Reece Davis wants Oregon

#51
#51
DownNDirty said:
I've been saying - at length - in other posts here that an 11-1 UT is far from being a slam dunk in making the CFP. A one loss conference champion from the Pac 12 or ACC would both be ahead of UT when the dust settles. As will an undefeated TCU. If UGA runs the table, the winner of OSU/Michigan is undefeated, TCU is undefeated, and the PAC 12 and ACC both have 1 loss champions they will ALL be ahead of UT in the final playoff rankings. That's why you really, REALLY need TCU to lose, UGA to stay unbeaten, the OSU/Michigan game to be a total blowout, and either the Pac 12 or ACC champion to have 2 losses. That's a lot of things you need to happen to get in to be quite honest. The saving grace is that anything can happen and there's still 3 or 4 games for these other schools to play in order to get to the final rankings.
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I disagree about the ACC. I don’t think a 12-1 Clemson or UNC is getting in ahead of Tennessee. Clemson has nothing to fall back on, and got humiliated by a Notre Dame team likely to finish 7-5/8-4.
 
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#52
#52
KeyVol14 said:
Our 14 point loss doesn’t take away everything else we’ve accomplished this year. If Reece Davis is trying to make that claim than he’s dumber than I thought. Nobody comes close to our SOS and resume so far. The LSU rout looks better and better every week. What has Oregon done thus far?
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He is irrelevant. He isn’t on the committee.
 
#56
#56
Vols1313 said:
Tennessee football's loss at Georgia equal to Oregon's in College Football Playoff race, Rece Davis explains
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Yep....math is hard.....
DownNDirty said:
I've been saying - at length - in other posts here that an 11-1 UT is far from being a slam dunk in making the CFP. A one loss conference champion from the Pac 12 or ACC would both be ahead of UT when the dust settles. As will an undefeated TCU. If UGA runs the table, the winner of OSU/Michigan is undefeated, TCU is undefeated, and the PAC 12 and ACC both have 1 loss champions they will ALL be ahead of UT in the final playoff rankings. That's why you really, REALLY need TCU to lose, UGA to stay unbeaten, the OSU/Michigan game to be a total blowout, and either the Pac 12 or ACC champion to have 2 losses. That's a lot of things you need to happen to get in to be quite honest. The saving grace is that anything can happen and there's still 3 or 4 games for these other schools to play in order to get to the final rankings.
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Clemson will not be ahead of Tennessee in any way in the final polls....no way on earth.

So, there is (1) UGA, (2) winner of OSU-MI, (3) and (4) seeds are going to be between:

1. TCU--must win out
2. Oregon--must win out
3. Tennessee--must win out

If all three win out, would be a difficult argument to get UT in the top 4....seeing that there are undefeated BIG 12 champs...TN could end up over Oregon anyway due to the weaker schedule.

For Clemson to get in, they need a lot of teams to lose no matter if they are a one loss ACC champ or not....A UGA loss looks much better than a Notre Dame loss any day of the week.
 
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#57
#57
DownNDirty said:
I've been saying - at length - in other posts here that an 11-1 UT is far from being a slam dunk in making the CFP. A one loss conference champion from the Pac 12 or ACC would both be ahead of UT when the dust settles. As will an undefeated TCU. If UGA runs the table, the winner of OSU/Michigan is undefeated, TCU is undefeated, and the PAC 12 and ACC both have 1 loss champions they will ALL be ahead of UT in the final playoff rankings. That's why you really, REALLY need TCU to lose, UGA to stay unbeaten, the OSU/Michigan game to be a total blowout, and either the Pac 12 or ACC champion to have 2 losses. That's a lot of things you need to happen to get in to be quite honest. The saving grace is that anything can happen and there's still 3 or 4 games for these other schools to play in order to get to the final rankings.
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Clemson is out and it doesn’t matter if the win the ACC. The only way TCU gets in is to go undefeated in dominating fashion. I mean they are under dogs to Texas this week. There is a reason we are the 1 loss team that had the best chance to make the playoffs.
 
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#58
#58
I don't know who Davis is....but he wants a team that lost to UGA 49-3 at neutral site over a team that lost to UGA 27-13 at Georgia? Okay, gotcha
 
#59
#59
BigOrangeTrain said:
Clemson is out and it doesn’t matter if the win the ACC. The only way TCU gets in is to go undefeated in dominating fashion. I mean they are under dogs to Texas this week. There is a reason we are the 1 loss team that had the best chance to make the playoffs.
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TCU doesn’t have to win in dominating fashion. If they’re 13-0, they’re in. No undefeated P5 champ is getting left out of the playoff.
 
