I think we backed right into the playoffs..

[JPL]

Tennessee will not get in over a 1 loss PAC or ACC champ. Still a higher probability that we miss the CFP.

According to ESPN and other so-called experts as of this morning, we have the highest % chance of making the playoffs after GA, OSU, and Mich. The fact they list TN with a 26% chance better than TCU of making the playoffs is a positive for us. In all likelihood, if TN wins their last 2 they will be in the playoff as the #3 or #4 seed.

Interactive: Create a path to the College Football Playoff for top contenders

Go VOLS!!!!

 

[ButchPlz]

According to ESPN and other so-called experts as of this morning, we have the highest % chance of making the playoffs after GA, OSU, and Mich. The fact they list TN with a 26% chance better than TCU of making the playoffs is a positive for us. In all likelihood, if TN wins their last 2 they will be in the playoff as the #3 or #4 seed.

Interactive: Create a path to the College Football Playoff for top contenders

Go VOLS!!!!

And that is 100% driven by the SOR and SOS- which are huge factors.

I'm obviously nervous about us making it, but it'll come down to the committee changing how they've done things for the last almost-decade. I just don't see it, especially with the respect they gave us putting us at #1 in the first ranking.

 

[bigorangecrush89]

I think we need to stop worrying about the playoffs and just enjoy this season for what it is. Absolutely no one thought we would be sitting here at 9-1 at this point in the season. Just let it play out and enjoy this for what it is! Whether we get into the playoffs or not, this has been one hell of a season!

I agree with you. But it’s hard to get to this point it’s hard to not get greedy and want more (playoffs). UT would be only the fourth different SEC team to get in if they did.

 

[JBVolunteer]

According to ESPN and other so-called experts as of this morning, we have the highest % chance of making the playoffs after GA, OSU, and Mich. The fact they list TN with a 26% chance better than TCU of making the playoffs is a positive for us. In all likelihood, if TN wins their last 2 they will be in the playoff as the #3 or #4 seed.

Interactive: Create a path to the College Football Playoff for top contenders

Go VOLS!!!!

Statistical probabilities recalculate based on the presence of new data. Those numbers will move as we get closer to selection day. TCU, USC and possibly Clemson/UNC are in control of their own destiny. Tennessee really needs a few teams to lose so that conference championships mean less.

 

[SLODAWG]

I honestly think truthfully UGA got humbled in the SEC champ game. They went to work. Even if you are the best team and its obvious you still have to play. Injuries happen. That is football. UGA is the defending champ because they earned it. IF we really want it we are going to have to earn it just the same. There are no easy roads when the playoff starts. You have to go play.

Bryce Young was great in the SECCG. I wasn't sure of a UGA win in the title game but I did not believe Young could play so well a second time against UGA's defense. That turned out to be true. The Dawgs and Tide were pretty evenly matched. I'll catch a lot of spears for posting this but I don't think TN and UGA are evenly matched. The Vols feast on teams by creating mismatches and scheming guys open. I think UGA has the coaching and personnel to stop or at least limit those kinds of big plays. We've already seen them do it and w/o them, I don't see TN sustaining drives against the UGA defense.

 

[Tman44]

An undefeated number one ranked Tennessee team traveled to play the defending national champions on their home field. Tennessee lost by two touchdowns. There is nothing any team with a loss can point to in order to successfully argue their loss holds more weight than does ours. Secondly, there is no team with a loss that can put itself ahead of Tennessee with respect to strength of schedule or strength of record.

This is a very strong place to be in. Please do not forget, this is just the beginning.

I would much rather debate this topic than discuss why we should not hire Greg Schiano or perhaps hash out the virtues of denying Jeremy Pruitt's contract buyout based upon cause.

 

[Godfatha]

What is wrong with you people? I've never heard so much doom and gloom in all of my life. Tennessee will have the best resume of any 1 loss team. We have beaten two top 10 CFP teams. No other 1 loss team can come close to saying that.

