What teams are we rooting for this weekend?

#51
#51
BigOrangeMojo said:
Need Texas to stomp UGA.

If that happened, this seems to be fair. Prevents rematches.

1 - Oregon
2 -Texas
3 - SMU
4 - Boise
5 - ND
6 - PSU
7- OSU
8 - TN
9 - Indiana
10 - UGA
11 - Miami/Bama
12 - Iowa St/Arizona State
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Nope. Texas short-horns just itching to take over the SEC. That's their M.O. CFP & rankings are irrelevant here. Despise GA, but in this case I hope the dawgs de-horn those steers. If not, look forward to the carnage.
 
#52
#52
Samatwing said:
View attachment 702638
Saw this projection somewhere. No way they do this to Texas and UGA. This would mean Texas next game would likely be a 3rd game vs UGA, and 2nd in a row. I really think they will shuffle seeding based on match ups. How do you do that here?
5 ND v 12 Bama
6 UGA v 11 ASU
7 PSU v Indiana (didn’t play in reg season)
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That’s what I’m seeing. The committee should do whatever it can to avoid a back to back matchup with Georgia for Texas.

On the other hand, if Penn State upsets Oregon and Texas wins, Texas becomes the 1 seed and then Georgia definitely won’t drop to 8th or 9th for fear of that 3rd rematch.

The problem is that if Texas loses the SEC to Georgia, Georgia becomes a 3 loss two seed and Texas mustn’t be the 7 seed. In that case, Texas stays ahead of Notre Dame or drops below TN.

The committee must love all of these excuses to do as they please.
 
#54
#54
wtmvol said:
Pull for Oregon and Texas. We don’t know how much the committee will ding the losers, but those are our best shots at it.
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Texas and Penn State. Oregon wouldn't fall below us, but if they lose, we won't have to play them 2nd round...which is a distinct possibility since we'll most likely be on the 8-9 seed line.

If we can get Indiana in Neyland round 1 and Penn State at a neutral site round 2, we're in the final 4.
 
#55
#55
NighthawkVol said:
Texas and Penn State. Oregon wouldn't fall below us, but if they lose, we won't have to play them 2nd round...which is a distinct possibility since we'll most likely be on the 8-9 seed line.

If we can get Indiana in Neyland round 1 and Penn State at a neutral site round 2, we're in the final 4.
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Interesting take. Although, if Penn State beats Oregon, are we sure we'd rather play them? I haven't seen enough of either this year to know.
 
#57
#57
modernVol said:
CFP website says the rankings are not to be made considering rematches or conference opponents, fwiw
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Agree. I just think the difference in resumes between a 2 loss OSU, UT, a 1 loss IU, and 3 loss UGA is neglieble enough where you can split it up in a way to avoid a rematch.

If that scenario played out, every team has good arguments for being 7 and every team has good arguments for being 10....
 
#58
#58
feathersax said:
Nope. Texas short-horns just itching to take over the SEC. That's their M.O. CFP & rankings are irrelevant here. Despise GA, but in this case I hope the dawgs de-horn those steers. If not, look forward to the carnage.
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Id much rather Texas win and get the realistic potential scenario I laid out.

(Home vs Indiana, Oregon, ND/BSU winner, Champ game) than UGA win and go @tOSU, Oregon, Texas/BSU, Champ game

Id much rather have better path to advance than some pride thing about the fake UT....
 
#59
#59
tricky13 said:
It looks like these are the only games that matter to us.
I think Penn State is unlikely to move below us but we can still hold out some hope there.
Georgia seems very likely to move below us with a loss to Texas
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Texas- Them winning puts Georgia behind us. Georgia winning does not necessarily put Texas behind us. More meh than some might think. Georgia winning does not necessarily hurt us unless for instance SMU, Clemson and Boise State all win big and jump us.

Oregon- them winning most likely puts Penn State behind us.
Big12 dont care that much Iowa State winning is the lowest threat to affect us since they have higher to climb.
Army/Tulane wont matter unless the ACC and MWC both have upsets. If UNLV beats Boise State it could open the door for Tulane. this game wont affect US because either one would be lower seeded than UT even if they got in.
Boise State UNLV winning helps us IF other craziness does not happen. it would prevent Boise from leapfrogging us in final poll.
SMU.. this one is also dependent on other things. SMU winning means they jump over us for sure. Clemson maybe not so much.

Singularly only the BIg10 and SEC winners matter to us. But chaos in the other 3 games could muddy the waters.

Clemson winning helps SEC SoS as they have played 2 SEC schools SMU has played no SEC schools

UNLV beating Boise State is probably the most helpful win outside of Texas/Oregon winning as UNLV is probably too low to leapfrog us.

Tulane is similar as in if they find a way in they would still be behind UT.

I guess it depends on how much of a bump in rankings winning conference championship gives? How much OSU and Miami drop tomorrow and so on. OSU would have to drop 6 spots. If that's true we jump 2 spots unless they put SMU ahead of us which means even more we are rooting for Clemson to win out. There are so many moving parts.
 
