Tl;dr, The EC may actually favor larger states not smaller ones.
Not sure where to put this, and it indirectly impacts presidential elections and it seems we were having EC arguments in here.
Listened to part of an NPR segment on my drive home. It was talking about the transition of the black community from slaves to citizens, and all that happened with that. the various amendments, laws, and so forth. It even brought up the 3/5 compromise.
The question of who the census should count, and the representation in the House based on it. was brought up. during slave times the census counted slaves. however the north didn't think the slaves should count towards representation because they weren't represented citizens. It gave votes without representing the slaves. Unfair advantage to the large slave holding states. eventually they landed on the 3/5 compromise, its even in the constitution Article 1, Section 2, Clause 3. infact it read that all "other people", not just slaves, were to count as 3/5. the 14th eventually over ruled this, to say that all personage is counted.
Per the Constitution everyone should be counted in the census. There is no restriction of citizenship or not. Per the Constitution everyone gets represented even if they don't vote 14th amendment.
reason I bring this up is the age old EC argument that was going on in here.
Not only do you have the citizen population vote representation in the EC difference, but you also have the non-citizens weighing that as well.
A state with more no-citizens is going to get more representation in the House of Representatives, which means they get more EC votes.
The normal argument is that this favors the small states because the 2 senate votes skews it in favor of the medium states 7-20 because of the math break downs(not the small 3 vote states).
But continuing that same line of thinking, the larger states get more representatives, taking away from the smaller states, because they have more non-citizens in them.
U.S. unauthorized immigrant population estimates by state, 2016 This weighs the scale back in favor of the large states. as you can see in the graphic in the link, the larger states have more illegal immigrants. Who are rightly counted in the census, and rightly effect Representation.
Now I haven't done the math, and not even sure how to begin breaking it down. But now it seems that the EC naturally favors both the mid size states as well as the larger states, over the small states. Well not actually "now", it always has. But the nation has always assumed that its the Wyomings being helped, but the math and the Constitution say otherwise.
A citizen in the 7-20, or the larger states, is probably more represented than a citizen in a smaller state.
Let the debate!