Reece Davis wants Oregon

You had me up until that last part. Clemson was #4 in the CFP when they were undefeated. Losing to a 3-loss Notre Dame that had been beaten by Marshall (and will probably lose to USC too) isn't going to get in over TCU or a 1-loss Tennessee. Neither is a North Carolina team that also lost to Notre Dame and gave up 61 points to App State at home and struggled against Miami, Duke, and Virginia, beating each by just a field goal.

Don't overlook Utah as potential Pac12 spoiler either. They already have a win over USC and play Oregon in Eugene. Upsetting the ducks would put them in a 4-way tie atop the conference with Utah>Oregon & USC, UCLA>UTAH, Oregon>UCLA and USC and UCLA set to play. Plus USC has to play Notre Dame which could do us another favor.

And TCU still has Texas in Austin and Baylor in Waco.

Not guaranteed a bid and not in control of our own destiny anymore, but I like our chances as several things have to simultaneously go against us to be jumped and left out.

I know everyone immediately wrote off Clemson when they lost to Notre Dame however I look at their schedule and see a team that fell to #12 after the loss with a very winnable remaining schedule. To me, North Carolina is the more intriguing of the two with games against Wake, Georgia Tech and #15 NC State before the ACC Championship.

If Clemson and UNC both make it to the ACC Championship with 12-1 records; both will be in the top 10. I believe the winner makes the CFP.
 
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As we all know by now, the landscape of college football remains very fluid as the season plays out. Teams like Tennessee benefitted early on because of a stronger early season schedule. But as we get into November, we find other teams schedules are more heavily weighted on the back end while ours has leveled out.

Tennessee’s problem is two fold.
1- We now have a late season loss. Historically speaking, late season losses do not bode well for the losing team especially when that loss takes them out of a conference championship.
2- Quality wins in November are important. A quality bounce back win against a respected team goes a long way in showing you are not the same team that lost that game and provides some level of intrigue. At present, Tennessee will not have a statement win against a quality opponent in the month of November. Meanwhile, other 1 loss teams still have important regular season games and conference championships.

Given the parity we have seen in college football this year; I think there is a high probability we will see 4 conference champions in the CFP.

#1 Georgia- SEC
#2 Ohio State/Michigan- B1G
#3 Oregon/USC/UCLA- PAC12
#4 TCU or North Carolina/Clemson- Big12 or ACC

I would like Tennessee’s chances a little better if one of our quality wins were in a bounce-back game after the loss. Unfortunately, we are left hoping wins over Missouri, S.Carolina and Vandy will be enough to overcome the momentum gained by teams competing and winning conference championships.

I just don’t see it but as we know wild things happen every year in the month of November. Only time will tell.
No way North Carolina or clemson get in, clemson was eliminated getting blown out by a unranked Notre dame..
 
Can I ask you fans to stop worrying about something you can't control.

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I would assume a lot of this probably gets looked at on paper, rather than the committee watched every single freaking game that was ever played 😂.. it is not the same, I agree 😂 hard to justify his assertion
Agreed, but I’m guessing there were a lot of eyeballs watching our game this past Saturday.
 
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If we are being honest TN could have been beaten by 40.
GA was just trying to keep the ball as long as possible in the 2nd half.
The score did not reflect the beating we took.
Just keeping it real.
However Oregon doesnt have the strength of schedule that we do.
I dont see them leap frogging us if we win the next 3 games by significant margins.
 
Right. That’s still a possibility though for USC, UCLA, and Oregon. If any of them finish the year with just 1 loss (this would mean winning the P12 as well) then I fully expect them to be in.
USC will be the one to watch out for, because of their media darling coach and the storylines that the evil sports empire can shove down our throats via Reece Davis.
 
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If we are being honest TN could have been beaten by 40.
GA was just trying to keep the ball as long as possible in the 2nd half.
The score did not reflect the beating we took.
Just keeping it real.
However Oregon doesnt have the strength of schedule that we do.
I dont see them leap frogging us if we win the next 3 games by significant margins.

You’re right. If you never showed me the score on Saturday, I would’ve guessed it was about a 40 pt beat down.
🤷‍♂️
 
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If we are being honest TN could have been beaten by 40.
GA was just trying to keep the ball as long as possible in the 2nd half.
The score did not reflect the beating we took.
Just keeping it real.
However Oregon doesnt have the strength of schedule that we do.
I dont see them leap frogging us if we win the next 3 games by significant margins.
Could haves don't matter. People will look at the box scores a month from today. The score and the stats aren't as bad as Oregon's game.
 
