Bracketmatrix 2021-22

Some interesting NET observations...

-Tennessee is one of 6 NCAA teams with 9+ Q1 wins. Gonzaga is 10-3, Baylor is 10-5, Kansas is 10-5, Kentucky is 9-6, Tennessee is 9-7, Iowa St. is 9-8.

-Tennessee is one of 7 teams without a loss outside of Q1.

-Only Gonzaga, Kentucky, and Tennessee have 9+ Q1 wins without a loss outside of Q1.

-Media darling, Wisconsin, has 8 Q1 wins, but also 2 Q3 losses, as well as a Q2 loss.

-Houston is #4 in the NET, yet only has 1 Q1 win.

The NET is the NCAA's metric. It will be interesting to see if they seed the NCAAT using this metric as their primary barometer, or if the individual bias prevails, again. Wisconsin has a NET of 21 and Lunardi keeps him on the 2 line. Houston has a NET of 4, but Lunardi has him on the 6 line. Lunardi is a hack, we know that, but something has to give.
 
Don't love that potential 7-10 matchup for us.
This is the thing about not knowing and projecting the committee's results. Geography, season match up and other factors play into seeding.
It will always be a wait and see with the occasional WTF.
So it depends on how the committee looks at the body of work..... 2 or 3 seed will be fine but would take a 3 seed in geography close to home vs a 2 seed in the West.

Our biggest issue will be getting a 2 Seed over Duke because of all the hoopla.
I truly believe that Duke is a weak 3 seed, however, they will keep them close to home and will do what it takes to lay a path to the elite 8.
 
Todays update…

1. Gonzaga
2. Arizona
3. Baylor
4. Auburn L
———
5. Kansas
6. Kentucky
7. Duke
8. Villanova
———
9. Purdue
10. Tennessee
11. Wisconsin
12. Texas Tech
———
13. Illinois L
14. UCLA
15. Providence
16. Arkansas W
———
17. UCONN
18. Houston W
19. St. Mary’s
20. Texas
 
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Don't love that potential 7-10 matchup for us.

I feel that Wyoming won't be on the 10 line come Sunday, but I can guarantee that Iowa won't be a 7. If Iowa beats Indiana tomorrow, I don't think there's any realistic way they're anything other than a 5/fringe 4.
 
I feel that Wyoming won't be on the 10 line come Sunday, but I can guarantee that Iowa won't be a 7. If Iowa beats Indiana tomorrow, I don't think there's any realistic way they're anything other than a 5/fringe 4.
Whatever 1 seed draws them in the S16 is gonna be pissed, same for whatever 1 draws Memphis in the 2nd round if they’re a 8/9 seed.
 
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Todays update…

1. Gonzaga
2. Arizona W
3. Baylor
4. Auburn L
———
5. Kansas W
6. Kentucky W
7. Duke W
8. Villanova W
———
9. Purdue W
10. Tennessee W
11. Wisconsin L
12. Texas Tech W
———
13. Illinois L
14. UCLA L
15. Providence L
16. Arkansas W
———
17. UCONN L
18. Houston W
19. St. Mary’s
20. Texas
 
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Fair to assume we have locked in at least a 3 now? Given the losses behind us?
Yes. I feel like the committee favors us a little more than the other guys out there. We’ve had 1 loss to a top 25 team since they revealed their initial top 16.
 
Fair to assume we have locked in at least a 3 now? Given the losses behind us?
Yup, that is my take…you never know what the committee may pull out of left field but assuming they stayed the course after the reveal on metrics then I don’t see any way we aren’t a 3 seed or better.
 
We moved ahead of Purdue up to #9 (top 3 seed) in yesterdays late update…a win today and I think we go to 2 seed line. Could be swapping with UK, or a loss from either Duke or Nova would do it as well, a win over UK and Nova only beating Creighton could potentially as well, obviously our win would be much more impressive. In any fashion, a win and I think we are a 2, lose and I think a 3.
 

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