emainvol
Giver of Sexy
- Joined
- Feb 4, 2006
- Messages
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Not at all, but the past tends to be a pretty good indicator of the future, and I have a hard time thinking a guy who got his brains beat in by the worst head coach in Tennessee is the guy that will right the ship.
I just like to use colorful and strong language in conveying that doubt.
I don't know him, but I wanted to spice things up. It appears to have worked
An appeal to absurdity is not a logical argument. Your ability to imagine something is not indicative of future results.
Obviously.
Not at all, but the past tends to be a pretty good indicator of the future, and I have a hard time thinking a guy who got his brains beat in by the worst head coach in Tennessee history is the guy that will right the ship. I just like to use colorful and strong language in conveying that doubt.
What the hell do you think he would be doing here? Oh yeah, I forgot where Dooley left him a team full of first round talent that challenged for the national championship last year and fell just a little bit short. Must have confused myself when I changed the subject from Butch Jones' coaching history to Butch Jones' coaching history.
Oh give me a break, you know exactly what I'm saying. It is wholly logical to think a guy will fail based on past results. That said, thank you for a reply that isn't the dumb **** "you are a failure because you think about a football team is going to be bad" argument that Sparty wanted to employ.
What?? Dude, try to stay focused. We were talking about his previous success and comparing it to Kelly. You were losing the argument, as usual, so you changed the subject about what programs he has rebuilt. What? I'm done, it's useless trying to talk facts with you. You're too hellbent on saying how much he has sucked, how much he sucks right now and how much he will suck.....
It is completely illogical to base your argument on an appeal to absurdity. You even framed the argument based on what you can't imagine.
For the record, someone else could easily project success for CBJ based on his historical success. He's won everywhere he's been.
How would building or not building programs be a different discussion than previous success? If you wanted to outline Nick Saban's previous success, would you not, at some point in your argument, say something like "oh yeah, and he rebuilt LSU and Alabama after the guys before him tore them down." That's a example of his previous success and something Butch Jones will have to do in the future if he is going to be successful. If you don't think it's important, fine, but I certainly do.
I'll ask again, are you proposing that nothing happens unless it's happened before?
In other words, Saban's first rebuild was... wait for it... his first rebuild. Kelly's first rebuild was his first...?
They were selected for those rebuilds due to their historical success. CBJ's previous success matches theirs very closely.
No, I'm saying the past can indicate the future. Jones has never been in this position.
Most coaches fail when put in this position, so, I happen to think Jones will do the same. History is on my side
Lack of evidence is not an evidence of lack.
Please show me the statistics that bear this out. Otherwise, you're just waving your arms.
And to make it an appropriate sampling, please only include the statistics for coaches with an .800 winning percentage or better, who were given the opportunity of a rebuild. For the sake of our agreement, please indicate what will be considered a successful rebuild.
Edit: I'm sure it should be available quickly. You have the data already, since you know it well enough to reference it, right? Or were you making an argument on made-up facts?
Is history really on your side?
Alabama went through how many coaches? Ore Miss has sucked for years and through multiple coaches, MSU did the sane, Dooley failed here, and I could go through this all day. Kentucky, Vandy, etc.
That's just the SEC
I like Ainge, but I think Basilio's article on this is very informative.
Jay got a $50K raise; evidently the Cryptkeeper came back with some more money, but not equivalent (thanks Hart, Hambone, and Booger for everything you've done for Tennessee).
Moreover, Basilio talks about how important Graham was in holding the 2013 class together when Doolander and his staff, contrary to his TV rhetoric, quit recruiting.
Jay has handled this as professionally as possible. As Basilio says, the honeymoon for Butch is coming to an end.
I didn't ask for anecdotal evidence. You used a statistical reference, so I'm asking for the statistics that you used to support the argument.
"Most" is a big word, and I believe it has an important bearing on the feasibility of UT's coming rebuild, as you obviously do also.
So, where are the stats for all coaches with an .800 or better previous winning percentage, who have attempted a rebuild. Let's see if "most" have failed.
(Should we define an agreeable definition for "most", or just use 51%?)