Having a bad case of BVS, so I checked the stats! They have played 3 P5 teams (FSU, MissSt, Aub) that are similar to our 2 (Pitt, UF). With a highly unscientific deduction and equivalence method, here are some predictions.
Rushing
LSU rushing (5.1 yds/att) looks like a cross between Florida (6.2) and Pitt (4.1)
- UT run D is good (2.96 yds allowed/att) and the best LSU will face (Aub is at 3.7yd/att)
- LSU had 3.8 yd/att against Aub, UT allowed about 3.5 yd/att against Florida and Pitt
Prediction: LSU runs for 3.0 yards/att
UT Rushing (4.5 yd/att) looks like FSU (5.1) and MSU (4.2)
- LSU run D allows 3.4 and the best we face (Pitt allows 3.8)
- UT had a miserable 2.6 yds/att against Pitt, LSU allowed 3.5 against FSU/MSU
Prediction: UT rushes for 3.0 yds/att
Passing
LSU passing (7.7 yds/att) looks like Pitt (8.3)
- UT pass D (6.9 allowed/att) looks like Aub (6.5) and FSU (6.0)
- LSU was highly inconsistent and passed for about 4.5 yds/att against Aub and FSU, UT allowed 6.2 vs Pitt
Prediction: LSU is no good against average pass D, and get 6.0 yds/att
UT passing is elite (11.3 yds/att) and FSU (9.4) is the best LSU has faced
- LSU pass D allows 6.7 yds/att and looks like Pitt (6.3) and UF (7.5)
- UT passed for 7.7 against Pitt and 12.5 vs UF, LSU allowed 7.9 vs FSU
Prediction: Heisman Hooker continues his campaign for 8.5 yds/att
Total plays and yards
UT runs 43 times a game and faces 33, LSU runs 39 times and faces 32
UT passes 33 a game and faces 45, LSU passes 34 passes a game, faces 27
Final Predictions;
UT runs 37 times, 3.0 yds/att for 111
LSU runs 40 times, 3.0 yds/att for 120
UT passes 30 times, 8.5 yds/att for 255
LSU passes 40 times, 6.0 yds/att for 240
That’s 366 yards UT, 360 yards LSU yikes!
This will be closer than some think. Will do an analysis for points scored per drive next. That’s where we really thrive I hope!
