How much better is UGA?

[DaddyChad]

Statistically, through seven games, UGA is better this year, offensively and defensively.
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First of all Georgia is a great team, I’m not going to sit here and say they suck. That said this years defense isn’t close to last years. Stats can say whatever but last years defense would’ve stomped a mud hole in Kent State and Missouri.

 

[Proud Army Wife]

dude I’m telling you tn will not win

Get F out of here. You’re in a TN message board talking trash. No one here cares what you think. Get wrecked.

 

[BAMA-DAWG]

@BAMA-DAWG, it all comes down to speed in your safeties. CJH will scheme to release a WR on a LB or Safety, and while I have noticed adjustments since last year to stop the LB 1-1 matchups, I have not seen anyone able to stop the Safety 1-1 matchup. If you go nickel and get an extra CB back there, JH runs on you, and though our RBs are not all-SEC level to be sure, they are serviceable. Unless Kirby figures out the riddle in two weeks, I don't see us not being able to score.

Our defense? Another issue entirely. uga will score on us, too.

Eventually, teams figured out the wishbone, figured out the fun-n-gun, figured out the RPO, and even figured out the Oregon version of the RPO. They will figure out Heupel's offense too......but not yet.

I should hope CKS has a different scheme against UT wideouts than CNS did. I expect UGA to play alot of man coverage and bring extra pressure. Their DB's are long, so I expect them to contest the 50/50 ball. If UT can't run the ball, and I'm not saying they can't, they will have trouble. UGA's DL is by committee right now, and are missing Jalen Carter since the middle of MO game. Even so, they have gained alot of depth and experience along the D front. I'm not gonna lie, UT's Oline impressed last week. My opinion is that front will be the biggest difference in the game. Noise, as you know, can have a big impact on an offense, and I would expect plenty of it in Athens.

 

[VolArmy74]

Statistically, through seven games, UGA is better this year, offensively and defensively.

That graphic is misleading if it is comparing the whole of 2021 vs the first 7 games of 2022. In the first 7 games of 2021 vs a much tougher schedule than you've faced in 2022, Georgia only gave up 46 points, vs the 64 you've given up this year. Last year in the first 7 games you played 4 ranked teams. This year, one ranked team and that was in the opener, in Atlanta vs a team breaking in a terrible Bo Nix at QB, who is only still ranked because their schedule has been a complete joke since they played you. There's a reason your schedule is ranked in the 70s right now.

 

[VFL-82-JP]

Get F out of here. You’re in a TN message board talking trash. No one here cares what you think. Get wrecked.

This right here, this is the US military's secret weapon. The fuel that keeps soldiers honest and flying straight, that burns the chaff and bureaucracy away from on-post schools and medical facilities, and that makes generals quake in their boots when they goof something up.

Army wives are a force to be reckoned with.

Go Vols!

 

[BAMA-DAWG]

First of all Georgia is a great team, I’m not going to sit here and say they suck. That said this years defense isn’t close to last years. Stats can say whatever but last years defense would’ve stomped a mud hole in Kent State and Missouri.

Maybe so. A lot of these guys didn't see the field that much in 2021. My opinion their D's getting better week to week and still haven't played their best game.

 

[DaddyChad]

I should hope CKS has a different scheme against UT wideouts than CNS did. I expect UGA to play alot of man coverage and bring extra pressure. Their DB's are long, so I expect them to contest the 50/50 ball. If UT can't run the ball, and I'm not saying they can't, they will have trouble. UGA's DL is by committee right now, and are missing Jalen Carter since the middle of MO game. Even so, they have gained alot of depth and experience along the D front. I'm not gonna lie, UT's Oline impressed last week. My opinion is that front will be the biggest difference in the game. Noise, as you know, can have a big impact on an offense, and I would expect plenty of it in Athens.

I’ve made a lot of statements about Bama firing Nick Saban jokingly but I’m dead serious here. That Bama secondary is one of the worst I’ve seen since Saban took over as a coach, the scheme that left a safety matched up on Hyatt multiple times is also questionable. Saban is probably the greatest coach in modern football but that game is very questionable as to maybe he’s lost a step.

 

[DaddyChad]

Maybe so. A lot of these guys didn't see the field that much in 2021. My opinion their D's getting better week to week and still haven't played their best game.

And that’s fair. I’ll agree with that. I think this Tennessee team is much better than the team that played Pitt earlier in the year especially on defense. Young threw for a ton but the coverage was much better the Bama game imo.

