2025 Seed Watch Party Thread

[Chaz-Vol]

Here goes Lunardi flip-flopping… again.

Probably Florida getting the one seed unless vols absolute smoke them by 10-15. Committee is lazy and has shown in the past brackets are mostly set unless something very abnormal happens

 

[VolCalls]

You think we get the 1 with a win? If so, you’ve definitely done a 180. I’ve softened on my thought the SEC tourney didn’t matter but I still don’t think today does. I hope I’m wrong and really hope we get to find out!

I’ve never said we can’t get a 1.

 

[Stoerner Fumbles]

Here it is folks. This is why you ALWAYS want the 1 seed over a 2 seed. Plus, people are quickly forgetting last year. Had we been the 1 out West instead of UNC we would’ve made the Final 4. Instead, we were the top 2 seed and drew Edey.
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Wait, better teams win more often?

 

[ZZ13]

I'm going with Auburn freefalled to a 2 and Tennessee and Florida are both 1s, rendering todays game irrelevant. You heard it here first.

 

[hUTch2002]

What people fail to understand and research is that not only did we have better non conference schedule and wins, we also had the tougher conference schedule. There are some on here that may never come around to understanding that with 14-18 team conferences, there are unbalanced conference schedules. Not all records are the same. Happens in football, too.

We did. They had 2 in conference road wins better than any of ours though and finished 2 losses better so I think that offsets the schedule difference. Hopefully we win and get the answers.

 

[hUTch2002]

Wait, better teams win more often?

If we get the 4th 1 or the first 2, are we really that different a team? Apparently which seed we want is quite the debate but the numbers prove it’s better to be the 1 as they have an easier path. If it were close maybe you could chalk it up to better teams but they’re twice as likely. It’s not even close.

 

[hUTch2002]

I’ve never said we can’t get a 1.

You’ve said the SEC tourney didn’t matter though, right? I did.

 

[VolCalls]

You’ve said the SEC tourney didn’t matter though, right? I did.

Nope. Don’t recall I’ve ever said that either.

 

[hUTch2002]

Nope. Don’t recall I’ve ever said that either.

Must have you mixed with someone else then. My bad.

 

[Stoerner Fumbles]

If we get the 4th 1 or the first 2, are we really that different a team? Apparently which seed we want is quite the debate but the numbers prove it’s better to be the 1 as they have an easier path. If it were close maybe you could chalk it up to better teams but they’re twice as likely. It’s not even close.

I haven’t seen that debate. I’d like a one seed. Beyond that, the complexity of the data isn’t easily sorted as you think. Everyone wants to reduce it to some binary, and that’s just not accurate. There’s quite a bit of statistical analysis on the difference in quality of certain ranked positions over others. Purdue was a one, as was UCONN. The odds gap bet those two teams last year was big over the other two ones. The odds gap between 4, 5 and 6 was not big. And on and on.

 

[VolGee4]

We did. They had 2 in conference road wins better than any of ours though and finished 2 losses better so I think that offsets the schedule difference. Hopefully we win and get the answers.

They played UGA and USC as home and homes while we played UK and Vandy. Their resume got much closer toward the end, and the metrics and eye test favor them.

 

[MinisterofDef#92]

Agree. The better squad certainly doesn’t always win in the tournament. All it takes is one poor shooting game and some bad breaks and a better team will be gone.

This is what too many of our drive-bys/trolls ignore

 

[hUTch2002]

I haven’t seen that debate. I’d like a one seed. Beyond that, the complexity of the data isn’t easily sorted as you think. Everyone wants to reduce it to some binary, and that’s just not accurate. There’s quite a bit of statistical analysis on the difference in quality of certain ranked positions over others. Purdue was a one, as was UCONN. The odds gap bet those two teams last year was big over the other two ones. The odds gap between 4, 5 and 6 was not big. And on and on.

And that’s fair. Overall I wouldn’t think 1s are twice as good as 2s. It is complex though for sure.

 

[Chaz-Vol]

I'll be watching tonight fingers crossed not to have Kansas and that man child hunter dickenson as 7 seed

 

[TrippieRedd]

I'll be watching tonight fingers crossed not to have Kansas and that man child hunter dickenson as 7 seed

That would be our luck

 

[JMSqb11]

Must have you mixed with someone else then. My bad.

Rule #1 of VolNation fight club, never admit mistake or apologize.

 

[GBO18]

@ABtheVolsfan92 who do you NOT want to see in our bracket in the 7/10 game? Please narrow down the list to 20 teams.

 

[JMSqb11]

Guys we played great today and just got edged by arguably the hottest and best team in the country.

If we play with the same energy and output by Gainey, we will be fine. It’s unlikely we would run into Houston or Duke (since same conference can’t have 1 and 2 seed) that would have same front court ability as Florida.

 

[volsarelife1]

@ABtheVolsfan92 who do you NOT want to see in our bracket in the 7/10 game? Please narrow down the list to 20 teams.

He's more worried about our 15/2 matchup. Trying to decide who may give us the biggest trouble and beat us

 

[Voltopia]

I'm going with Auburn freefalled to a 2 and Tennessee and Florida are both 1s, rendering todays game irrelevant. You heard it here first.

Ha. If that happens I will eat all my hats. :-D

 

[Legion of Doom]

If Alabama gets Lexington over Vols that is ridiculous. We were way more competitive and beat Alabama head to head and beat Auburn this weekend. Alabama just beat a depleted Kentucky team.

 

[JMSqb11]

He's more worried about our 15/2 matchup. Trying to decide who may give us the biggest trouble and beat us

If we are worried about a 15 seed, we need to hang it up. Not being arrogant or cocky but we are not running into a 15 seed that is capable of being as physical as who we just played the last 2 games.

Especially with Gainey getting hot as the 3rd scorer.

 

[VolCalls]

If Alabama gets Lexington over Vols that is ridiculous. We were way more competitive and beat Alabama head to head and beat Auburn this weekend. Alabama just beat a depleted Kentucky team.

I can’t imagine any scenario where that happens.

 

[Unconditional Surrender]

I want the 2 seed in Houston's region with first two rounds in Lexington please

 

[TheMookieMonster]

Just praying to not be in Duke’s region. I know it’s not logistically possible, but I’d even be okay with going to Auburn’s region. I know it will be Duke or Houston though.