Bracketmatrix 2021-22

#478
#478
Surprised that Arkansas didn’t move up at all. We move over Auburn and Purdue with a road win over Missouri, and Arkansas remains at 23 despite a road win over Florida
 
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#483
#483
bleedingTNorange said:
I’ll be curious to see next update how much we close in on Nova
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Villanova took a tumble in the resume ranks, from 9th to 13th. We moved up to 10th. We’re now tied with them in average across NET/Resume/Quality. I think if it’s that close though the committee will defer to h2h matchup
 
#484
#484
golfballs said:
Villanova took a tumble in the resume ranks, from 9th to 13th. We moved up to 10th. We’re now tied with them in average across NET/Resume/Quality. I think if it’s that close though the committee will defer to h2h matchup
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Tennessee and Villanova have very similar résumés, now that you mention it. Similar records in Q1 games, no losses outside Q1, similar roster/lineup construction (4 guard lineup).

The interesting thing is that we didn't develop or adopt our 4 guard lineup until later on in the season. Going back up against them with what we've been playing with more recently would be an interesting rematch.
 
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#486
#486
golfballs said:
Villanova took a tumble in the resume ranks, from 9th to 13th. We moved up to 10th. We’re now tied with them in average across NET/Resume/Quality. I think if it’s that close though the committee will defer to h2h matchup
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I’m curious how much they’ll dive into recency over H2H from first couple weeks of the season, obviously no way to know. Per Barttorvik since January 16th (post Kentucky blowout L), we are the 5th best team in the country.
 
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#487
#487
cncchris33 said:
Tennessee and Villanova have very similar résumés, now that you mention it. Similar records in Q1 games, no losses outside Q1, similar roster/lineup construction (4 guard lineup).

The interesting thing is that we didn't develop or adopt our 4 guard lineup until later on in the season. Going back up against them with what we've been playing with more recently would be an interesting rematch.
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It’s been interesting to watch Barttorvik’s ratings, for weeks I’ve been watching what it looks like if you filter from 1/16/22 (post Kentucky L), and we’ve consistently been Top 8 and are currently Top 5. Also an interesting tool to see who’s playing well heading into the tourney etc.
 
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#488
#488
Updated results…

1. Gonzaga
2. Arizona
3. Kansas W
4. Auburn W
———
5. Kentucky W
6. Purdue
7. Baylor W
8. Duke W
———
9. Villanova L
10. Texas Tech W
11. Illinois
12. Tennessee W
———
13. Wisconsin W
14. UCLA W
15. Providence W
16. Houston W
———
17. Texas W
18. Alabama W
19. Ohio State W
20. UCONN W
———
21. LSU L
22. Arkansas W
23. USC
24. Michigan State L
 
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#489
#489
Posted this elsewhere but probably better here…

Strong closes from Vanderbilt (79), Colorado (81) and South Carolina (87) would be huge…all 3 are currently Q2 away game wins and Vandy & SC both are Q3 home wins…if those teams can get to Top 75 it would add 3 Q1 wins to our resume and 2 Q2 wins to our resume, would really give our resume a boost.
 
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#490
#490
bleedingTNorange said:
Posted this elsewhere but probably better here…

Strong closes from Vanderbilt (79), Colorado (81) and South Carolina (87) would be huge…all 3 are currently Q2 away game wins and Vandy & SC both are Q3 home wins…if those teams can get to Top 75 it would add 3 Q1 wins to our resume and 2 Q2 wins to our resume, would really give our resume a boost.
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I know Top 75 on the road is Q1, is Top 75 at home the cutoff for Q2 wins?
 
#492
#492
Updated results…

1. Gonzaga W
2. Arizona
3. Kansas W
4. Auburn W
———
5. Kentucky W
6. Purdue
7. Baylor W
8. Duke W
———
9. Villanova L
10. Texas Tech W
11. Illinois L
12. Tennessee W
———
13. Wisconsin W
14. UCLA W/L
15. Providence W
16. Houston W
———
17. Texas W
18. Alabama W
19. Ohio State W/W
20. UCONN W
———
21. LSU L
22. Arkansas W
23. USC
24. Michigan State L
 
#493
#493
A win Saturday and I think it’s definitely possible we move to the 2 line heading into the following Saturday's game against Arkansas. We should be 10/11 after tonight’s results, a win against Auburn coupled with just a loss or two by teams ahead of us (there’s some H2H), and gotta think it’s plausible.
 
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#494
#494
Matrix update from tonight, it obviously won’t include tonight’s results and even yesterdays will be factored to a lesser extent, so I’ll include game results from Wednesday and Thursday…

1. Arizona
2. Gonzaga W
3. Kansas
4. Auburn W
———
5. Kentucky W
6. Purdue
7. Baylor
8. Duke W
———
9. Texas Tech
10. Villanova
11. Illinois L
12. Tennessee
———
13. Wisconsin W
14. UCLA L
15. Providence W
16. Houston W
———
17. Texas W
18. UCONN
19. Alabama
20. Ohio State W
———
21. Arkansas
22. USC
23. LSU
24. Marquette
 
#496
#496
bleedingTNorange said:
A win Saturday and I think it’s definitely possible we move to the 2 line heading into the following Saturday's game against Arkansas. We should be 10/11 after tonight’s results, a win against Auburn coupled with just a loss or two by teams ahead of us (there’s some H2H), and gotta think it’s plausible.
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Based on Lunardi’s projections, we’d be at 11th with the Illinois loss. However, I don’t think we’d jump to the 2 line even if we go 3-0 unless other teams ahead of us lose. If those teams don’t lose, I don’t see them jumping us above Texas Tech.
 
#497
#497
BallerVolFan said:
Based on Lunardi’s projections, we’d be at 11th with the Illinois loss. However, I don’t think we’d jump to the 2 line even if we go 3-0 unless other teams ahead of us lose. If those teams don’t lose, I don’t see them jumping us above Texas Tech.
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Between now and Saturday you have:
Purdue @ Michigan State
Kentucky @ Arkansas
Kansas @ Baylor
Baylor @ Texas
Providence @ Villanova
Purdue @ Wisconsin

Those can’t all end in ties
 
#499
#499
bleedingTNorange said:
Between now and Saturday you have:
Purdue @ Michigan State
Kentucky @ Arkansas
Kansas @ Baylor
Baylor @ Texas
Providence @ Villanova
Purdue @ Wisconsin

Those can’t all end in ties
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I didn’t word my previous post very well. Just for this week only, the team we could jump from those games would be Villanova. The other teams that are already on the 2 seed line would probably have to lose another game in the next 2 weeks for us to jump them. I do think there is a good case for us to make for a 2 seed if we go 3-0 but we would need some help from a team or 2. I doubt the committee jumps us over multiple teams that also win out the rest of the regular season.
 
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#500
#500
BallerVolFan said:
I didn’t word my previous post very well. Just for this week only, the team we could jump from those games would be Villanova. The other teams that are already on the 2 seed line would probably have to lose another game in the next 2 weeks for us to jump them. I do think there is a good case for us to make for a 2 seed if we go 3-0 but we would need some help from a team or 2. I doubt the committee jumps us over multiple teams that also win out the rest of the regular season.
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And that’s what I was saying, we win this Saturday and heading into next Saturday’s finale I think we are quite possibly a 2…the games I listed are all prior to next Saturday, so if we go 2-0 there’s gotta be a couple L’s in that grouping and like I stated some are H2H so someone has to lose. It may not work out that way but jmo after last nights games.
 
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