Shaun1985
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None of that matters. We don't want a bye. Assuming we can beat Missouri, what we want is a 20th win against a relatively 'easy' team. Then, a 21st win against somebody not named Florida, then a semi-final appearance with 21 wins. Winning that one would be gravy, but I think we make the tourney with 2 SECT wins. So, it's actually better for us not to get the SECT bye.
Why? Beating a bottle-barrel SEC team isn't going to help us at all.
Yes it will. Our biggest weakness on our resume is lack of wins, beating anyone at this point will make us look better. You compare our resume and it's better than say UVA who is in, but our total wins are hurting us. Get to 20 and we are in imo
Shaun, you need to revisit the standings and read the SEC tie-break policy. If Ole Miss loses, there is no way we get a double-bye.
I think the only scenario in which Ole Miss can lose and we'll still get a double bye is if Kentucky loses out, Bama loses, and we beat Missouri.
That would cause a 5-way tie for 2nd. And the record among those teams are as follows:
UK - 3-2
Bama - 2-3
Ole Miss - 4-2
UT - 3-4
Mizzou - 2-3
We would come in 3rd among those teams which would result in a 4 seed and a double-bye
There is the confusion then. I was counting a 4 way tie for 3rd. And in that case, it gives UT 2 wins, Mizzou 2 wins with us winning the head to head matchup. Ole Miss clearly has the better record but in that scenario, Ole Miss and Tennessee both get byes. The only way we have a 5 way tie is Kentucky going 0-2. Am I missing something with the tie breaker policy? I thought it was head to head matchups in a two way tie, combined record with all that's tied and then the record against the division leader.
We could still get a 3 seed.
If Ole Miss beats LSU, UK loses out, Bama loses to Georgia, and we beat Missouri, then the standings would be:
Florida 15-3
Ole Miss 12-6
UT 11-7
Bama 11-7
UK 11-7
Mizzou 11-7
Being tied with UK, Bama, and Mizzou would give us a record of 3-2 against those teams. Bama would be 2-2, UK 2-2, Mizzou 1-2.
If there are more than 2 teams that are tied, it's settled using your win percentage among those teams.
That's why those 2 losses would likely knock us out of a double-bye
I disagree. Beating Vanderbilt again won't do anything to help us. But losing would absolutely kill us. Not worth the risk.
We need a quality win.
We could still get a 3 seed.
If Ole Miss beats LSU, UK loses out, Bama loses to Georgia, and we beat Missouri, then the standings would be:
Florida 15-3
Ole Miss 12-6
UT 11-7
Bama 11-7
UK 11-7
Mizzou 11-7
Being tied with UK, Bama, and Mizzou would give us a record of 3-2 against those teams. Bama would be 2-2, UK 2-2, Mizzou 1-2.