Now that spring camp is over, I thought I'd update my preview I did earlier in this thread.
THE UNIVERSITY
Town: Logan, Utah (Population 48k in the city, about 120k including the surrounding small towns in the valley)
Students: 28,796 students (about 20k on the main campus)
Campus: 500 acres (about 60 less than UT)
Famous alumni: Harry Reid, Merlin Olsen, Bobby Wagner
THE ATHLETICS
We play in Romney Stadium (not that Romney, but a relative) which seats 25k
Our school was a basketball school. during my 4 years, we lost 2 home games and broke the top-20 twice. We were the fourth winningest program during those 4 years plus the 6 preceding it (to make a decade), but due to some turnover, injuries, bad luck, and a jump up to the MWC, our mojo is gone.
Our student section is well-known still. In football, we have 5k seats for students. 4k in basketball. There are two chants that we are known for:
I Belive (that we will win):
HD I Believe! Utah State Men's Basketball! 1080P - YouTube
Winning team losing team:
"Winning Team, Losing Team" Chant Against Nevada - Utah State Basketball - YouTube
And since it was mentioned, cheerleaders:
2014 TEAM PREVIEW
When I was in college, we sucked so hard at football. We won 1 game my freshman year, 2 my soph, then 3 then 4. Our coach during a press conference bragged that we would have three players, yes three, who weighed more than 300 pounds. And it was a big deal. Due to some good recruiting and a focus on polynesians and a weight training program, we increased our size and speed and became competitive, then good, under Gary Andersen. He left for wisconsin last year, and our HC is our old OC, Matt Wells.
QUARTERBACK
Chuckie Keeton: the only player any of you have ever heard of. He is very good. Not only is he good, he is probably my favorite athlete of all time. He came in as a leader as a freshman, was supposed to split the game @ auburn with Adam Kennedy, but played so well he stayed in all game. We lost in agonizing fashion, and I don't want to think about it. I'm going to need a second now...
OK. So CK. He is known as a runner and opposing fans always assume he can't throw. I dont know if this is because he runs, because he is black and fast and that means he's a run first kid, or what. And he is a dangerous runner. However, he is only a running threat because of what he can do with his arm.
Passing Stats:
56 touchdowns, 13 interceptions (career)
61% completion his freshman year, then 68% then 69% before going down last year.
Owns the school single game passing TD record, which he has tied 4 times (two of those came in a single half before he was benched for the backup)
I posted his stats vs BCS teams in another thread, and I'm too lazy to look them up, but it was something like 8 touchdowns and zero interceptions in 5 games. Of course, he only won one of those (Utah), but we came within a final possession of winning the rest (auburn, wisconsin, utah, usc) and just couldn't get it done. In fact, CK has only lost 1 by more than a touchdown in his career (at fresno, his freshman year, by 10).
His injury is a concern. He tore his ACL making a cut vs BYU. Luckily, ACL injuries aren't what they used to be, even 3 or 4 years ago. He is supposed to be cleared for full participation in June, so he should have 2-3 months to shake off the rust. Maybe he will be worried when he makes a cut or scared to take contact. I don't know. But I doubt it. He's a tough kid and he is fearless on the field.
update: CK was cleared for full contact today. He is supposed to be 100%. This is a good sign as he was projected at August 1, then July 1, then June 1, and now he's clear a few days before may. He's been throwing almost all spring, but not taking contact.
Garretson: Our backup. He came in when CK went down and went 6-1 as a starter (lost to Fresno, but was sitting on the bench while our 3rd string QB threw a pick on a game winning drive on first-freaking-down). Not a runner, not a super strong arm, but very efficient. We won't win with him. He could be good after CK leaves though.
RB
Our RB spot has been really strong lately. USU is the only program in the country to have 3 running backs drafted in the last 2 years.
Joe Hill: Started for us last year before going down for the season with an injury. He is very fast and has very very good hands, especially for a RB. He is a cut then go kind of guy. He won't lower his shoulder and bowl people over. He doesn't have crazy stats in his career due to his injury last year and backing up the 3 NFL RBs before him. Fine with me. He will surprise some people. He is really dangerous in the wheel route. Not the best pass blocker, but good enough for the kind of RB that he is.
The rest of the RBs are a question mark. We have some good guys who redshirted. We'll see how they are. So overall, RB is a position of strength but not one of depth.
spring update:Hill is supposed to be cleared June 1, I think. our backup RBs did okay in camp. A few had long runs in our spring game against our defense who hardly ever gives up runs over 8 yards. Hall has quick feet, but not great top-end speed. After him, it's a lot thinner. Hill should be full-go though.