 

[sjt18]

The loser of OSU and Michigan will drop to 5 and that is our ticket no matter who else wins out... We will play Georgia on a turf field where I think our receivers will find much better footing and Dylan Sampson is coming along at the right time... It's almost like we threw that game to avoid a potential late loss in Atlanta... A loss that late in the Season and there is no chance we make it.... Since we were number 1...

That only works if tOSU wins over Michigan. A 1 loss Buckeye team will NOT fall out of the top 4. If we could be sure that TCU or Pac12 champ wouldn't get in... I actually wouldn't mind a UT, UGA, tOSU, and Michigan playoff. I actually think that might be the best 4 teams.

 

[BigALWiLson]

Bryce Young was great in the SECCG. I wasn't sure of a UGA win in the title game but I did not believe Young could play so well a second time against UGA's defense. That turned out to be true. The Dawgs and Tide were pretty evenly matched. I'll catch a lot of spears for posting this but I don't think TN and UGA are evenly matched. The Vols feast on teams by creating mismatches and scheming guys open. I think UGA has the coaching and personnel to stop or at least limit those kinds of big plays. We've already seen them do it and w/o them, I don't see TN sustaining drives against the UGA defense.

You could possibly be right. However it could also go exactly opposite with a month to prepare. College Football is a crazy game. We gotta get there first and worry after. Playing 1st and 15 or 2nd and 20 also contributed. That same advantage wont be there or as much of a factor anyway. We played our absolute worst game this season. Some of it was UGA some of it was us. The two deep balls missed for tds as an example. The false starts Hendon taking saxks instead of throwing it away. Then the real truth is it is very dificult to beat a good team twice in the same season. We didn't show up in the moment at UGA. I say we are better for it a second time. Even so that doesn't mean we will win. UGA is a good football team with a lot of talent.

 

[JPL]

Statistical probabilities recalculate based on the presence of new data. Those numbers will move as we get closer to selection day. TCU, USC and possibly Clemson/UNC are in control of their own destiny. Tennessee really needs a few teams to lose so that conference championships mean less.

What's interesting is they had TCU ahead of last week iirc. I'm assuming that's because after the TCU/Texas game they think TCU's likelihood of beating Baylor, Iowa State, and probably Kansas State again, this time in the Big 12 Championship is slim.

 

[Clayton]

Literally, almost every single Georgia fan around me thinks Georgia agreed to lose that game so the SEC could get 2 teams in. They can't accept still that Alabama just spanked them.

That’s absolutely ridiculous! Every UGA fan admitted they got their ass whipped by Alabama in the SEC championship. Win and they were in no matter what so why try to lose? Ridiculous statement.

 

[Other_Guy]

If OSU and Michigan play a great game I wouldn't be surprised if they let them both in.

 

[Clayton]

There is a lot of football left to be played however it’s not that difficult to see how challenging the argument for Tennessee will be when you take your orange tinted lenses off. Tennessee has two major problems. 1) A front-loaded schedule with no wins against ranked opponents after a late season loss. Whipping up on Missouri, S.Carolina and Vandy isn’t very impressive when other teams are playing meaningful football games and winning conference championships.
2) Arguing why Tennessee’s resume is better than that of a one loss Power 5 conference champion is a losing battle. If USC, Clemson or UNC finish 12-1 with a conference championship on their resume; they will get in over Tennessee.

We already know that TCU is in if they win out.

Southern Cal is sitting around #7 currently with games against #16 UCLA, #18 Notre Dame and a PAC Championship Game. It’s a tall task, but if USC gets through those 3 games they are 100% in.

There is a high probability that the ACC Championship Game is a 1 loss Clemson vs 1 loss UNC… both would be top 10 teams… The winner will probably jump Tennessee.

What happens if LSU beats Georgia? Lol
It’s ignorant to act like Tennessee is a shoe-in.

Not enough to mention the possibility that Michigan and Ohio State have a very close game that goes down to the last seconds or overtime. What would the committee do then?

 

[Mr. Lofton]

We’re not backing in. We’re kicking the Effing door down!

 

[JBVolunteer]

Not enough to mention the possibility that Michigan and Ohio State have a very close game that goes down to the last seconds or overtime. What would the committee do then?

