Bracketmatrix 2021-22

#327
#327
O&W said:
Just for fun, if we went 5-1 or 6-0 over these last 6, where do you think we’d be seeded?
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At that point it becomes a lot about what others in front do…theoretically at 6-0 a 1 seed would be in play if those in front of us drop a few. At 6-0 or 5-1 it’s hard to see being worse than a 2 seed imo.
 
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#329
#329
golfballs said:
If we’re going to pick a player who it hinges on, then it’s got to be Chandler. He’s the most integral part of our offense
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I disagree that any one player has the highest potential to raise our ceiling. We have lots of players who can score when open or with a step on the D. We have no player who can reliably score on tight defense. Fulkerson, JJJ, Chandler, and ZZ have all scored of good defense. None of them have scored when the other team commits to preventing that single player from scoring. Our ceiling will be defined by offensive balance. That’s the only way we’ll keep a team from shutting us down. Our ball sharing recently is very promising, but against the middle of the league. It will be very interesting to see what we do tomorrow.
 
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#330
#330
Stoerner Fumbles said:
I disagree that any one player has the highest potential to raise our ceiling. We have lots of players who can score when open or with a step on the D. We have no player who can reliably score on tight defense. Fulkerson, JJJ, Chandler, and ZZ have all scored of good defense. None of them have scored when the other team commits to preventing that single player from scoring. Our ceiling will be defined by offensive balance. That’s the only way we’ll keep a team from shutting us down. Our ball sharing recently is very promising, but against the middle of the league. It will be very interesting to see what we do tomorrow.
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I do too, I’m just saying if we have to pick one…
 
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#331
#331
golfballs said:
I do too, I’m just saying if we have to pick one…
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I believe they’re thinking that you’re referring to “the X factor” which you’re not. The X-factor is definitely JJJ. But the one player that is most needed to secure a deep run is Chandler. He holds the key because if he’s on (low turnovers, high assists, great defense, and scoring), this team becomes incredibly tough to beat. If you have a scoring PG, it makes help defense so much harder and it opens up other players.
 
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#332
#332
Updated matrix last night…

1. Gonzaga
2. Auburn
3. Arizona
4. Kansas W
———
5. Kentucky
6. Purdue
7. Baylor
8. Duke
———
9. Villanova
10. Texas Tech
11. Wisconsin
12. Providence
———
13. Illinois
14. UCLA
15. Tennessee
16. Houston
———
17. Texas
18. Michigan State
19. Ohio State
20. Alabama
———
21. LSU
22. Marquette
23. Xavier
24. UCONN
 
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#335
#335
Stoerner Fumbles said:
I disagree that any one player has the highest potential to raise our ceiling. We have lots of players who can score when open or with a step on the D. We have no player who can reliably score on tight defense. Fulkerson, JJJ, Chandler, and ZZ have all scored of good defense. None of them have scored when the other team commits to preventing that single player from scoring. Our ceiling will be defined by offensive balance. That’s the only way we’ll keep a team from shutting us down. Our ball sharing recently is very promising, but against the middle of the league. It will be very interesting to see what we do tomorrow.
Click to expand...


IMO, the player that determines W-L of a tight game is Vescovi. If a team shuts him down, we have a very hard time winning the game, especially if that team has a good D, as Ky does.
If Vescovi gets in early foul trouble tonight, it'll be a long night. Hope he eliminates that one or two ridiculous fouls that he has a tendency to commit.
 
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#336
#336
bleedingTNorange said:
Updated matrix last night…

1. Gonzaga
2. Auburn
3. Arizona
4. Kansas W
———
5. Kentucky
6. Purdue
7. Baylor
8. Duke
———
9. Villanova
10. Texas Tech
11. Wisconsin
12. Providence
———
13. Illinois
14. UCLA
15. Tennessee
16. Houston
———
17. Texas
18. Michigan State
19. Ohio State
20. Alabama
———
21. LSU
22. Marquette
23. Xavier
24. UCONN
Click to expand...

Tennessee has played one hell of a schedule this year.
 
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#339
#339
If we can finish over Duke on the seed list then I’d expect we’d play our first round games in Greenville. Otherwise it will go knows where based on how the top few seed lines are bracketed. I’d guess Pittsburgh or Buffalo being most likely even if we flop and get a 6 seed.
 
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#340
#340
golfballs said:
If we can finish over Duke on the seed list then I’d expect we’d play our first round games in Greenville. Otherwise it will go knows where based on how the top few seed lines are bracketed. I’d guess Pittsburgh or Buffalo being most likely even if we flop and get a 6 seed.
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I’d be willing to bet precious Duke would still get the Greenville draw
 
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#344
#344
TheMookieMonster said:
They’d get the Greeneville draw and we’d be placed there, too. Would have to face them in a de facto home game in the Sweet 16. It would be classic Tennessee luck.
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It’s only the first two rounds there. If we play them in the second round it would have to be were a 6 seed or worse. The only real home game possibilities in the S16 is Villanova in Philadelphia which technically can happen even if they aren’t the highest seed. But I’d be kind of surprised.
 
#345
#345
I still think a 3 Seed is realistic at this point.
Providence and Wisconsin? UCLA?
Some Bias I do believe
No reason we should not be a 3 seed at this point.
 
#346
#346
golfballs said:
If we can finish over Duke on the seed list then I’d expect we’d play our first round games in Greenville. Otherwise it will go knows where based on how the top few seed lines are bracketed. I’d guess Pittsburgh or Buffalo being most likely even if we flop and get a 6 seed.
Click to expand...
They are gonna call K and ask him who and where he wants to play.
 
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#347
#347
Updated matrix last night…

1. Gonzaga
2. Auburn
3. Arizona
4. Kansas W
———
5. Kentucky L
6. Purdue
7. Baylor
8. Duke W
———
9. Villanova W
10. Texas Tech
11. Wisconsin W
12. Providence L
———
13. Illinois
14. UCLA
15. Tennessee W
16. Houston
———
17. Texas W
18. Michigan State L
19. Ohio State W
20. Alabama
———
21. LSU
22. Marquette
23. Xavier
24. UCONN
 
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#350
#350
We’re 5-6 in Q1 games. Vandy is just hanging out at 76. They need to move up one more spot to be a Q1 win for us.

Arkansas moved up to 30th, so as of now that’s another Q1 win opportunity (at home). We have 3 Q1 games left and so give ourself a good chance at finishing with a 500 or better record in Q1 games which seems significant. I’ve heard the committee in the past use that as a measuring stick, since the tourney is mostly Q1 matchups outside of the 1 round.
 
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