Yes expectations would change for me if he was 14th vs 4th. Higher pay (in comparison to your peers) lends itself to higher expectations as far as I'm concerned.
Just to expound on that, our AD has long gone bargain bin shopping for coaches in all sports, which lends itself to a ton of turnover every few years when that hire doesn't work out. Pay Big Lots prices and get Big Lots quality as far as I'm concerned. You're essentially hoping to catch lightning in a bottle (ala Bruce Pearl) but you're more than likely getting Tyndall, Buzz, Green, O'Neil, Butch, Pruitt, Dooley, Warlick, the multiple baseball coaches before Vitello, etc.