#60
#60
Nicovfl8 said:
Yes agree, except SECCG idk who do go for, will UGA not make it if they lose? Or will Texas fall behind us?
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Will SMU drop out if Clemson drills them? Only 1 team from the ACC should make it. We know only 1 Big 12 team is going to make it. 5 at large berths should go to 5 from SEC and Big 1G. My prediction after the championship games this weekend:
In no certain order
Seed 1-4
Georgia
Oregon
Clemson
Boise

Seeds 5-12
Notre Dame
Tennessee
Penn St
Texas
Ohio St
Indiana
Arizona St
Alabama
 
#62
#62
pimo1 said:
Texas- Them winning puts Georgia behind us. Georgia winning does not necessarily put Texas behind us. More meh than some might think. Georgia winning does not necessarily hurt us unless for instance SMU, Clemson and Boise State all win big and jump us.

Oregon- them winning most likely puts Penn State behind us.
Big12 dont care that much Iowa State winning is the lowest threat to affect us since they have higher to climb.
Army/Tulane wont matter unless the ACC and MWC both have upsets. If UNLV beats Boise State it could open the door for Tulane. this game wont affect US because either one would be lower seeded than UT even if they got in.
Boise State UNLV winning helps us IF other craziness does not happen. it would prevent Boise from leapfrogging us in final poll.
SMU.. this one is also dependent on other things. SMU winning means they jump over us for sure. Clemson maybe not so much.

Singularly only the BIg10 and SEC winners matter to us. But chaos in the other 3 games could muddy the waters.

Clemson winning helps SEC SoS as they have played 2 SEC schools SMU has played no SEC schools

UNLV beating Boise State is probably the most helpful win outside of Texas/Oregon winning as UNLV is probably too low to leapfrog us.

Tulane is similar as in if they find a way in they would still be behind UT.

I guess it depends on how much of a bump in rankings winning conference championship gives? How much OSU and Miami drop tomorrow and so on. OSU would have to drop 6 spots. If that's true we jump 2 spots unless they put SMU ahead of us which means even more we are rooting for Clemson to win out. There are so many moving parts.
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PSU aint falling behind us unless they get curbstomped....
 
#63
#63
BigOrangeMojo said:
PSU aint falling behind us unless they get curbstomped....
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But they can (and should, imo) fall behind Ohio with a loss, especially a non-competitive loss.

Ohio beat psu at psu
Ohio also lost by 1 at oregon

So if PSU loses by say, 10+, I certainly would not rank them ahead of Ohio, regardless of the fact that it's a championship game.

Would prefer going to PSU over Ohio
 
#65
#65
Need Oregon to beat Penn State by at least a couple touchdowns. Penn St has played a shat schedule. Just losing alone should help us i would think, a azz kicking helps more.. Georgia would probably have to get boat raced to drop below us and i don't see that happening. I don't think they'd drop Texas below us either.
 
#66
#66
sjt18 said:
Pull for Oregon to thoroughly thump PSU.

Texas losing to UGA for the 2nd time probably wouldn't hurt them much so hope for that one to also be a wide margin win for Texas... just threw up in my mouth a little.

Clemson is realistic and would help the cause.

A Boise loss would add some intrigue.


The "bad news" is that I think the committee will lean toward pairing SEC teams with each other to "diversify" the 2nd and 3rd rounds. I would not be surprised at all if UT has to play the loser of the SEC CG. The caveat would be if a 3 loss team gets in.
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I certainly won't be surprised if they pair it according to the reasoning you claim, but they're supposed to do it impartially. In that scenario, you could see 3 of 4 semifinalists from the SEC.

I know, they don't want it to be the SEC Invitational and that's ok. Maybe
 
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#71
#71
sjt18 said:
Pull for Oregon to thoroughly thump PSU.

Texas losing to UGA for the 2nd time probably wouldn't hurt them much so hope for that one to also be a wide margin win for Texas... just threw up in my mouth a little.

Clemson is realistic and would help the cause.

A Boise loss would add some intrigue.


The "bad news" is that I think the committee will lean toward pairing SEC teams with each other to "diversify" the 2nd and 3rd rounds. I would not be surprised at all if UT has to play the loser of the SEC CG. The caveat would be if a 3 loss team gets in.
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How does Clemson help us? I can’t root for them
 
#72
#72
14 USC
13 OLE MISS
12 MIAMI
11 BAMA
10 BOISE STATE
9 INDIANA
8 SMU
7 TENNESSEE
6 OHIO STATE
5 GEORGIA
4 NOTRE DAME
3 PENN STATE
2 TEXAS
1 OREGON
 
#74
#74
I see no scenario where we get a home game, so I hope everything gets blown up. W for Clemson, BLOWOUT win for UNLV (tired of hearing about Boise State), Iowa State, Texas by 10 touchdowns over UGA, PSU over Oregon big. I just want to upset the whole apple cart and (hopefully) send Bama to the Music City Bowl.
Then have UT bust up in there with a big orange chip on their shoulders.
 
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#75
#75
LegionnaireOfTheMiserable said:
Texas isn’t dropping beneath us. No matter the score. We have a better chance of moving up if Georgia gets obliterated. It would weaken their previous win over Texas and add another loss to their record.
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I'm saying that I doubt they drop Georgia below Tenn after just beating them but they haven't played Texas and could give them the benefit of the doubt if Texas got boat raced.
I don't think either happens if either get boat raced.
 
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