Bracketmatrix 2021-22

#452
#452
TheMookieMonster said:
That’s because the BracketMatrix is unbiased unlike the AP poll voters who are just lazy people.
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Individual matrixes? Pretty biased…some. The difference is by the end of the year there will be around 120 opinions and the matrix creators get graded year to year for accountability.
 
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#454
#454
Smokey123 said:
Not a huge fan of this bracket. Easy path to the SS, but then Baylor and Arizona is a tough draw. Don’t wanna play Zona again
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Unfortunately with Auburn and Kentucky higher on the seed line, they’re more likely to get Philly/Chicago, and we would likely be bracketed with teams out west, Arizona, Baylor, Gonzaga…
 
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#455
#455
golfballs said:
Unfortunately with Auburn and Kentucky higher on the seed line, they’re more likely to get Philly/Chicago, and we would likely be bracketed with teams out west, Arizona, Baylor, Gonzaga…
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So even if we did move down to a 4 seed, I’d still expect to be in the same region. First round games would probably be Buffalo and not Pittsburgh, and we’d have a potential S16 matchup w Arizona and then Baylor in the E8
 
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#456
#456
@golfballs You seem to be pretty knowledgeable about things like this so... (this is just a hypothetical) what do you think this team’s ceiling is regarding their seed line in the tournament? “IF” we were to go 4-0 in these next games and go 1-1 or 2-1 in the SECT, do you think we would still be no higher than a 3 seed? What if we win out the final 7 games before the tournament? I know a lot depends on how other teams do but would a record of 25-8 or 26-7 be good enough for a 2 seed? The one thing that may hurt us would be comparing us to teams that have a better quad 1 record and more quad 1 wins (especially on the road).
 
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#457
#457
BallerVolFan said:
@golfballs You seem to be pretty knowledgeable about things like this so... (this is just a hypothetical) what do you think this team’s ceiling is regarding their seed line in the tournament? “IF” we were to go 4-0 in these next games and go 1-1 or 2-1 in the SECT, do you think we would still be no higher than a 3 seed? What if we win out the final 7 games before the tournament? I know a lot depends on how other teams do but would a record of 25-8 or 26-7 be good enough for a 2 seed? The one thing that may hurt us would be comparing us to teams that have a better quad 1 record and more quad 1 wins (especially on the road).
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A 2 seed is still possible, but would be about best case scenario at this point.
 
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#458
#458
bleedingTNorange said:
A 2 seed is still possible, but would be about best case scenario at this point.
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Yeah I’ve never even thought about a 1 seed. That would be putting too much on this team. Even a 2 seed IMO is less than likely but a 3 seed is very very attainable. I think we need AT THE VERY LEAST 4 more wins to get a 3 seed. 5 wins would lock it up IMO
 
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#459
#459
BallerVolFan said:
@golfballs You seem to be pretty knowledgeable about things like this so... (this is just a hypothetical) what do you think this team’s ceiling is regarding their seed line in the tournament? “IF” we were to go 4-0 in these next games and go 1-1 or 2-1 in the SECT, do you think we would still be no higher than a 3 seed? What if we win out the final 7 games before the tournament? I know a lot depends on how other teams do but would a record of 25-8 or 26-7 be good enough for a 2 seed? The one thing that may hurt us would be comparing us to teams that have a better quad 1 record and more quad 1 wins (especially on the road).
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We'd need some pretty big help to get to the 2 line I think. The thing is, the committee seems to weight the quality metrics pretty highly when seeding, so when talking about wins/losses that's moreso an impact on resume. It's the way in which we play in those games which is going to have bigger bearing on the seeding and can be hard to predict. We've ranked ~12th in KenPom basically all year, so I don't see us making a big move in either direction at this point. We'd need to really light it up from here on out for me to feel good about a 2 seed.
 