 

[walkenvol]

I’ve made a lot of statements about Bama firing Nick Saban jokingly but I’m dead serious here. That Bama secondary is one of the worst I’ve seen since Saban took over as a coach, the scheme that left a safety matched up on Hyatt multiple times is also questionable. Saban is probably the greatest coach in modern football but that game is very questionable as to maybe he’s lost a step.

So what’s your strategy then, play 4 cornerbacks and no safeties? What happens when you’re getting gashed in the running game? Not a simple matter to defend our offense

 

[DaddyChad]

So what’s your strategy then, play 4 cornerbacks and no safeties? What happens when you’re getting gashed in the running game? Not a simple matter to defend our offense

Not saying it’s easy but Hyatt was killing them, I would’ve at least taken that away from us.

 

[VOLINVONORE]

Georgia has less overall talent than Alabama, Kirby isn't in Saban's league as a coach either. They are putting up good stats so far but have played a pretty weak schedule. I was looking earlier and Sports Illustrated had them with the 94th rated schedule in the nation and that was before they played Vandy Saturday. Oregon and South Carolina are the only teams they've played with a winning record. (not gonna count 1-AA Samford.) So their numbers are puffed up to some extent due to that. They had one of the weakest schedules in the pre-season but we've actually improved it.

Maybe for positions other than DBs. Tennessee took advantage of Bama’s secondary and it pretty easy. It doubt it will be that easy against Georgia.

 

[BucksnortVol]

They have a good, not Gggreat D, they have speed, and they have lots of talent. BUT, what GA doesn't have is Bryce Young. That one player nearly led to our undoing. Bennett III is solid, but he is not the defender's nightmare that Young is. I have no clue whether we'll win in Athens or not. But unlike before, I don't dread the matchup now; because I know we can win.

 

[BAMA-DAWG]

So what’s your strategy then, play 4 cornerbacks and no safeties? What happens when you’re getting gashed in the running game? Not a simple matter to defend our offense

Make it hard to run the ball. Play man coverage. Check the guy at the line of scrimmage. Stay in his back pocket. Bring X pressure.

 

[BAMA-DAWG]

They have a good, not Gggreat D, they have speed, and they have lots of talent. BUT, what GA doesn't have is Bryce Young. That one player nearly led to our undoing. Bennett III is solid, but he is not the defender's nightmare that Young is. I have no clue whether we'll win in Athens or not. But unlike before, I don't dread the matchup now; because I know we can win.

SBIV won't win the Heisman, for sure. Willing to bet Tim Banks and Willie Martinez think differently than you.

 

[joevol33]

Here's to hoping you have to walk that fine line with your UGA family again @joevol33

I hope I get the opportunity to make them mad

 

[Wezcoast]

See last years game against tn. Ga will stop tn again

That will be the million dollar question. If they bottle us up , we're done. Our run defense has been far more stable this year. Georgia has regressed a little .

Rushing yards allowed per game

2021

Georgia Tennessee

79.6 158



2022

Georgia Tennessee

94.2 93.5

Opponents to this point 2022

Georgia Tennessee

Oregon Ball State
Samford Pittsburgh
South Carolina Akron
Kent State Florida
Missouri LSU
Auburn Alabama
Vanderbilt

Your matchups are somewhat even against ours as a whole. I don't care about rankings. That stuff doesn't mean much early in the season. I'd put my $ on Alabama vs Oregon , but USCe is a bit stronger than our other wins I think right now. Our rushing offense and defense vs UGA is a wash . Your passing offense is close to ours , while your passing defense is in another ballpark compared . On paper , UGA should win this . If you have a bong resin headed safety or cb that Saturday, you're probably going down. Fran Brown and Muschump are either going to be the heroes or the goats , and not the good kind of goat.

 

[VolInNW]

I should hope CKS has a different scheme against UT wideouts than CNS did. I expect UGA to play alot of man coverage and bring extra pressure. Their DB's are long, so I expect them to contest the 50/50 ball. If UT can't run the ball, and I'm not saying they can't, they will have trouble. UGA's DL is by committee right now, and are missing Jalen Carter since the middle of MO game. Even so, they have gained alot of depth and experience along the D front. I'm not gonna lie, UT's Oline impressed last week. My opinion is that front will be the biggest difference in the game. Noise, as you know, can have a big impact on an offense, and I would expect plenty of it in Athens.

