Florida vs Georgia

[JoAllan]

In any scenario Tennessee needs Georgia to win.

Tennessee wins out their in no matter. However for final ranking it would look better if Georgia’s only loss was to Tennessee. Or at least they didn’t lose again until after Tennessee beat them.

If Tennessee were to lose they “need” Georgia to win out. Georgia would need to be the #1 team and beat the SEC west team who would then have 2 losses.

I hate Georgia and really when Tennessee beats them we can wish anything…….but for now we need them to win.

 

[unfrozencvmanvol]

This is the correct answer. Georgia is hung over by our game, and their confidence is shook knowing they could have easily lost to an unranked Florida team.

We still get credit for Florida being ranked when we played though. That's a good deal. Resume enhancer for us, detractor for them, even though it's the same team. We're living right.

 

[HuntlandVolinColo]

Regardless of what happens this weekend, Tennessee and Georgia will still control their own destiny.

 

[air_force_vol]

Best outcome is Florida loses in a close game. That helps us because Florida has a good showing...leaves GA undefeated for us.....and Bama pick up a second loss to LSU.

 

[901 Orange]

Yes! I want GA coming into our game tired and hurting like a knee-deep mule hitched up to a plow.

That's right. Still living but barley.

 

[901 Orange]

Best outcome is Florida loses in a close game. That helps us because Florida has a good showing...leaves GA undefeated for us.....and Bama pick up a second loss to LSU.

I think I want Bama to keep winning. I know Bryce was spectacular but I didn't see anything from their defense to make me believe they could slow us down in a 2nd matchup & that was without Ced. How great would it be to beat Bama twice in the same year?? Omg they would be absolutely beside themselves if they lost 2 games to us.

 

[pimo1]

Florida plays Georgia this weekend, so which scenario is better for us?

Georgia wins, comes into our game undefeated for a huge matchup with Gameday present again

Or

Florida wins, Georgia takes a L in conference play which gives us a better chance to win the East.

Florida beating Georgia does not help us win the east.. The only thing that helps us win the east is us beating GA. Lets say by some miracle Florida beats UGA if we lose to them they still have the tiebreaker and they only have MisSt and KY after us. I don't see them losing 2 of those 4 games in any universe. Our best and only chance to win the SEC east is beating GA. Plus them losing to FL hurts our SOS.

 

[Behr]

I want Florida to lose. I want us to win out. Problem solved.

Ain't no shame in "backing in" to a SECCG. Lol.

 

[firestorm]

The rebuilding Gators are out of their weight class playing a terrific Bulldogs team.
That is why it would be an accomplishment if the Gators keep the game close for 1 quarter, or 10 game minutes in 1 quarter.

I don’t see Any Given Saturday happening when the Gators play the Bulldogs.


I want the Bulldogs to defeat Gators because the Volunteers would be playing an undefeated also I don’t doubt favored Bulldogs team.

 

[tobybeast]

I don't care as long as Florida doesn't win..... lol I don't want Florida to win......ever.....

 

[volfan102455]

Lots of what ifs in this thread - in reality it should not matter to us who wins. We control our own destiny at this point.

 

[firestorm]

Lots of what ifs in this thread - in reality it should not matter to us who wins. We control our own destiny at this point.

While I agree with that I still want Georgia to defeat Florida so that Tennessee has the high bar challenge to defeat a great undefeated Georgia team in Georgia.

 

[warrior]

Florida already has 3 SEC losses. UGa has zero.

We want Florida to win. Could turn out being important, later, for us getting to Atlanta.

I don't see any realistic scenario where a Florida win helps us. If GA loses, then beats us, they still get there ahead of us at 1 loss each. If they lose, then we beat them, we get there. If they lose then beat us, but lose another game, I guess, but that is extremely unlikely. If GA wins, then loses to us we get there and have an excellent shot at a playoff game even with a loss in the SECCG. If Georgia beats FL but loses to us then we drop a game to SC, we still get there ahead of them.

 

[peaygolf]

i will NEVER root for UF under any circumstances……. Ever.

go dawgs

 

[theFallGuy]

Florida plays Georgia this weekend, so which scenario is better for us?

Georgia wins, comes into our game undefeated for a huge matchup with Gameday present again

Or

Florida wins, Georgia takes a L in conference play which gives us a better chance to win the East.

I don't care how it happens, I just want to win the East and get to the Conference Championship. Would be super exciting

 

[VolArmy74]

Scenarios -

Tennessee wins out, nothing matters.

Tennessee wins out regular season, loses SECCG. Should be in regardless.

We lose in Athens to undefeated Georgia team, they win out, win the SEC. We have a strong playoff resume.

They lose to Florida, and then beat us, win out, Our playoff resume is weaker and other conference champions began creeping into the final spot.

They win out, lose to Alabama in SECCG....faded playoff hopes but still could have a strong enough ranking/SOS to slip in over them.

They lose to Florida, then Alabama in SECCG after defeating us, very weak playoff resume and other conference champions strongly in play.

The only way it gets better for us if they lose to Florida, is if we lose to Kentucky, Missou, USC or Vandy and beat them.

 

[warrior]

Georgia losing benefits Tennessee the most. Sorry if this has already been communicated in the replies. Hypothetically, lets say that Georgia somehow loses to Florida, and somehow we lose to Georgia. Fast forward to the SEC championship. If Bama beats Georgia in the SEC championship, a one loss Tennessee has a better chance of making the playoffs than a two loss Georgia. Just saying. I still think Georgia beats Florida this weekend, AND I think Tennessee pulls off an upset against Georgia next weekend!

