I'll be at the game this weekend, should be a great atmosphere (weather, senior night, what's at stake, under the lights, etc.).
Mizzou has always been opportunistic on D and makes plays on both sides of the ball when the lights are the brightest. More than against some opponents, I think the turnover battle and 3rd down efficiency will dictate the outcome of this game.
Mizzou ranks T-19th in the country w/ a +7 TO margin, while Tennessee is T-48th at +2.
For 3rd Down Efficiency, UT's offense is 63rd in the FBS, converting 40.5% of the time while Mizzou's defense only allows the opposing offense to convert 34.8% of the time (22nd in FBS). Tennessee's D is just as tough, allowing opposing offenses to convert 33.6% of the time (18th in FBS), while Mizzou's offense is a touch better than ours, converting 43.4% of 3rd downs (45th).
Sagarin rankings and vegas pretty much have this game as a toss-up. Last I saw, vegas had TN as a 3.5 pt favorite, which is essentially good enough for their homefield advantage in terms of odds making. Sagarin ranks Mizzou #22 (8-2 w/ 34th toughest schedule) at Tennessee at #27 (5-5 w/ 3rd toughest schedule). Sagarin's predictor would have TN at ~ a 2 pt advantage.
With everything above, the off-the-field precedings this week breeds some uncertainty for me. I'm going Mizzou 31-27, but Go Vols!!