Kennedy Williams played well, but he is just so tiny. His brother is one of our 3 backs drafted the last 2 years. He broke all of his HS records, but is a walk-on due to his size. Has average hands.
WR
Last year, we lost our top 5 receivers. This year, we return 7 of our top 10. The two we lose are Van Leeuwen, a slow white guy with good hands, and Travis Reynolds, a quick guy with big play potential.
Swindall (JR): the best in the group. he is tall, has a good vertical, big hands, and makes great fade catches. CK throws the best fade ball I've seen (zero career interceptions in the redzone, and this is a big reason why). He isn't super shifty, but he is fast enough to get open. Mostly relies on his size though.
spring update: looked great in spring. Will be our best guy for sure.
Natson (JR): the smallest guy you'll ever see on a football field. 5 foot 7, 145 pounds. He is a jitterbug. Fast, stops and goes, returns punts, and never gets hit cleanly. It has to be hard to see him behind blockers. He runs our wildcat and is a very capable runner. He also lines up in the slot, catches a 5-10 yard pass, then dances around for another 15.
Butler (SR): Was supposed to be a go-to guy, but didn't develop into that until late in the season. Seems to be right on track now though. Adds great depth to our team, could become a go-to guy. I'd compare him to chuck jacobs, who is playing for the niners right now. An above average player with athletic potential to become very good.
spring update:very solid spring. would be more than happy to have him as our top guy. luckily, he's our 2nd best.
OVERALL: I'm not worried too much about the receivers. Nobody here will take over the game and confuse you with Patterson (my all time favorite Vol, due to the monster stats he put up for my ncaa fantasy team). However, they'll all catch what comes their way, they'll block well, and they'll be disciplined.
spring update:one of our better recruits will be here for fall. offers to ksu and reportedly texas, though I think i read they were trying to make him walk-on and earn the scholarship. I don't plan on us relying on him though, and if he's good enough to play, then we'll be in for a pleasant surprise.
OFFENSIVE LINE
This is a group that I'm not very fit to critique. We lose Larsen to the NFL (#2 center on some sites) and 2-3 others. There is one guy who may be back for a medical redshirt.(
update:he wont) Basically, this group was supposed to be a strength and underperformed last year. We have 1 or 2 starters back but 4 who played significant time, IIRC. Completely unknown on how we will be here, but I don't see it being any worse than last year.
spring update:very happy with how this went in the spring. there is always a lot of give and take. If we give up a sack, is the defense good? and the line sucks? Always hard to tell when its a unit like the OL instead of individuals. Overall, we look fairly good. We will either be starting 3 seniors, a Jr and a So. or 4 seniors and a Jr, which helps make up for what we lose.
DEFENSIVE LINE
We lose some good players but maintain some important depth. We run a 3-4 and the 3 upfront rotated a lot to keep them fresh. Connor Williams was probably our best DL and he is gone. BJ Larsen, Jordan Nielsen, and Elvis Kamana-Matgai (great name, right?) catch my eye as great guys we have returning. our strength on defense comes from the LBs and the DL is there for some pressure and to contain the run. so let's get to the strength
spring update:solid play, good depth, no superstars. as expected.
LINEBACKERS
Kyle Fackrell (JR): The number 2 OLB in his class according to nfldraftscout. This year's number 2? Anthony Barr from UCLA. the best linebacker we have had since bobby wagner. He has a good shot at moving up to the first round IMO. I would place him at 3rd round at worst right now. That could change, but he is a beast. He is fast and big (6-5 245 lbs). An absolute beast. I don't know how to describe him to get it across how good he is. He is an absolute man. 87 tackles his freshman year, 82 his sophomore year, on a team stacked with good tacklers.
And he is so athletic, we line him up at WR for jump balls in the end zone.
Zach Vigil: another strong LB. lots of tackles, not a lot of missed tackles, ok in zone coverage.
Nick Vigil: Zach's younger brother. Will be an NFL draft pick, but is only going into his sophomore year. 57 tackles his freshman year. He was so good that he pushed for serious PT in a LB corps that went 8 deep.
Those are my favorite LBs.
Overall: I don't feel like this is hyperbole. This group is one of the best in the country. I'd put them in the top half of the SEC and in the top 20 in the country. They're very good. As good as CK is at QB, these guys are the strength of the team. If you took our top 7 guys, put their names in a hat, pulled out 4, you'd have a solid starting lineup. We lose Jake Doughty, a very good player too, but with Nick Vigil and Labradford Harold, I'm not worried about it at all. Want to see Doughty level a kicker? You do. I promise.
