Recruiting Football Talk VIII

I’ll say it again, if we can’t beat this Georgia team, we don’t deserve to be in the playoffs.
If Ole Miss can’t beat UK at home, they don’t deserve to get in. If Bama can’t beat Vandy, they don’t deserve to get in. If UGA can’t beat this bad Alabama defense, they don’t deserve to get in. Oh wait, they are all in.
 
Listen to several different talking heads on radio and YouTube and they all listed Bama-UGA-Ole Miss-Texas-Texas A&M in what if scenarios with 10-2 records😡
Finally someone would say something like oh and Tennessee🤬
We need to win out!!! ”They” are already putting the “fix in”
well, if you're looking for a silver lining, there is certainly some recency bias in play just reacting to this weekend's games, and the committee will likely do a better job of taking a more wholistic approach to the resumes. that doesn't necessarily mean it will be better for us....before i go any further....if we beat UGA this weekend, everything after this, is pointless.....so for the TLDR crowd, i put the rest in the spoiler. so if you want to see how i think this needs to play out, feel free. again, this assumes we lose to UGA, and we have 4 teams at 10-2 headed in to the conf title game, one of which will be playing TX in this scenario.

it won't be forgotten that Ole Miss lost at home to UK, or that Vandy not only beat Bama, but they never trailed and controlled that game from start to finish, or that we lost to Arkansas. i don't think you can forget about UGA looking bad against UK, getting absolutely whooped for 3/4 of the Bama game and of course, getting worked at Ole Miss. and it may turn out that LSU beating Ole Miss might wind up being a "bad" loss for Ole Miss too....

you can't over look USCe throttling aTm, or the beat down UGA put on TX....honestly i don't envy the committee this year, when it comes to the SEC, i don't think you can really say any of the teams that are in it are necessarily a bad decision.

Common Opponents...Ole miss:
UK beats Ole Miss, we beat UK.
Arkansas beats TN, Ole Miss beats Ark...
we both beat OU
Ole Miss still has to play MSU and Florida...can Florida find it for one game?

TX:
we both beat MSU, FL, and OU
Left to play...we have to play Vandy and UGA, they have to play UK and Ark
but at this point, we basically want them to win out....and beat aTm to eliminate them. TX losing now just muddies up the water even more.

UGA:
we both beat UK, MSU, FL, they lost to Bama
we beat Bama, and we have a head to head to play....we beat them they're eliminated...they win, it closes our window a bit.

Bama:
they beat UGA, we have to play UGA
they lost to Vandy, we have to play Vandy
they still have to play OU, we beat OU.
we have the head to head W.
i don't see them losing again, but i didn't see them losing to Vandy.
we need to beat Vandy and keep pushing the narrative that head to head has to matter if we're deciding between Us and Them. (Ole miss will be pushing the same thing about UGA)

Texas A&M:
we lost to Ark, they beat Ark
we both beat MSU
that's it...need them to lose....if they beat TX, it looks like it would be Bama/aTm in Atlanta....

so not counting OOC games, which will come in to play, and ours doesn't look very good anymore, the actual resumes aren't all that far off, and there's still a lot of things that could happen these last 3 weeks. but if it's a beauty pageant/eye test deal....we need some committee members that value defense and run game.........we're more gritty than pretty....and that does have value, but i got not clue how much value. if styles make fights, then wouldn't you want us in there?

if we beat UGA, then it's almost a certainty that not only are we in, but we put ourselves in position to be a top 4 seed, and potentially a conf champ....TN vs. TX for the SEC would be awesome.

lose, and we may need some help, just to pad the resume a little. we want the ACC and Big 12 to be a 1 bid league. we want the big 10 to be a 3 bid league....but i think that's gonna be tough unless IU loses the last 2, or OSU just obliterates them....
so you get the power 4 conf champs, and the G5 entry, so there's 7 spots left. having no clue who wins the SEC and Big 10, we'll just say TX and Oregon for argument's sake, that leaves TN, Ole Miss, Bama, UGA (assume we're all 10-2) from the SEC and OSU, PSU and IU from the Big 10. oh, and don't forget Notre Dame. so that's potentially 8 teams for 7 spots...and whoever gets left out is probably gonna be pissed.

so it's not just our SEC bretheren we'll be matching resumes against, it will be those other Big 10 schools and ND...and that's when the analytics will start taking over the conversation more and more.

we want IU to get curb stomped at OSU. ....and if Ole MIss could lose to FL or MSU, that'd be just great. and we want ND to lose....but maybe not to Army...they're undefeated and beating ND could certainly put their name in the hat for an at large spot....but i'm not sure USCw has the horses to pull of that upset this year.

so it's not all doom and gloom...but it isn't a sure thing at 10-2 that we'd get in....

Chaos would be underdogs winning the ACC and/or the Big 12, making it possible either of those leagues could get 2 in.

if all of us are 10-2, i think this is the bracket we want to see:
Top 4:
Oregon
TX
Miami
BYU

G5:
Boise St

At Large:
Penn St
Ohio State
Alabama
Ole Miss
Georgia
Tennessee
Notre Dame

Long story short.........just beat UGA and none of this matters, until next week when something else ridiculous happens.
 
I’ll say it again, if we can’t beat this Georgia team, we don’t deserve to be in the playoffs.
We're going to win! But F your "deserve." (Nothing personal.)

I’ll say it again, if Bama can’t beat this Vandy team, they don’t deserve to be in the playoffs.
fyp

You can fill in the other versions of the same, yourself. We would have to lose (but we will not!) in order to descend to the 2-loss club that is pretending they should be in over us.

Opps: @VolGee4 beat me to the punch. Well played.
 
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Agreed, but not a make-or-break one

I see Tennessee as being at the start of a playoff/championship window that may last a few years with these QBs and recent recruiting. And this game is a hump Heupel needs to get over. May not happen this year and if it doesn’t, I’m not too concerned. But he does ultimately need to get over the Georgia/big road game hump while this window open.

Anyway - Go Vols!

It’s the type of game that can shift his career here to legendary status.
 
We will beat UGA with whichever QB starts if your WRs will catch their targets. Even if they catch 2/3 +10yd targets

We’ve got to limit the boneheaded penalties, turnovers, and drops.

I don’t see UGAs offense having much success against our defense. Defense usually travels.

We win if we execute on offense.
 
We’ve got to limit the boneheaded penalties, turnovers, and drops.

I don’t see UGAs offense having much success against our defense. Defense usually travels.

We win if we execute on offense.
I am going to pull the last hair on my head out if we get another stupid DL offside penalty from lining up in the neutral zone. (I started the season with hair like Fabio)
 

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