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#460
#460
golfballs said:
We'd need some pretty big help to get to the 2 line I think. The thing is, the committee seems to weight the quality metrics pretty highly when seeding, so when talking about wins/losses that's moreso an impact on resume. It's the way in which we play in those games which is going to have bigger bearing on the seeding and can be hard to predict. We've ranked ~12th in KenPom basically all year, so I don't see us making a big move in either direction at this point. We'd need to really light it up from here on out for me to feel good about a 2 seed.
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I agree, a 2 seed is just icing on the cake if it were to happen. I’m just hoping for that 3 seed. If that happens, I’ll feel good.
 
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#461
#461
Also, I'm no more knowledgable about what the committee will do than anyone else. They're consistently inconsistent but I hope the recent introduction of the NET and other reports that they're getting rid of the eye test, etc, make it more consistent.
 
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#462
#462
Updated matrix last night…

1. Gonzaga
2. Arizona
3. Kansas
4. Auburn
———
5. Kentucky
6. Purdue
7. Baylor W
8. Duke
———
9. Villanova L
10. Texas Tech W
11. Illinois
12. Tennessee W
———
13. Wisconsin
14. UCLA W
15. Providence
16. Houston
———
17. Texas
18. Alabama
19. Ohio State W
20. UCONN W
———
21. LSU
22. Arkansas W
23. USC
24. Michigan State L
 
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#463
#463
golfballs said:
Also, I'm no more knowledgable about what the committee will do than anyone else. They're consistently inconsistent but I hope the recent introduction of the NET and other reports that they're getting rid of the eye test, etc, make it more consistent.
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Humility Rec!
 
#464
#464
I feel like we would have to win our remaining regular season games and make the SEC Championship if we wanted to be considered for a 2 seed. It would help if we ended with a 3 way tie with Auburn and Kentucky and get the 1 seed in the SECT but I’m not getting my hopes up for that.
 
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#466
#466
golfballs said:
Also, I'm no more knowledgable about what the committee will do than anyone else. They're consistently inconsistent but I hope the recent introduction of the NET and other reports that they're getting rid of the eye test, etc, make it more consistent.
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The NET actually seems fairly spot on to how the teams should be seeded in the top 16. Houston is the only one that feels like an outlier being #4. Everyone else in the top 16 I don’t really have a problem with.
 
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#467
#467
VolPack22 said:
The NET actually seems fairly spot on to how the teams should be seeded in the top 16. Houston is the only one that feels like an outlier being #4. Everyone else in the top 16 I don’t really have a problem with.
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Colgate ranked #9 last year. I still think they should stick w existing rankings than trying to reinvent the wheel. Use the team sheet resume/quality rankings and do an average between the two
 
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#469
#469
golfballs said:
Colgate ranked #9 last year. I still think they should stick w existing rankings than having to reinvent the wheel. Use the team sheet rankings resume/quality and do an average between the two
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Yeah I remembered Colgate being up there last year. I guess there’s always going to be one or two outliers. At least Houston has been a really good team the last few years so it’s not as far fetched as the Colgate situation. But they definitely need to use more analytics to seed the teams rather than eye test like you said. It’s impossible for them to watch all of these games and they need something that takes the guesswork and human biases out of the equation.
 
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#470
#470
VolPack22 said:
Yeah I remembered Colgate being up there last year. I guess there’s always going to be one or two outliers. At least Houston has been a really good team the last few years so it’s not as far fetched as the Colgate situation. But they definitely need to use more analytics to seed the teams rather than eye test like you said. It’s impossible for them to watch all of these games and they need something that takes the guesswork and human biases out of the equation.
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The other ratings don’t have outliers that bad. It’s a step in the right direction but it’s still not the best
 
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#471
#471
Updated results…

1. Gonzaga
2. Arizona
3. Kansas W
4. Auburn
———
5. Kentucky
6. Purdue
7. Baylor W
8. Duke
———
9. Villanova L
10. Texas Tech W
11. Illinois
12. Tennessee W
———
13. Wisconsin
14. UCLA W
15. Providence
16. Houston
———
17. Texas
18. Alabama W
19. Ohio State W
20. UCONN W
———
21. LSU
22. Arkansas W
23. USC
24. Michigan State L
 
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