You may be correct--Pitino is a huge draw. But he was a huge draw to Louisville when Hopson committed the first time, and I didn't get the impression that Hopson was too hot on the 'ville then.
The school that really worries me is Kentucky. Scotty basically eliminated them originally because he didn't think Tubby wanted him badly enough, and he didn't really click with Reggie Hansen. There is a different energy with Billy G. at the helm, and UK seems to be much more interested. This is a big UK area, where putting on a blue uni brings a celebrity all of its own. Ravi Moss, for example, is certainly not the best HS player to come out of this area in the past decade, but he is probably the most adored because he played in Lexington.
Even with all that I wrote above, that is still very much undecided.