? We are certainly playing well enough and we have good enough RPI & SOS to warrant dancing discussion. However, with 9 losses, our trajectory is definitely not a clear shot to the tourney, especially with a roster full of freahman.

Therefore, one could easily make a valid argument for either case. If we had a couple more or less losses, then our trajectory would be much more predictable.

My advice, like BTO has been saying all along (albeit more politely), shut up, enjoy the ride, and see what happens. It's certainly pointless to hold your breath or get your panties in a wad at this point. There's still plenty of time for us to dominate, tank, or play mediocre; any of those three being completely plausible.

GBO
Click to expand...

My thinking as well. I'm going to hope for the best but prepare for the worst. You just never know with a young team like this, and basketball is a fickle whore. I just don't want to see an epic meltdown if they lose a few "gimmes" and miss the tourney.

I would hate to see them be a victim of their own success. What they've done to this point is more than anyone expected, and we should all be proud.

My point being, enjoy the ride, there is a lot of basketball to be played. Anything could happen.
 
#221
#221
bleedingTNorange said:
100% IMO...

If Vols win Saturday I would expect them to make a big jump...check out the average seed, Vols ranked well ahead of the 2 teams in front of them, and are actually ranked higher than 5 teams IN the field...so if they had the needed number of "votes" they would not only be in the field, but in as a 9/10 seed.
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So if the +\- is trumping the RPI/sos here I don't quiet understand why you aren't giving Bama a better shot at 19-13 and 12-6.
It would appear to me they RPIs wouldn't be that far apart from a tennessee at 17-14 and Bama at 19-13.
 
#223
#223
BruinVol said:
So if the +\- is trumping the RPI/sos here I don't quiet understand why you aren't giving Bama a better shot at 19-13 and 12-6.
It would appear to me they RPIs wouldn't be that far apart from a tennessee at 17-14 and Bama at 19-13.
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I assume you mean Bama 19-11 and Tennessee 17-13? In that scenario...

Bama RPI: 61 SOS: 71
Tenn. RPI: 48 SOS: 17

That's why.
 
#225
#225
BruinVol said:
Yea 19-11.

In that case I think Bama would go if they beat us.
It would all come down to that one game imo.
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Vanderbilt is more of a threat.
If we both finish with 17 wins, they would have a better rpi. don't think 17 would get either team in though.
2 in SECT might land them on the bubble.
I don't see 6 teams getting in from SEC.
 
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