> On UGA: Besides Tennessee, who are they supposed to lose to? Auburn? They probably aren't going to overlook a rival. And the only other road games besides Tennessee are against Vanderbilt and Georgia Tech. They aren't losing to Vanderbilt or Georgia Tech.
> On Milton: One of the best arms you'll ever see. Needs to show better decision-making to go from "Great Thrower" to "Great Quarterback." Heisman sleeper. If Milton can take the leap everyone is expecting then the sky's the limit for Milton/Vols. Milton has everything he needs for a breakthrough
> The Vols return two running backs who combined for 1,609 yards and 23 TDs last season, plus three of last year's top five receivers (and Thornton)
> Biletnikoff winner Jalin Hyatt is gone after catching 67 passes for 1,267 yards and 15 touchdowns, but "slot receiver in a Heupel offense" is one of the most guaranteed big-play positions in the sport.
> The line is loaded with veterans too.
> With the tempo that Heupel deploys, his defense is guaranteed to see a lot of plays and drives in a given season. But the Vols still jumped from 88th to 30th in defensive SP+ in 2022, and the unit's depth should be better this year. Of 21 defenders who saw at least 200 snaps last season, 14 return
> Florida: It's not hard to figure out why Florida fans seem pretty miserable right now. The Gators' three main rivals -- Georgia (two straight national titles), Tennessee (first top-10 finish in 21 years) and Florida State (highest poll finish in six years) -- all enjoyed particularly high levels of play last season, while Florida went 6-7 for the second straight year. Even if the Gators had won eight or nine games, the fan base would feel pretty down about being worse than the opponents that matter most. They'll probably be worse than those teams in 2023 too. Florida will be facing what SP+ sees as the hardest schedule in the country with another transitional roster -- a new starting quarterback, at least five other new offensive starters and mega turnover at linebacker and in the secondary.
> Kentucky: Barring some sort of domino effect in the secondary, the defense will probably be excellent again. It also includes another veteran quarterback who, like Levis, battled through a disappointing 2022. Devin Leary comes over from NC State; after a solid 2021 and top-30 Total QBR ranking, Leary's stats regressed in virtually every category last season, then he was lost to injury in October. Kentucky has averaged eight wins a year over the past half-decade, and that's pretty good living in Lexington. But if the Wildcats have grander ambitions (like, say, a repeat of 2021's 10-win campaign), it will require Coen to capture some magic with Leary like he did with Levis two years ago.
> S Carolina: Beamer's two seasons featured one good defense (2021), one good offense (2022) and almost nonstop special teams excellence. Thanks to the combination of Beamer's last name and a dynamite special teams coordinator in Pete Lembo, that last part probably isn't going to change. But both the offense and defense are difficult to read heading into 2023.
> Mizzou: His 2021 offense was good, his 2022 defense great. He's had three good special teams units and should have a fourth thanks to the return of burly kicker. After two defensive coordinator changes in two years, Drinkwitz's third hire was the charm: Blake Baker clicked beautifully in 2022 and brings back 12 of 16 players with 250-plus snaps. He's got potential all-conference performers at every level of the defense. With the defense seemingly on a solid trajectory, one thing continues to hold Drinkwitz and Mizzou back: the quarterback position. There's a chance Drinkwitz heads into 2023 with his fourth season-opening starter in four years. The offensive line should be Drinkwitz's best to date. Mizzou ranks second in FBS in returning production, and Drinkwitz's transfer additions on offense were astute. The Tigers are projected favorites in four of their first five games, and the fifth (home vs. Kansas State) is an almost perfect toss-up. They have a shot at a fast start and a breakthrough year ... if they have a QB. Again, I don't like saying everything comes down to one position, but it sure seems to be the case in Columbia.
> If Vanderbilt surprises in 2023, it feels like the offense will be the reason why. A weak nonconference slate with three opponents projected 107th or worse will give Vandy a chance to build early confidence, but the Commodores are projected as double-digit underdogs in each of their nine other games.
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Slot Squirrel White, Tennessee. Yards per route is a lovely, all-encompassing measure that combines explosiveness with both reliability and usage -- if you average 20 yards per catch, but you're almost never thrown the ball when you're running a route, your average isn't going to be great. Jalin Hyatt averaged 3.3 yards per route last season while winning the Biletnikoff Award, a phenomenal average. Squirrel White averaged
4.1. He could have an amazing 2023.
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LB Aaron Beasley, Tennessee. Tennessee's defense took a lovely step forward in 2022, and Beasley led the unit in tackles (82, one every 6.8 snaps), TFLs (13.5) and run stops (19) and was second in sacks (3). He also broke up three passes. He's everywhere.
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In 1998, 25 years ago, Tennessee ran the table. We talk a lot about the what-ifs of 1998 -- what if Ohio State hadn't lost to Michigan State, what if Kansas State hadn't lost to Texas A&M, what if Florida State's Chris Weinke hadn't gotten injured -- but one team had no what-ifs whatsoever. Phil Fulmer's Tennessee Vols endured the loss of star quarterback Peyton Manning and two other first-round picks and somehow improved. They ended a five-year losing streak to Steve Spurrier's Florida team, survived a classic against No. 10 Arkansas by the skin of their teeth, scored the final 14 points of a 24-14 SEC championship game win over Mississippi State and kept a Chris Weinke-less FSU at arm's reach in the first BCS championship game to win their first national title in 47 years.