All things STOCKS

#15,552
#15,552
Vol737 said:
Watching UPS. Looking to add shares once this stabilizes. Was a little too soon taking a position in it, but I’m fine watching and adding when things improve. I own AAPL, IBM and UPS. Likely will for the next ten years. Stops in, of course if something starts a sell off.
Click to expand...

That last UPS/Teamsters contract through 2028 will take a while to digest. But it also means that there shouldn’t be a strike in the next 5 years and they shouldn’t be facing a labor shortage either. I figure the stock will bottom soon and there’ll be a double or two coming. And while waiting, the dividend yield is currently just under 5% ($6.52) and the earning of almost $10 easily cover.

Fuel and labor are probably their 2 biggest expenses and petro might stay at a reasonable level for a while. I see the brown trucks in the neighborhood far more than the FedEx or Amazon trucks. But that might be because the family across the street has a delivery of some sort almost every day. I also own Waste Management. All of that packaging has to go somewhere. I almost bought a packaging company (WestRock: WRK) last year but changed my mind after it popped. Mistake as it had a well received merger announcement shortly after.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Vol737
#15,553
#15,553
Vol737 said:
Worth watching. The three regional banks I own have held up well in spite of this news. May just be that NYCB has a lot of exposure to NY real estate that’s starting to have a tough time, whereas other regionals do not.
Click to expand...

I think I saw somebody interviewed today that said NYCB own/owned a lot of NY office properties that they bought at $800/sf and are having trouble unloading for $300/sf while the municipality is simultaneously raising their property taxes. Maybe that’s the big write down in the linked story. The banking regulators are making them increase their liquidity. Democratic-Socialism doesn’t work, people.

BlackStone must be making a lot of acquisitions for pennies in the dollar about now.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Vol737
#15,554
#15,554
Thunder Good-Oil said:
I think I saw somebody interviewed today that said NYCB own/owned a lot of NY office properties that they bought at $800/sf and are having trouble unloading for $300/sf while the municipality is simultaneously raising their property taxes. Maybe that’s the big write down in the linked story. The banking regulators are making them increase their liquidity. Democratic-Socialism doesn’t work, people.

BlackStone must be making a lot of acquisitions for pennies in the dollar about now.
Click to expand...
You saying we don't need bank regulators? 1929

BX stock seems fairly priced or maybe a little high? I started buying 15-20 years ago so I'm happy, but the market seems a little
high to me.
 
Last edited:
#15,555
#15,555
Thunder Good-Oil said:
That last UPS/Teamsters contract through 2028 will take a while to digest. But it also means that there shouldn’t be a strike in the next 5 years and they shouldn’t be facing a labor shortage either. I figure the stock will bottom soon and there’ll be a double or two coming. And while waiting, the dividend yield is currently just under 5% ($6.52) and the earning of almost $10 easily cover.

Fuel and labor are probably their 2 biggest expenses and petro might stay at a reasonable level for a while. I see the brown trucks in the neighborhood far more than the FedEx or Amazon trucks. But that might be because the family across the street has a delivery of some sort almost every day. I also own Waste Management. All of that packaging has to go somewhere. I almost bought a packaging company (WestRock: WRK) last year but changed my mind after it popped. Mistake as it had a well received merger announcement shortly after.
Click to expand...
Agree. Yes, I’ve owned WM for about ten years now. Has treated me really well. We can’t win them all, we just have to win most of them.
 
#15,556
#15,556
Go aeiou said:
You saying we don't need bank regulators? 1929

BX stock seems fairly priced or maybe a little high? I started buying 15-20 years ago so I'm happy, but the market seems a little
high to me.
Click to expand...

No. I meant to associate that comment with the real estate falling in value by more than half, yet the NYC government was increasing the taxes on the property.
 
#15,557
#15,557
Vol737 said:
Agree. Yes, I’ve owned WM for about ten years now. Has treated me really well. We can’t win them all, we just have to win most of them.
Click to expand...

A long time ago I had a finance professor tell us that about 15 stocks is the ideal number to hold in a portfolio. I’ve strayed far from that rule. I figure own a bunch of names and let them run. The more you hold the more likely there will be a few that double 5-10 times.

The danger of owning too many different stocks is that at some point it can just resemble a fund representing a broad market average. So I don’t rebalance by selling winning LT holdings. But I will try to avoid getting too concentrated in an industry or sector by putting new money to work in something underrepresented. Might as well just own total market index funds if I’m not going to be overly concentrated in something.

Occasionally I’ll sell half of a new holding if it zooms shortly after I’ve purchased it. That was a mistake when I sold half of NVDA. Good thing I kept the other 50% though.
 
  • Like
Reactions: tbh and Vol737
#15,558
#15,558
Private Equity and M&A look well positioned. Actually Apollo (APO) and KKR (KKR) have done well while Carlyle Group (CG) has been dead money. With lower interest rates coming, deal making ought to pick up. If the Left gives up power to the Right in No ember then government interference will be less of an issue. Maybe Goldman will become an in demand financial.
 
