Trying to look at this from a purely logical standpoint, I have come to a few conclusions.
First, I think we have to acknowledge that there must be at the very least a grain of truth in what Brent said. Hubbs is normally very conservative in what he says about recruits, and unlike a lot of recruiting pundits, he almost never speaks without some factual basis for what he is saying. That is especially true when he talks about things from the staff point of view. So based on what he has said, I tend to believe him -- he has had 2 days to back off of what he said and has not done so.
So what is going on??
1) Size?? I don't think so. After carefully looking at the pictures here and on TOS, Paul appears to be just an inch (at most) shorter than Moore, and his body is thicker. Moore is listed at 6'1", 205 so I would guess Paul to be 5' 11"-6' (note the tops of their heads, not the top of their hairlines) and probably at least 210.
In addition, the coaches have been around Paul in person before this past weekend, yet they have put a lot of work into his recruitment and to get him here for this OV, so putting the two together, I do not buy the size idea at all.
2) I do not think Paul would be so brazen as to tell a bald faced lie saying that the coaches told him how much they wanted him.
3) So I conclude that something may have happened during the visit. Did he flash gang signs, or did problems crop up when discussing grades?? Did he pick his nose at the team dinner?? We could speculate on what the problem was all day, but the fact is that no one knows, at least at the moment.
So after looking at this logically, what happened?? It has to be either one of two things (possibly both). Either we have a significantly more highly desirable recruit nibbling at our bait where we are anticipating a fairly quick resolution (a possible answer because the numbers crunch is real), or something happened during Paul's visit.
I do not know which is the case -- I am inclined to believe we are waiting on answers from one or more prize recruits. Paul is a player that I would surely think is a take, but that is based only on what I know, not on what the staff knows. I hope this one is resolved soon, in Paul's favor.
mlsoft