Question for the board regarding Bill Cosby. Is

#126
#126
If there is a 50% chance that any one event occurring there is only a 1/1024 that they all occurred. Even with those odds this says that several of them are loony birds. If the odd are 1/100 for each event to have occurred, then this says they're all loony birds.
 
#127
#127
Sandvol said:
It is a probability on the event occurring not on the event not occurring. By your thinking, if you pick any three women there is only a 12% probability that he didn't rape one when there is only a 12% that he raped all three. Or if you pick two women by your thinking there is only a 25% chance that he didn't rape at least one but there is only a 25% that he raped one. How can that be?
Click to expand...

It's simple. When odds are 50-50, it means the even is just likely to occur as it is to not occur.
 
#128
#128
Sandvol said:
If there is a 50% chance that any one event occurring there is only a 1/1024 that they all occurred. Even with those odds this says that several of them are loony birds. If the odd are 1/100 for each event to have occurred, then this says they're all loony birds.
Click to expand...

And since the odds are even, there's a 1/1024 chance that none of them occurred.
 
#130
#130
Vol8188 said:
And since the odds are even, there's a 1/1024 chance that none of them occurred.
Click to expand...

Let me see if I can restate this. For instance if there are two supposed victims. There is a 25% chance that he raped both(1/2x1/2). You are saying there is only a 25% chance that he didn't rape one which is the same as saying there is a 75% chance that he raped one of them. How can there be a 75% chance that he raped one and a 25% chance that he raped both? They are independent events. I think you can only say from the 1/2x1/2 is 25% chance he raped both.
 
#132
#132
Sandvol said:
Let me see if I can restate this. For instance if there are two supposed victims. There is a 25% chance that he raped both(1/2x1/2). You are saying there is only a 25% chance that he didn't rape one which is the same as saying there is a 75% chance that he raped one of them. How can there be a 75% chance that he raped one and a 25% chance that he raped both? They are independent events. I think you can only say from the 1/2x1/2 is 25% chance he raped both.
Click to expand...

Let's call it heads and tails, and person a and person b:

There's a 25% chance that the two quarters both hit heads (meaning he raped both)

There's a 25% chance that both hit tails (meaning he raped neither).

It's basic math. If the odds are even, then the odds that both events occur are the same as the odds that neither event occurs.
 
Last edited:
#133
#133
Vol8188 said:
Let's call it heads and tails, and person a and person b:

There's a 25% chance that the two quarters both hit heads (meaning he taped both)

There's a 25% chance that both hit tails (meaning he raped both).

It's basic math. If the odds are even, then the odds that both events occur are the same as the odds that neither event occurs.
Click to expand...

Yes, I would agree with that. So there is a 1/1024 that he didn't rape all, and a 1/1024 that he raped all. I guess it was the way you were wording it. But I think if you take all the hundreds or thousands of women he has encountered the odds would probably be close to 1/100 for each.
 
#134
#134
If only rape came down to coin flips. I would die inside if Mr. Rodgers was convicted of rape.
 
#139
#139
Juanita Broderick was the one I remember who actually accused Clinton of rape if I remember and she was mostly pilloried by the press and Clinton's minions. She came off as very credible. There were no drugs involved and it was unwilling on her part. There were other allegations of sexual harassment and groping. He however enjoys a sterling career as ex-President and continues to remain off limits by the media. I wish his accusers would come forward again.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 person
#140
#140
Sandvol said:
Juanita Broderick was the one I remember who actually accused Clinton of rape if I remember and she was mostly pilloried by the press and Clinton's minions. She came off as very credible. There were no drugs involved and it was unwilling on her part. There were other allegations of sexual harassment and groping. He however enjoys a sterling career as ex-President and continues to remain off limits by the media. I wish his accusers would come forward again.
Click to expand...

Is that the one he told to put some ice on it ?
 
#141
#141
Sandvol said:
Juanita Broderick was the one I remember who actually accused Clinton of rape if I remember and she was mostly pilloried by the press and Clinton's minions. She came off as very credible. There were no drugs involved and it was unwilling on her part. There were other allegations of sexual harassment and groping. He however enjoys a sterling career as ex-President and continues to remain off limits by the media. I wish his accusers would come forward again.
Click to expand...

Probably realized they would end up dead like a lot of the Clinton's friends/enemies.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 person
#144
#144
Sandvol said:
Juanita Broderick was the one I remember who actually accused Clinton of rape if I remember and she was mostly pilloried by the press and Clinton's minions. She came off as very credible. There were no drugs involved and it was unwilling on her part. There were other allegations of sexual harassment and groping. He however enjoys a sterling career as ex-President and continues to remain off limits by the media. I wish his accusers would come forward again
Click to expand...

Why?

I think the vast majority of Americans realize "Slick Willie" was a ho.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 person
New posts
You must log in or register to reply here.

VN Store



Back
Top