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#62
#62
KeyVol14 said:
You know what’s not every bit the same? Tennessee and Oregon’s resume. Our SOS destroys theirs and we currently hold a blowout win over a top 10 team in LSU in which is something they do not have.
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And we beat #1 Alabama
 
#63
#63
As long as UT handles business on the field things will take care of themselves. The resume hasn’t changed. We’re 5-1 against ranked opponents.
 
#64
#64
Apparently they want to rug sweep Oregon’s loss because it was week 1 and they’ve handled business since. Our loss doesn’t get excused because it’s later in the season and the rest of our schedule is weak. I don’t agree, this is just what I’ve heard/seen a lot the past few days.
 
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#66
#66
volwindy said:
This is why we need Oregon to lose another game. The only good thing for us is we have the Georgia common opponent for comparison.

If they win out they will be PAC12 champs while we were sitting out. That won't be overlooked and will at least have them in talks for consideration to be one of the 4 teams.
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I don't understand the Oregon narrative either. In addition to the common opponent, scale of loss, and they were on a neutral field...we also have wins over Bama and LSU, and with the way the media slobbered over KY and Levis all season that should be considered a solid win especially with how we dominated them. I hope the committee has more objectivity.

It's like the media isn't even trying to hide the bias at this point. If we were OSU, Bama, Clemson...and now it appears Oregon...with this resume we would be a shoe in if we win out.
 
#69
#69
If we are left out I hope we were to somehow get TCU/Oregon in a bowl game and absolutely obliterate them.
 
#70
#70
willinhf said:
Yep....math is hard.....

Clemson will not be ahead of Tennessee in any way in the final polls....no way on earth.

So, there is (1) UGA, (2) winner of OSU-MI, (3) and (4) seeds are going to be between:

1. TCU--must win out
2. Oregon--must win out
3. Tennessee--must win out

If all three win out, would be a difficult argument to get UT in the top 4....seeing that there are undefeated BIG 12 champs...TN could end up over Oregon anyway due to the weaker schedule.

For Clemson to get in, they need a lot of teams to lose no matter if they are a one loss ACC champ or not....A UGA loss looks much better than a Notre Dame loss any day of the week.
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I wouldn't rule out Clemson jumping back into it if they run the table. I think they'd jump UT. JMO. And you are leaving out UNC. If they run the table they win the ACC with 1 loss. They would be in over UT as well IMO.

And you say Oregon - the Pac 12 could have UCLA or USC winning the conference championship with only one loss. So it's not just Oregon to worry about it's all 3 of them.

Tennessee's best path to make it is to obviously win out, UGA to run the table, OSU/Michigan to be a blowout, TCU to lose, and either the ACC winner or Pac 12 winner have 2 losses. They need these things to happen or they are going to get left out IMO.
 
#71
#71
DownNDirty said:
I wouldn't rule out Clemson jumping back into it if they run the table. I think they'd jump UT. JMO. And you are leaving out UNC. If they run the table they win the ACC with 1 loss. They would be in over UT as well IMO.

And you say Oregon - the Pac 12 could have UCLA or USC winning the conference championship with only one loss. So it's not just Oregon to worry about it's all 3 of them.

Tennessee's best path to make it is to obviously win out, UGA to run the table, OSU/Michigan to be a blowout, TCU to lose, and either the ACC winner or Pac 12 winner have 2 losses. They need these things to happen or they are going to get left out IMO.
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I think TCU losing is enough. The loser of OSU/UM gets left out. At that point it’s UGA, winner of BIG 10 battle, UT, and PAC 12 champion.
 
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#73
#73
CornbreadVol said:
We are going to get screwed
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No we're not. It doesn't matter what Reece Davis or any other talking head thinks. They want to have a say, but they don't. The CFP Committee has been consistent since they started. There's no reason to think that won't continue. As long as we take care of business we will have the best resume of any 1-loss team in the country and it's not even close. The only 1-loss team who may be ranked ahead of us is the Pac-12 champ. The only way we win out and don't get in is if TCU also wins out.
 
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#74
#74
SATX VOL said:
40 points is a beat down. We were 1 long all away from making it a game for the most part. Not to mention Oregon was at a neutral site while we were at Georgia.
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You know... it's crazy that people can't see this. Despite all the false start penalties and the lucky bounce on the punt that effectively took a possession away from us, we were one big play from being involved in a one-score game. A better ball to Tillman and maybe he comes down with a TD instead of it being an interception. A better ball to Hyatt or McCoy on those deep passes and it's likely a one score game.

But for whatever reason many people choose to believe that Georgia could move the ball against us any time they wanted but they just chose not too. Those people need to rewatch the 2nd half. UGA never took their foot off the gas, they just weren't as successful on the ground so their passes weren't set up as nicely and our DBs didn't get torched like they did in the first half when UGA did throw the ball.

We'll get a rematch on a neutral field and you'll see a much, much different game from Hooker and the Vols.
 
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