BP4Prez
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You had me up until that last part. Clemson was #4 in the CFP when they were undefeated. Losing to a 3-loss Notre Dame that had been beaten by Marshall (and will probably lose to USC too) isn't going to get in over TCU or a 1-loss Tennessee. Neither is a North Carolina team that also lost to Notre Dame and gave up 61 points to App State at home and struggled against Miami, Duke, and Virginia, beating each by just a field goal.
Don't overlook Utah as potential Pac12 spoiler either. They already have a win over USC and play Oregon in Eugene. Upsetting the ducks would put them in a 4-way tie atop the conference with Utah>Oregon & USC, UCLA>UTAH, Oregon>UCLA and USC and UCLA set to play. Plus USC has to play Notre Dame which could do us another favor.
And TCU still has Texas in Austin and Baylor in Waco.
Not guaranteed a bid and not in control of our own destiny anymore, but I like our chances as several things have to simultaneously go against us to be jumped and left out.
No way North Carolina or clemson get in, clemson was eliminated getting blown out by a unranked Notre dame..As we all know by now, the landscape of college football remains very fluid as the season plays out. Teams like Tennessee benefitted early on because of a stronger early season schedule. But as we get into November, we find other teams schedules are more heavily weighted on the back end while ours has leveled out.
Tennessee’s problem is two fold.
1- We now have a late season loss. Historically speaking, late season losses do not bode well for the losing team especially when that loss takes them out of a conference championship.
2- Quality wins in November are important. A quality bounce back win against a respected team goes a long way in showing you are not the same team that lost that game and provides some level of intrigue. At present, Tennessee will not have a statement win against a quality opponent in the month of November. Meanwhile, other 1 loss teams still have important regular season games and conference championships.
Given the parity we have seen in college football this year; I think there is a high probability we will see 4 conference champions in the CFP.
#1 Georgia- SEC
#2 Ohio State/Michigan- B1G
#3 Oregon/USC/UCLA- PAC12
#4 TCU or North Carolina/Clemson- Big12 or ACC
I would like Tennessee’s chances a little better if one of our quality wins were in a bounce-back game after the loss. Unfortunately, we are left hoping wins over Missouri, S.Carolina and Vandy will be enough to overcome the momentum gained by teams competing and winning conference championships.
I just don’t see it but as we know wild things happen every year in the month of November. Only time will tell.
USC will be the one to watch out for, because of their media darling coach and the storylines that the evil sports empire can shove down our throats via Reece Davis.Right. That’s still a possibility though for USC, UCLA, and Oregon. If any of them finish the year with just 1 loss (this would mean winning the P12 as well) then I fully expect them to be in.
If we are being honest TN could have been beaten by 40.
GA was just trying to keep the ball as long as possible in the 2nd half.
The score did not reflect the beating we took.
Just keeping it real.
However Oregon doesnt have the strength of schedule that we do.
I dont see them leap frogging us if we win the next 3 games by significant margins.
Could haves don't matter. People will look at the box scores a month from today. The score and the stats aren't as bad as Oregon's game.If we are being honest TN could have been beaten by 40.
GA was just trying to keep the ball as long as possible in the 2nd half.
The score did not reflect the beating we took.
Just keeping it real.
However Oregon doesnt have the strength of schedule that we do.
I dont see them leap frogging us if we win the next 3 games by significant margins.
No way North Carolina or clemson get in, clemson was eliminated getting blown out by a unranked Notre dame..
I think the fact that the PAC12 has yet to ever have a representative in the CFP is going to play heavily into Oregon's favor.