CFP Show

[BACKDOC]

Like I mentioned in the other thread. Hubbs predicted that USC would jump LSU to pave the way for the PAC 12 champ., and that didn't happen. So some good news there.

 

[JMSqb11]

L
They’ll jump them in the next two weeks. They have UCLA and ND, while LSU has UAB and A&M.

Beating #16 UCLA and #18 ND with a loss to #10 Utah may not be enough to overcome #8 Bama and #14 Ole Miss with a loss to a streaking FSU at #19 and a loss to #5 Tennessee all while having a game with #1 in 3 weeks.

I’m really starting to think the committee isn’t penalizing LsU for that 1 point loss on a PAT in the season opener like all the “but they have two losses bro” crowd is clamoring. Maybe quality of wine matter after all. USC will be lucky to have a Top 10 opponent if they wind up in conf title game.

 

[615vols]

Not if they want quality matchups in the playoffs. USC would get destroyed.

They put Cincinnati in last year so…

 

[iWishItWasTheWeekend]

Look at the resume. It’s that simple. I think putting them behind LSU was a pretty clear signal.

Yes, but USC can finish the season with 3 straight ranked wins and win a conference championship with 1 loss.

The probability of them finishing 12-1 is slim because I don’t think they can beat Oregon if USC plays them in the Pac-12 championship, but I would bet you $50 that they would be ranked higher than Tennessee if both the Trojans and Volunteers close out the season without any losses.

 

[BigOrangeTrain]

Man at the end of this, Tennessee going to have 2 wins vs top 6 -7 teams. LSU and Bama. They can’t keep us out. No way

If USC and TCU were to win out then we are out.

 

[Volprofch05]

I think TCU is getting a little more love than they should because they got left out last year

TCU was 5-7 last year

 

[BACKDOC]

I would say there is about 1% chance of USC winning three tough games in a row.

 

[hUTch2002]

Don’t confuse the purpose of the committee. Get the best 4 teams that provide the most eyes (ie $$). The LA market is a big one. That is more important than the conference championship.

LA is a big pro market. The Southeast, who cares way more about seeing UT than USC is a much bigger college market.

 

[RockyTopJA]

Ole Boo giving a little too much love/explanation for TCU. “Gritty defensive win against hostile opponent”. Texas is trash and QE is either still hurt or has the softest big arm in the country. USC will drop one of their next 3 and be a nonissue.

 

[Vol*n*teer]

They would use the conf championship reason.

IIRC Didn't OSU make the playoff in 2020 passing over the big ten champ?

 

[hUTch2002]

You all act like something is gonna change and TN is magically gonna be higher than a #5 in the playoff . Geez

Yep, the magic is when Michigan or Ohio State loses. Abracadabra!

 

[JMSqb11]

Obviously the committee doesn’t view it as trash, they’re ranked 7 in the country. And if they win out, finish the season with 3 ranked wins and a conference championship I guarantee you they will be in the conversation. Haven’t they always claimed the committee values conference champions when the resumes are close?

Not all ranked wins are equal. That’s the only conclusion why a 2 loss LSU is ahead of 1 loss USC. Say USC finishes regular season at 11-1, their highest ranked win at time of victory will be around 15-18 range with UCLA / ND.

LSU’s win over Bama was at #7, Ole Miss #7 (pre CFP rankings debut)….

I would dare say those 2 ranked wins far outweigh USC beating 3 15-25 ranked teams. It’s almost like quality of win / opponent trump # of ranked wins.

 

[Boston Vol]

IIRC Didn't OSU make the playoff in 2020 passing over the big ten champ?

No that was 2016.

 

[Bleed-Orange]

LA is a big pro market. The Southeast, who cares way more about seeing UT than USC is a much bigger college market.

true. But they already have the eyes in the southeast regardless. USC brings bigger overall #s.

 

[BigOrangeTrain]

Nope. They put them behind 2 loss LSU

USCs next 3 games are #16 UCLA, #18 ND and either #10 Utah or #12 Oregon. That’s 3 ranked wins. If USC wins out they are definitely in.

 

[hUTch2002]

true. But they already have the eyes in the southeast regardless. USC brings bigger overall #s.

Some with UGA for sure but I really think more people would tune in to see us because we haven’t been in a while and we’re fun to watch.

 

[DeepSpringsVol]

I also have yet to hear possibility of us being compared to the Ohio St Michigan loser. I imagine our resume is way better than Michigan's because their non conference. But Ohio st hmmm. Its definitely going to be dicey and less we can get some teams to fold for us.

 

[iWishItWasTheWeekend]

I would take Tennessee over either if I had to put my money on the game and the Vols would probably be favored by double digits against both teams, but the bottom line is if TCU and USC wins out, Tennessee will be left out of the playoff along with the loser of the Ohio State/Michigan game.

 

[theroyz71]

Don’t confuse the purpose of the committee. Get the best 4 teams that provide the most eyes (ie $$). The LA market is a big one. That is more important than the conference championship.

Except I don't know that LA cares about college football that much.

 

[RockyTopJA]

USCs next 3 games are #16 UCLA, #18 ND and either #10 Utah or #12 Oregon. That’s 3 ranked wins. If USC wins out they are definitely in.

Spoiler, they aren’t.

 

[BigOrangeTrain]

IIRC Didn't OSU make the playoff in 2020 passing over the big ten champ?

Penn State was the B10 champ in 2016 and they put OSU in over them. Why? PSU had 3 losses.

 

[BigOrangeTrain]

Spoiler, they aren’t.

You don’t know that

 

[SmokeyFTW]

TCU was 5-7 last year

Oops, I was thinking there was an undefeated team that got left out recently. Not sure why TCU popped in my head lol

 

[DaddyChad]

TCU was 5-7 last year

Yes. They got left out…..of the bowl season entirely.

 

[RockyTopJA]

You don’t know that

Going to win those games I mean. IF, and that’s a tall order, they win those games then yeah I agree with you.