In your scenario, we would be playing a 5th ranked GA team or worse. A 1 loss team, us, with that loss being to a 5th ranked two loss team, will not get us to the playoffs.

 

[VFL-82-JP]

I don't see any realistic scenario where a Florida win helps us. If GA loses, then beats us, they still get there ahead of us at 1 loss each. If they lose, then we beat them, we get there. If they lose then beat us, but lose another game, I guess, but that is extremely unlikely. If GA wins, then loses to us we get there and have an excellent shot at a playoff game even with a loss in the SECCG. If Georgia beats FL but loses to us then we drop a game to SC, we still get there ahead of them.

The math is pretty straight-forward.

Either we beat UGa, or we lose to them. Let's call that a 50/50 chance.

So on the 50% side where UGa beats us, if they have already lost to Florida (which is what this thread's about), it comes down to them losing one other SEC game while we win out.

Chances they'll beat Mississippi State? 98.5%, according to ESPN FPI
Chance they'll beat Kentucky? 95%.

Chance they'll beat both those teams? 93.5%.

Which is a pretty sure thing, right? I mean, it is UGa vs Ky and Miss St, after all.

But that's still a 6.5% chance they WON'T win both those games.

And if they don't, the Vols go to Atlanta instead of them.

...

Sure, 6.5% isn't a lot to hang your hat on. But--and this is my point--it's better than nothing. It's a helluva lot better than nothing.

So we want Florida to beat UGa, to give us that second path to Atlanta. Not a 4-lane highway kind of path, more a rocky trail with brambles on both sides, but better than nothing.

Go Vols!

 

[GroverCleveland]

Tennessee beating an undefeated Georgia will boost the Vols' playoff profile the most. In that case, a 12-0 Volunteers team is most likely in the CFP regardless of the SECCG outcome having beaten Alabama and Georgia, who would probably be 12-1 and 11-1 respectively if the Vols lose the SECCG.

Tennessee could lose to UGA, end up 11-1 and still get in if Georgia wins the SECCG and the PAC-12 and Big12 champs have one or two losses. Would not hurt for Michigan and/or Ohio State to stub a toe as well in this scenario.

 

[MurphyVol]

Hard fought game Georgia wins at the end

In 12 overtimes

 

[VFL-82-JP]

Too many folks here prefer the path where we DON'T go to Atlanta but do get into the playoffs.

How weird.

When we say we're playing for championships, plural, championshipS, we mean: SEC and National.

You can't win the SEC title sitting at home.

You can't win championshipS waiting for UGa to win in Atlanta so we can be the little sister also invited to the CFP ball.

Come on, gang, we WANT to win the SEC. We WANT to get to Atlanta. Once we're in Atlanta, we have FULL control over getting into the playoffs.

Ditch the loser mentality where you think up ways for us to be let in the CFP without even vying for the SEC title.

Go Vols!

 

[warrior]

The math is pretty straight-forward.

Either we beat UGa, or we lose to them. Let's call that a 50/50 chance.

So on the 50% side where UGa beats us, if they have already lost to Florida (which is what this thread's about), it comes down to them losing one other SEC game while we win out.

Chances they'll beat Mississippi State? 98.5%, according to ESPN FPI
Chance they'll beat Kentucky? 95%.

Chance they'll beat both those teams? 93.5%.

Which is a pretty sure thing, right? I mean, it is UGa vs Ky and Miss St, after all.

But that's still a 6.5% chance they WON'T win both those games.

And if they don't, the Vols go to Atlanta instead of them.

...

Sure, 6.5% isn't a lot to hang your hat on. But--and this is my point--it's better than nothing. It's a helluva lot better than nothing.

So we want Florida to beat UGa, to give us that second path to Atlanta. Not a 4-lane highway kind of path, more a rocky trail with brambles on both sides, but better than nothing.

Go Vols!

We would have a better shot at playoffs with a loss if it is to an undefeated #1 GA team that then wins the SECCG and is undefeated.

 

[warrior]

Too many folks here prefer the path where we DON'T go to Atlanta but do get into the playoffs.

How weird.

When we say we're playing for championships, plural, championshipS, we mean: SEC and National.

You can't win the SEC title sitting at home.

You can't win championshipS waiting for UGa to win in Atlanta so we can be the little sister also invited to the CFP ball.

Come on, gang, we WANT to win the SEC. We WANT to get to Atlanta. Once we're in Atlanta, we have FULL control over getting into the playoffs.

Ditch the loser mentality where you think up ways for us to be let in the CFP without even vying for the SEC title.

Go Vols!

Yes, that is done by beating GA. GA losing to Florida does not realistically help us.

 

[VFL-82-JP]

Yes, that is done by beating GA. GA losing to Florida does not realistically help us.

Yes. It does. On the chance we don't beat UGa ourselves, it DOES help us get to Atlanta. Already explained.

 

[warrior]

Yes. It does.

Not realistically. A win against GA seals it for us, even if we lose another game and they win everything else. There is no way GA loses to Florida, us, and another game, which is what would have to happen for a loss to FL to matter. I understand the math of them losing to FL, but in the big scheme of things, it does not help us unless we beat them, in which case it still doesn't matter unless we beat them but lose to KY and SC.