Discussion aside, I really wouldn't be using the AI Overview to support your argument. That's the modern equivalent of citing a Wikipedia article on a research paper...
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I thought it was well established that Sally is a known liar.
Anyone heard of AGI? A buddy that works at Oak Ridge said they think AGI has already been accomplished and we'll start hearing more and more about it as they try to acclimate the public. The speed of advancement in just the last year has been insane.
ChatGPT2 to GPT3 to GPT4 is like the difference in knowledge between a pre-school/middle school/high-school intellect. If they make the same advancement with GPT-5, that would be college level smarts, GPT-6 would be doctorate/genius levels. GPT-7. . . what would that be? . .
Chat GPT 1 was released Nov 30, 2022. GPT4 was released in March of 2023. GPT-5 has probably been finished form some time, but isn't being released while OpenAi gets the financial stuff straightened out. I wouldn't be surprised if they are up to GPT-8 or so.
Then you have to consider the government's involvement. They know that whoever develops super-intelligence first will have the upper-hand globally. . . similar to the race to get to the moon, except this time it's China instead of Russia.
Tech that's rolled out to the public is generally a few years behind what the government already has access to. I wouldn't be surprised if AGI isn't already being used, in fact, I'd probably bet that it's been around for at least a year or longer.
I've always wondered about the "technological singularity", if it's a real thing and what it would look like once we get there. I looked at a couple graphs that showed how tech has advanced from around 2000 til now. From 2000 til 2019 looks like a horizontal line barely above the bottom base line. 2019 til now looks like a straight vertical line. I wonder if we're actually getting close to a tech singularity or if we've already crossed it and the public is just starting to be fed small glimpses of what's happening.