'15 MI ATH John Kelly (UT Signee 2/4/15)

#751
#751
bignewt said:
I expect Kelly to more touches than Abernathy. Abernathy will get Pig Howard or Pearson touches as in the feared jet sweep. Kelly can push for more as the season goes on I hope because I don't see Hurd going a full 12 games.
Click to expand...

Agree. Doubt Abernathy is much more than a special teams guy and getting touch's after Hurd, Kamara and Kelly.
 
#752
#752
So you all are thinking more like this?

Main RB Carries (90% of total carriers)
1. Hurd - 45%
2. Kamara - 40%
3. Kelly - 15%
Change of Pace Carries (10% of total carries)
4. Abernathy - 80%
5. Bruce - 20%

Total Carry Breakdown (rounded some of the above numbers up/down)
1 - Hurd - 40%
2 - Kamara - 35%
3 - Kelly - 15%
4 - Abernathy - 8%
5 - Bruce 2%

If we average 30 running back carries a game (not counting QB runs or WR reverses)

Then it would breakdown like this for the regular season for the backs.

Hurd - 145 carries (12 per game)
Kamara - 125 carries (~11 per game)
Kelly - 55 carries (~5 per game)
Abernathy - 29 carries (~2-3 per game)
Bruce - 6 carries (3 in 2 games)
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 person
#753
#753
barring injury that sounds realistic. game situation could merit more carries for Kelly/Bruce if there are more blow outs than close games.
 
#754
#754
Ericvol2096 said:
So you all are thinking more like this?

Main RB Carries (90% of total carriers)
1. Hurd - 45%
2. Kamara - 40%
3. Kelly - 15%
Change of Pace Carries (10% of total carries)
4. Abernathy - 80%
5. Bruce - 20%

Total Carry Breakdown (rounded some of the above numbers up/down)
1 - Hurd - 40%
2 - Kamara - 35%
3 - Kelly - 15%
4 - Abernathy - 8%
5 - Bruce 2%

If we average 30 running back carries a game (not counting QB runs or WR reverses)

Then it would breakdown like this for the regular season for the backs.

Hurd - 145 carries (12 per game)
Kamara - 125 carries (~11 per game)
Kelly - 55 carries (~5 per game)
Abernathy - 29 carries (~2-3 per game)
Bruce - 6 carries (3 in 2 games)
Click to expand...

Hurd should be getting 18-20 carries a game IMO. He's the kind of back that gets better as the game goes on, and can take over in the 4th quarter. JMO of course.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 person
#755
#755
Ericvol2096 said:
So you all are thinking more like this?

Main RB Carries (90% of total carriers)
1. Hurd - 45%
2. Kamara - 40%
3. Kelly - 15%
Change of Pace Carries (10% of total carries)
4. Abernathy - 80%
5. Bruce - 20%

Total Carry Breakdown (rounded some of the above numbers up/down)
1 - Hurd - 40%
2 - Kamara - 35%
3 - Kelly - 15%
4 - Abernathy - 8%
5 - Bruce 2%

If we average 30 running back carries a game (not counting QB runs or WR reverses)

Then it would breakdown like this for the regular season for the backs.

Hurd - 145 carries (12 per game)
Kamara - 125 carries (~11 per game)
Kelly - 55 carries (~5 per game)
Abernathy - 29 carries (~2-3 per game)
Bruce - 6 carries (3 in 2 games)
Click to expand...

Wow....that's very specific. Would love to see how close you were at the end of the season.
 
#756
#756
OGbabyaviVol said:
Hurd should be getting 18-20 carries a game IMO. He's the kind of back that gets better as the game goes on, and can take over in the 4th quarter. JMO of course.
Click to expand...

I agree I think Hurd should get at least 15 touches every game and Kamara should get at least 10. Only games they shouldn't have 25-30 carries between those two alone should be games we are way ahead at half.
 
#759
#759
white65 said:
I think 95% of all carries(that mean anything) will be Hurd, Karama, or Dobbs.
Click to expand...

I have such mixed emotions about Dobbs running a lot this year since he's so much fun to watch run, however I also don't want to see him get hurt. Last year he had to run a lot because we pretty much only had Hurd, but know with Kamara and all if not most of the WR healed I hope he runs enough to keep the D's on their toes but not so much as he's getting pounded by LB's and safety's.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 2 people
#762
#762
white65 said:
I think 95% of all carries(that mean anything) will be Hurd, Karama, or Dobbs.
Click to expand...

As long as those 3 are healthy, I think you're right. Our WRs will get more meaningful carries on those end arounds we love to run than the RBs behind Hurd and Kamara will get.
 
#763
#763
MCScots4 said:
I agree I think Hurd should get at least 15 touches every game and Kamara should get at least 10. Only games they shouldn't have 25-30 carries between those two alone should be games we are way ahead at half.
Click to expand...

Well I think you all are confusing averages for what would happen every game.

Like many are saying hopefully the Vols will be in big lead situations about 5 times at least this season.

I could see Jalen only getting 8-10 carries or so in those type games (could still net 100 yards with those limited touches).

Then in the 6 big games He would have more in the 15-20 rushes area with 12-15 for Kamara.
 
#765
#765
Unless someone is completely shutting our offense down, I expect Hurd to get 6-8 carries a quarter. I expect Kamara to get 4-5 carries a quarter. Depending on who's got the hot hand that particular game, the carries could be the other way around. I expect a lot of sustained drive and not near as many 3 and outs. Even with only marginally better line play, the offense should be very hard to stop.
 
#770
#770
Abernathy won't play running back unless we find ourselves in some major, major doo doo and even then he'd probably only be used as a scat back.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 2 people
#771
#771
Can't say I understand all the folks ready to assign significant carries to a miniature mid-major transfer?

What am I missing that is going to steal carries from our two 5-Star stud tailbacks currently on the roster :dunno:
 
  • Like
Reactions: 2 people
#772
#772
FWIW, we averaged just over 40 carries per game last year including sacks. Our RB corps accounted for almost 64% of those carries, averaging a little under 26 totes per game, while our WRs had just 4% of the total carries.

Assuming our OL blocks better and our overall running game is improved with a fully healthy Hurd and the addition of Kamara, I think we can realistically look for 28-32 carries per game out of our RBs. If their YPC average is in the 5.0-5.5 range and Dobbs is as effective on the ground as he was last year, we could very well average over 200 yards per game rushing for the 1st time since 1998.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 2 people
#773
#773
85SugarVol said:
Can't say I understand all the folks ready to assign significant carries to a miniature mid-major transfer?

What am I missing that is going to steal carries from our two 5-Star stud tailbacks currently on the roster :dunno:
Click to expand...

This

Assuming Hurd and Kamara remain un injured, there will be crumbs falling from the table for anyone else at RB
 
  • Like
Reactions: 2 people
#774
#774
85SugarVol said:
Can't say I understand all the folks ready to assign significant carries to a miniature mid-major transfer?

What am I missing that is going to steal carries from our two 5-Star stud tailbacks currently on the roster :dunno:
Click to expand...

5 or so carries a game to give the main two a breather isn't significant.
 
#775
#775
Lane got 86 carries last year, so 60-70 carries to a guy that isn't an SEC caliber back is too many....

He will have 40 at best IMO
 
New posts
You must log in or register to reply here.

VN Store



Back
Top