Anything could happen. What if Michigan wins in a 3 overtime game over Ohio State? What if Georgia loses to LSU? What if Michigan is the only undefeated team? Lol

The world would implode...

 

[BigOrangeTrain]

Tennessee will not get in over a 1 loss PAC or ACC champ. Still a higher probability that we miss the CFP.

ACC champ is out.

 

[SLODAWG]

That’s absolutely ridiculous! Every UGA fan admitted they got their ass whipped by Alabama in the SEC championship. Win and they were in no matter what so why try to lose? Ridiculous statement.

I know a lot of UGA fans and none of them believe that.

 

[BigOrangeTrain]

I am starting to think they would put a 2 loss SEC champ LSU in over us. I know we beat them by 27 on the road, and the odds of them beating Georgia are very very slim. But if it happened I could see them getting in and Georgia dropping to #4 and sneaking in, leaving us out to dry. They won’t put us in over the SEC champ unless it is Georgia.

The only way that happens is if LSU were to steam roll UGA. And that’s not happening. Remember in 2016 I believe, PSU won the B10 but they put OSU in instead.

 

[Woodlawn VOL]

Statistical probabilities recalculate based on the presence of new data. Those numbers will move as we get closer to selection day. TCU, USC and possibly Clemson/UNC are in control of their own destiny. Tennessee really needs a few teams to lose so that conference championships mean less.

Clemson or North Carolina have no chance to get in over Tennessee if they win out. The only destiny they control is winning their conference. GBO!

 

[VolForLife83]

Again, you're 100% ignoring the two factors that are stated heavyweights for the playoff selection committee. Whenever these questions come up, those two have been the big-time determinant of who gets in.

Go look at the SOR and SOS for the top 10 teams. Come back and make the ACC, PAC, or 2-loss LSU argument when you've got a little more research done. The "early season" "late season" stuff is media drivel and hasn't been considered that heavily for at least the last few years. Don't just eat up what you're shoveled.

I think SOS and SOR will be thrown out in favor of conference champs over a 1 loss UT who didn't even make its CCG

 

[Woodlawn VOL]

Not enough to mention the possibility that Michigan and Ohio State have a very close game that goes down to the last seconds or overtime. What would the committee do then?

The Acc champ is NOT jumping Tennessee if we win out. Get off the crack pipe! GBO!

 

[TennesseeTarheel]

I can't agree with the we threw the game. We got our butts kicked

Greetings, fellow stage five pilgrim.

 

[FBtime]

Not enough to mention the possibility that Michigan and Ohio State have a very close game that goes down to the last seconds or overtime. What would the committee do then?

Sorry but a close loss does not change their overall resume.

 

[tennesseecoyote]

I think both TCU and USC have to run the table for us to be out of the playoff. Of course an undefeated TCU gets is, doesn't matter their SOS. And yeah, I think a one game (by one point) loss USC, PAC Champ team, beats us. But two of the possible heads of the PAC dragon, were chopped off last week. Only one head left, Come on UCLA!! Come on Oregon, a trip to the Rose Bowl is at stake! Heck i'll even being rooting for the golden domers!

If USC goes down, it doesn't matter about Clemson, we're in! Probably playing the Dawgs in Atlanta in the Dome. Still probably an "away" game, but on a much faster field, with a healthy team, but then again we were supposedly very healthy when we played them last time and we were dominated. Likely still a loss, so I'd rather play OSU anyway. Both teams could score over a 100. If it's UM or TCU, we face, I'm confident we win.

 

[CAVPUT]

Sorry but a close loss does not change their overall resume.

You're still operating under the mistaken impression that the committee operates by a set of rules. They don't. They'll go in with an idea on a 4 team playoff that they want to see then manipulate the talking points with the help of ESPN to justify that scenario. If there's even the smallest chance they can sell the public some BS about a close game between OSU and Michigan as being justification for putting both those teams in the playoffs, they will. If they can sell folks after Michigan or OSU gets blown out that USC deserves the shot, they'll do it. We still need help IMO.