No way North Carolina or clemson get in, clemson was eliminated getting blown out by a unranked Notre dame..

We will see how things shape up but I see Notre Dame finishing ranked and with a respectable 9-3 record. I’m just not so sure that Clemson and UNC both losing to a respectable Irish team disqualifies them. I may be wrong. I just think a one loss ACC Champion gets the 4th spot in the event TCU loses it.
 
We need TCU to lose and GA to run the table and be ranked no 1 with a 13-0 record. Top two teams would then be GA and probably a 13-0 Ohio State. 3 & 4 would then be the two best one loss teams in the eyes of the committee NOT the ESPN pundits. Hard to argue that a 11-1 UT team whose loss was on the road at GA isn’t the best one loss team. Others that would be considered are Michigan if their only loss is to OSU, the best one loss PAC 12 team (Ore, USC, or UCLA) & possibly a one loss Clemson. At this point we just need to take care of what we control, meaning winning our next three preferably in convincing fashion. If that happens and the committee chooses the BEST 4 teams we should be in. Not saying that politics won’t have some say in the outcome but why worry about something totally out of our control.
 
I think the fact that the PAC12 has yet to ever have a representative in the CFP is going to play heavily into Oregon's favor.

Washington and Oregon have both been in the CFP. Granted the PAC hasn't been in the CFP much so your thoughts on Oregon being in are reasonable. Also, it's still quite possible a one loss USC or UCLA could win the PAC and get a spot in the CFP
 
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A 1-loss PAC 12 team deserves it this year. But the ACC and Big 12 are so bad that I do not think a 1-loss team from those conferences get in. I also dont think OSU/Mich loser will have the resume to get in.
 
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As always, there is lots and lots of useless blather about who is #4. It's irrelevant. Tennessee has really no shot at beating Georgia, based on what we've seen. Oregon also has no shot at beating Georgia based on what we've seen. Team 4 is irrelevant except for the going-to-the-game experience. There is a chance that a team that's not the best team could actually win just by "luck" or the inexactness of the game. That's true. It certainly has not happened in the CFP's we've had, but it could.

4 teams in the CFP is actually too many teams

It's important to get the best team in there, and then you can put 4 teams total that you're not 100% sure they're not the best team. And that's always less than 4.
 
I need to hear how a 46 point loss is the same as a 14 point loss.

Math is hard for Reece apparantly.

Well we didn't score a TD until 4 minutes left in the game.

I think Davis is insinuating that if it hadn't have rained Georgia would have put another 3-4 tds on us.

Good Lord.
 
The idea that a game can be "less competitive that the scoreboard indicates" is a bit skewed to begin with. Especially in games where the scoreboard is less than 2 scores.

Take the UGA game as an example. I keep hearing "UGA could have scored much more if they wanted to"......ugh....how? By having a QB that already turns the ball over more than you like throw more often against the defense leading the SEC in interceptions while playing in the rain/wet conditions? Kirby Smart isn't that dumb, and that strategy was just as likely (and probably more likely) to end up with Tennessee's defense pulling off a comeback.

So, UGA played the only strategy that made any sense, ball on the ground, run the clock, and keep playing defense that's been winning all day. Playing that strategy, UGA could not have scored any more points or they would have. UGA is good, Tennessee is good, they played a close game. There was only one lead change, and UGA held a 2 score plus lead most the game, but they couldn't run away with it and they didn't. You really believe Kirby Smart could have beaten #1 by 40 but chose not to out of the kindness of his heart?

A lot of people want to give Oregon a pass on a 40 point beat down because it was in week 1, or Ohio State a pass cause it was windy, but don't want to give Tennessee any consideration for playing on the road in bad weather with an offense that is pretty dependent on throwing the ball.....even if we do run more than we pass. Is there really anyone who doesn't think UT would have had a better chance at a comeback in dry conditions or on a neutral field? You play the games when they are on your schedule, against who is on your schedule, where they are, in the weather that exists that day.....it's just how it is, and it's hard to use it as an excuse, but it's impossible to use it as an excuse for one team and ignore it for another and sound the slightest bit coherent.
 

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