East Tennessee Weather

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#8,776
#8,776
Right now, it's the GFS vs Euro/UKMet/GGEM. I favor the latter at this time because they have had this system for the past 3-5 days now, while the GFS recently picked it up yesterday. They have also been more consistent with their runs than the GFS.
 
#8,777
#8,777
VolnJC said:
I'm sure it will change again..probably start coming together Thursday...72 hours out the models get more accurate
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Yeah that's true. I just find it interesting that one model says a foot and the other is calling for 1-2" in the valley.

I guess we will just wait and see.

I like to follow weather because in a sense it's like recruiting... It can make a 180 degree turn in a split second.
 
#8,778
#8,778
0z GGEM fantasy run:

10Vwx3e.gif
 
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#8,779
#8,779
Seriously, I'd settle for another 2 incher. Snow driving in a front wheel car is fun as long as you're doing it carefully.
 
#8,780
#8,780
Coug said:
Seriously, I'd settle for another 2 incher. Snow driving in a front wheel car is fun as long as you're doing it carefully.
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David Aldrich did say that he was confident that we'll get more on Monday than we did today and yesterday, lol. Obviously didn't get into any exact amounts.
 
#8,783
#8,783
As much as I enjoy posting good model runs, I have to be fair and post a bad one for snow. 0z Euro goes from a Miller A setup to a Miller B setup. What that means is areas in Middle TN could see 2-3 inches before it changes to rain for everyone in TN.

Again, it's a fantasy run. Like previous model runs, I'm taking this one with a grain of salt. JC is right in that we won't start to have a good idea of what's going to happen until we get into the 72 hour timeframe.
 
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#8,785
#8,785
Vol knight said:
As much as I enjoy posting good model runs, I have to be fair and post a bad one for snow. 0z Euro goes from a Miller A setup to a Miller B setup. What that means is areas in Middle TN could see 2-3 inches before it changes to rain for everyone in TN.

Again, it's a fantasy run. Like previous model runs, I'm taking this one with a grain of salt. JC is right in that we won't start to have a good idea of what's going to happen until we get into the 72 hour timeframe.
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That wouldn't surprise me with how warm it's supposed to be.
 
#8,787
#8,787
TWC saying ice for Atlanta on Monday, rain and snow mix for almost all of Tennessee, except the plateau which they are calling for snow.
 
#8,789
#8,789
I'll say this. The 12z Euro that will be coming out in an hour or so will be very important. If it mirrors the 0z run from last night, then it's time to start lowering expectations for this system.
 
#8,796
#8,796
The following model run is the 12z UKMET.

So here are the different side at this time:

GFS/GEM/Euro Para: Snow friendly

UKMET: Not Snow friendly

Now we see which camp the Euro sides with.
 

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#8,798
#8,798
DarthVisor said:
Can you break this map down?
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It's pretty much showing the temperatures in the atmosphere and the placement of low pressure and high pressure. The 540 area is the freezing point. We need that low to be closer to Mobile, AL at that time the model is showing.
 
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