Lang
Bussell - Travolta
Karic - Sig. snaps. 1Yr left.
Grant - Travolta
Duncan - Travolta
Reddick - Travolta
Ginther - Staff high on him. Yet again, Travolta
Umarov - Paper mache
It was Umarov, not Karic. My bad.
Still yet, fact remains. You have to have talent in the trenches, and we have little. Really dont like going to portal for OL starters. But, I think you have too in 2025, with what we're losing.
I tire of us taking developmental players, Grant is perfect example, just to never see the field. We have every advantage in terms of recruiting, Guard is a position we should not struggle to get HS players.
And yes, I specifically mean high 4 and 5 star players. Or players that have offers from upper 1% of schools. It's time.
How do we fix it? If Ellarbee is just THAT off putting and awkward, we need to get him help. To me the single biggest obstacle to us getting past our sworn enemies, Georgia, Alabama, and SEC officiating is a small talent gap. Think about this. Had we controlled the LoS versus Arkansas, where are we? South Carolina in '22?
I will add this team has over achieved. They have learned how to finish in games they may have lost or won by a point a while back.
I'm reharrin' Smellarfeet, after multiple fahrin's. And i'm finding a way to hire a recruiting assistant.
PSA: Nerd stuff incoming.
Over the last 10 years in the SEC, only half of eventual starting OL get their first starter minutes before their RS-JR or SR year. 9% break in as FR, 24% as SO/RS-FR, 17% as JR/RS-SO, and 26% as SR/RS-JR, and 24% don't start until they're RS-SRs. The trend is pretty consistent across the FBS, and the numbers hold up for the likes of Bama / Georgia / etc. as well.
If we consider 2022 Heupel / Ellarbee's first shot at real recruiting class, those guys wouldn't hit that RS-JR / SR benchmark until next year.
2022 / JR (Expect to contribute in 2025):
Addison Nichols: Starter at Arkansas (2024)
Brian Grant: TBD (37 snaps this year)
Masai Reddick: TBD (0 snaps)
Maurice Clipper: Gone
2023 / SO (Expect to contribute in 2026):
Sham Umarov: TBD (66 snaps)
Ayden Bussell: TBD (62 snaps)
Trevor Duncan: TBD (8 snaps)
Vysen Lang: Gone (44 snaps)
2024 / FR (Expect to contribute in 2027):
Jesse Perry: TBD (72 snaps)
Max Anderson: TBD (47 snaps)
William Satterwhite: TBD (45 snaps)
Bennett Warren: TBD (40 snaps)
Gage Ginther: TBD (19 snaps)
Jeremias Heard: TBD (8 snaps)
I also want to note, we had 4/6 (66%) of our freshman OL and 3/4 (75%) of our sophomores get 40+ snaps. The SEC averages for those years are 37% and 47% respectively.
All this to say, yes - we haven't had Ellarbee recruits break into the starting lineup. That said, given the way OL progress in the SEC, you wouldn't really expect to see that happen until next year. Granted, the 2022 crop doesn't look especially close, but both the 2023 and 2024 groups are ahead of schedule in terms of snap counts, and the 2024 group in particular looks like one of the best freshmen groups in the country.