Folks that have tried man coverage have still found that CJH can stunt to still get the matchup he wants. I'll be honest, I've watched replays on YT (Thanks, @Freak ) and I'm still not entirely sure what the 'system' is, but I have seen many examples where the CB was clearly lined up on a specific WR, and through a couple of crosses finds himself on the TE or RB and the WR either running free or with a LB or Safety trying to catch up. In nearly every game, Tennessee has receivers running wide open, including uga last season. The difference being that Hooker is a helluva lot more decisive and accurate this year. I see another barnburner in Athens, and frankly I have no real inclination who will win the game. I think both teams will score a lot.

 

[JoAllan]

Statistically, through seven games, UGA is better this year, offensively and defensively.
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Seriously?

Last year Georgia had played #3 Clemson, #8 Arkansas, #18 Auburn, and #11 KY

This year they have played and destroyed a good Oregon team……..other than that the best team they have played is SC.

Not saying Georgia isn’t good, or heck even great: however I wouldn’t do a ton of comparisons……..right now (simply because of the schedule)…….it’s 53rd right now.

Great D and good O no doubt…….better than last year maybe play some more competition first.

 

[Skullbone]

I just wish GA was ranked #1. Makes it sweeter to drop 50 on that azz. No matter what anyone says just like with Alabama this is a toss up game. Do they have a better roster on paper? Yep. Are we still going to drop 50 on 'em? Yep.

 

[Sarms58]

I think the biggest difference we will see (on defense) is that Georgia’s DBs can cover. I expect them to essentially play their three best cover corners man to man on Tillman, McCoy and Hyatt in a man/zone combo or just straight man to man. Maybe Kirby will bring back that D they came out in against LSU in the SECCG - rushed three and Burrow had like 10 seconds to throw the ball.

 

[DD4ME]

@VolKnight9 @DD4ME

Another thing that illustrates the reasons for my doubt... Even after beating 4 ranked teams in 6 games... even after beating Bama... ESPN's FPI has UT ranked 6th behind tOSU, Bama, UGA, Michigan, and Texas. And they aren't close behind those top 3. UT's FPI is 20.2. All three of those teams are 28+. Texas with two losses and no quality wins outside of the blowout of a bad OU team... is 20.5. Michigan whose only remotely good opponent was Penn State... is 22.2.

I have serious, serious doubts about any formula that produces that result. It would be bad enough if UT were "close"... they aren't.

I have a theory that UT is playing a new form of money ball that just might break the calculators.

Usually the models pull in certain aggregate data that does hold true for most teams. Look at the thread about us being 104 in total D. The models don't account for the calculated risk we have started taking that if we stop your run we limit your red zone scoring despite ballooning your overall stats.

This is exacerbated given our limited TOP. You can see the difference after UF, and I actually think it is pretty brilliant. We are forcing every team to prove their QB is better than ours while making them look like Heisman candidates even in a loss.

The issue is our strategy is high risk high reward and the models predict it as likely to fail. I actually think Heup and Banks may be developing an entirely new strategy for the SEC. SEC sized lines + SEC Speed + HUNH + Air Raid elements + aggressive blitzes. Others have done elements not sure it has ever been done together.

 

[BAMA-DAWG]

I think the biggest difference we will see (on defense) is that Georgia’s DBs can cover. I expect them to essentially play their three best cover corners man to man on Tillman, McCoy and Hyatt in a man/zone combo or just straight man to man. Maybe Kirby will bring back that D they came out in against LSU in the SECCG - rushed three and Burrow had like 10 seconds to throw the ball.

Yeah, no. Think they will press the QB. Or else.

 

[Sarms58]

Yeah, no. Think they will press the QB. Or else.

True, but I remember laughing at Georgia in the first part of the SECCG - Burrows had days to throw and his guys would eventually get open. It wasn’t a very “Smart” defensive scheme and Kirby dropped it

 

[BAMA-DAWG]

True, but I remember laughing at Georgia in the first part of the SECCG - Burrows had days to throw and his guys would eventually get open. It wasn’t a very “Smart” defensive scheme and Kirby dropped it

Actually, he tried it again in last year's SECCG. Results were the same.

 

[posivol]

As a friendly Ga fan ,let me give you some facts about he dawgs. They are deep , Kirby smart is a defensive guru. Alabama lost because tn was able to make them one dimensional. Ga has several options at every position. They have been playing at 50% to allow all players to play and give others a chance to recoup. The offense is explosive and the defense is scrimmaging. Georgia has not only been scouting tn but they have been practicing and preparing for it since spring weekly. I am glad Tn won against Bama but it’s highly less likely they will succeed against ga .

good luck,exactly what bama said.