#15,560
#15,560
I saw on CNBC that Meta/FB added $200B in market cap in one day. That’s more than the entire value of CSCO and of INTC. Who had that on their Bingo card in 2000?
 
#15,561
#15,561
Been eyeing OPEN a good bit recently, seems like a good real estate player to get in on before the fed starts cutting interest rates.
 
#15,562
#15,562
Freedom said:
Been eyeing OPEN a good bit recently, seems like a good real estate player to get in on before the fed starts cutting interest rates.
Click to expand...

Maybe. But lower rates won’t matter much as an expense since they flip houses so quickly. And lower rates equate to higher purchase prices. But on the other side - lower interest rates might help them find buyers from those that can qualify for those lower rate mortgages. But again, home prices will go up and even with more favorable mortgages, homes might be too expensive to buyers.

Being a SPAC, a single digit stock, and having lost almost 95% of their value I’d be very cautious getting involved with shares of OPEN. Risk/reward is highly relevant.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Freedom
#15,565
#15,565
Velo Vol said:
Amazing.

Click to expand...


Kind of like when that sock puppet company was more valuable than Lockheed-Martin. A marketing campaign for a website that sold pet supplies for 2 years created more value than a company making and putting satellites orbiting the planet. But at least NVDA makes stuff that is useful.
 
#15,568
#15,568
  • Like
Reactions: Go aeiou
#15,569
#15,569
BigOrangeMojo said:
The most overrated fund manager out there...

www.investors.com

Morningstar Calls Cathie Wood The Worst 'Wealth Destroyer'

No one wants to be known as the largest wealth destroyer.
www.investors.com www.investors.com

She's Jim Cramer in a skirt. When she says something, do the opposite...
Click to expand...
I don't know if I've ever seen a Wall Street figure get a bigger pass than her. She's a great analyst (maybe) who is just way over her skis as a portfolio manager. Her risk management skills are up their with LTCM and Bill Hwang, the only difference being since she manages public funds she can't completely blow herself up.
 
#15,570
#15,570
Cathie Wood buys a lot of companies that I’ve never heard of. She seems to ignore fundamentals though. Lots of sky high earnings per share ratios and many times book value.

She got a lot of mileage from purchasing TSLA a couple of years ago. She publishes all of her stock purchases, so before her star got dim there were lots of buyers of those stocks which would then pump up the those share prices and her ETF prices. Now the opposite might be happening - she’ll buy something, publish the buy(s), and then investors will sell what she is buying.
 
#15,571
#15,571
She underperformed all the way to 2020, had a 12-18 month run where she and pretty much every person in the stock market made a ton of money, got on TV a bunch, and has woefully underperformed in 2022, 2023, and 2024....

In a decade long bull market, she significantly underperformed 85% of the time
 
#15,572
#15,572
If you had 20+k sitting in your bank account and you didn't need to use it for anything what would you do with it? How would you invest it say for 5 to 10 years give or take? What would be the best roi?
 
#15,573
#15,573
Coug said:
If you had 20+k sitting in your bank account and you didn't need to use it for anything what would you do with it? How would you invest it say for 5 to 10 years give or take? What would be the best roi?
Click to expand...

Low fee ETFs for sure.

The 11 Select Sector ETFs. Home - Unique ETFs that divide the S&P 500 into 11 sectors | Select Sector SPDRs

The biggest ETFs that reflect the DJIA, NASDAQ 100 and S and P 500. DIA. QQQ, SPY.

Any of Vanguards biggest ETFs. VTI. VOO.

I’d stick with the biggest ETFs with low fees.

etfdb.com

Largest ETFs: Top 100 ETFs By Assets

etfdb.com etfdb.com
 
#15,574
#15,574
It’s not a bad time to buy bond ETFs either. Pretty low risk. Good yields. Will increase in value with every interest rate cut. I recently added BND looking to do better than a bank account in the next 6 months.

The best idea for about $20k to to buy the inflation protected government debt through TreasuryDirect dot com. I Bonds. There are annual limits and withdrawal restriction, but the interest paid is very good. I think that you have to open an online account with them and can not buy through a brokerage account like Schwab, E-Trade, or Fidelity.

I bonds — TreasuryDirect

www.treasurydirect.gov www.treasurydirect.gov
 
#15,575
#15,575
I used to categorize two types of risk. Market Risk and Security Risk. I guess those are now called Systemic and Unsystemic. Diversification using ETFs can reduce unsystemic risk considerably.

www.investopedia.com

What Is Unsystematic Risk? Types and Measurements Explained

Unsystematic risk is a company or industry-specific hazard that is inherent in each investment. Learn how to reduce unsystematic risks in your investments.
www.investopedia.com www.investopedia.com


www.investopedia.com

Systemic Risk vs. Systematic Risk: What's the Difference?

Systemic risk generally refers to an event that can trigger a collapse in a particular industry or economy, while systematic risk refers to those coming from the overall market.
www.investopedia.com www.investopedia.com
 
New posts
You must log in or register to reply here.

VN Store



Back
Top