Utah State's Jake Doughty Levels Colorado State Kicker Jared Roberts - YouTube
spring update:were as solid as expected, even with a starter out recovering from an injury he had last season. still the strength of our team.
CB
We lose lawson to the NFL and Glover-Wright/Byrd to graduation. Huge question mark for us. Rashard Stewart should start on one side, but I'm not sure. Daniel Gray, the former Vol, will be eligible and might push for some PT. If I were to guess, I'd say this will be a rough position for the first 4 games, but I think they can pull it together and be adequate by the middle of the year. Our game plan will likely be to cause pressure on the QB and to play a lot of man D so that guys don't get free in zone. If your QB can step up and play well, this will be the place to win the game. Our run defense is really good (8th in the country last year, 13th the year before), but teams with a good QB can pick us apart next year.
Overall, a question mark position that might turn out to be weak.
spring update: gray was good, but not great. got burned a few times but made some good plays. he can hit pretty well. the biggest surprise was devin centers. his dad was a good NFL player. he had two interceptions in the spring game, a forced fumble, chased down a guy on a 60 yard run. very fast, lots of muscle packed into a DB body. will be the nickel back. He was the best surprise of spring and I'm a lot more confident with him.
SAFETY
We lose one starter, Mo Alexander, who was a good player. He played LB, hit a teammate, got kicked off the team, sat our a year, worked his way back, and played safety. Freak athlete, huge hitter, 81 tackles. However, he was bad in coverage, so whoever comes in will be an improvement there (but a definite and noticeable drop in the run game)
We return Brian Suite, a solid guy at the other safety spot. Good hands for a safety, ok speed, ok in coverage. A glue guy in the back line. No eric berry, but a good player for us.
Replacing Alexander is Sutera. I can't give you a lot about him, though he did start in the bowl game and had 30 tackles on the year. probably would have started if alexander didn't turn out to be such a freak at being able to go from LB to safety like that.
spring update:much better now in coverage than with alexander. Alexander was terrible, and I mean terrible, in coverage. He played run defense or blitzed 80% of his snaps. So now we lose the run stopper, but we are better against the pass at S. Still not excited about the match up with your WRs. Neither S can guard one of them, obviously. We probably won't have a DB that can be on an island with any of your starters. I would bet we bring pressure from all over and show 9 standing players at the line to add confusion because we can't cover straight-up.
overall defense: our defense is going to be good again. As good as last year? maybe, maybe not. We have big question marks at CB, medium ones at DL and S. We all know how good the SEC defenses are, but USU's starting 11 (and a few backups) could slide into an SEC roster and earn serious PT.
SPECIAL TEAMS
It's fashionable in Logan, like in every college town, to hate kickers. We missed a 35-yard FG vs wisconsin that would have sent us to the orange bowl instead of NIU. We lost 6-3 to byu that same year because we can't kick. However, we were fairly good at kicking last year, especially compared to the last decade. We return our 24 kickers that we keep on the roster (really its 4 and we lose josh thompson, a loss that nobody will cry about but he was a solid player who put it all on the line in high pressure situations. I can't blame him for his misses.).
We return our punter who single-handedly won us 2 games. He went from "great here he comes..." to "PUNTERRRRRRRRR I LOVVEEEE YOUUUU" fairly quickly.
he also had a 75-yard touchdown run when we were up 35 in the 4th that I like to call the biggest accidental dick move in aggie history (he read the play and the coaches never told him to call off the fake even if it was there)
Jaron Bentrude fake punt TD - YouTube
TEAM AS A WHOLE
Overall, I'm worried about CK's health a little. I'm worried about depth at RB and the performance of the OL. I don't know how the CBs will be, but the rest of the defense will be good enough. I'd rate the positions as follows
(starters as the first number /overall depth as the 2nd)
QB: 9/6
RB: 7/5
OL: 7/5
TE: 7/7
WR: 7/8
DL: 7/7
LB: 9/9
CB: 7/6
S: 6/5
K: 7/7
P: 8/?
spring update: Not as worried about CK's health. I have seen him throw, run, and jump to chest bump teammates celebrating a play. He seems good to go. RB is a concern still. OL is a little less, but hard to tell. CBs are a little less overall, but moreso against your WRs.
I tried to stay as neutral as possible. I think I do a good job of that, I'm not a rah-rah my team is the best type guy. I think UT wins this game, but I would not be surprised if USU wins a close one (though I'd probably shake and cry from all the pent up misery and heartbreak caused by previous money games). I'll take any questions you have.
Commence the "SEC GUYS ARE 5 STAR USU GUYS ARE 2 STAR" comments!