Latest Coronavirus - Yikes

Have you been paying attention? The reason why Covid is such an issue is due to the long incubation period, whether symptomatic or not. Unless you have a magic fairy that can tell you minute by minute whether you're shedding the virus, do your neighbor a solid and put on a mask when you visit Kroger for your white claw - it's really not that inconvenient.
I wear a mask if social distancing is impossible but there are places where wearing a mask is stupid, such as most situations outdoors. If you're paranoid about picking up C19 from me at a bar, restaurant or at Neyland Stadium, then I suggest you stay home. Personally I'm not going to live my life that way
 
Beating up the numbers: The loose definition and inflated tally of COVID-19 deaths
You may have seen the memes, such as “Man killed by shark dies of COVID-19.” Or the one with a guy hanging out of his windshield after a terrible accident and a reporter shoving a mike into his face asking, “Sir, can you tell us how you got COVID-19?”
Yet the darkly satirical memes are closer to reality than you might think. Indeed, one such event has shamed a state health department into more transparent public record-keeping — as well as helping to show how much coronavirus deaths have been exaggerated.
A male corpse was found in a Colorado park with a 0.55% alcohol level. That’s well above the lethal limit. The coroner declared cause of death as alcohol poisoning. But just as in those sardonic memes, the state’s Department of Public Health and Environment (DPHE) insisted on categorizing it as a COVID-19 death.
Previously, attending physicians at a nursing home had ruled three deaths as not related to the virus. But, again, the state insisted on classifying them as such anyway. Reasoning? All four of the deceased had tested positive for the virus.
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Watch out for a small uptick in daily cases in the next week or so, maybe climbing over 30,000 again at some point.

People are going to tell you what it means who have no idea what it means. Prepare your rational mind for that. Maybe rest your partisan mind for the Fall. (Anything near term obviously won't be related to Memorial Day activities because of incubation periods.)

And I'm not sure that it means anything at all yet, or if it will 100% happen, but I'm just watching the data as always.
 
I wear a mask if social distancing is impossible but there are places where wearing a mask is stupid, such as most situations outdoors. If you're paranoid about picking up C19 from me at a bar, restaurant or at Neyland Stadium, then I suggest you stay home. Personally I'm not going to live my life that way

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Watch out for a small uptick in daily cases in the next week or so, maybe climbing over 30,000 again at some point.

People are going to tell you what it means who have no idea what it means. Prepare your rational mind for that. Maybe rest your partisan mind for the Fall. (Anything near term obviously won't be related to Memorial Day activities because of incubation periods.)

And I'm not sure that it means anything at all yet, or if it will 100% happen, but I'm just watching the data as always.

It's inevitable we'll see an increase with the combination of more testing and less social distancing.

To me the more important metric is change in # of hospitalizations.

An increase in # of cases isn't bad news (actually good news) so long as it isn't followed by an equal increase in severe cases.
 
went to the beach in Clearwater this weekend and the patrolling was insane. Lots of police cars in the lots, police boats just outside the swim buoys and helicopters running up and down the shore. This is nuts
A handful of people at the wedding asked if our gathering was illegal and if there was a possibility the police would show up.
I assured them we average one police car on our road about every 3 years.
 
It's inevitable we'll see an increase with the combination of more testing and less social distancing.

To me the more important metric is change in # of hospitalizations.

An increase in # of cases isn't bad news (actually good news) so long as it isn't followed by an equal increase in severe cases.
The key numbers are hospitalizations and mortality.
 
A handful of people at the wedding asked if our gathering was illegal and if there was a possibility the police would show up.
I assured them we average one police car on our road about every 3 years.

Not sure where this wedding was, but I was thinking in Tennessee weddings are exempt from the less than 50 people rule.
 
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The key numbers are hospitalizations and mortality.

yes. so far as I can tell the % of those who get hospitalized that end up dying hasn't changed much (could be wrong on this) but the % of positive cases that end up being hospitalized has decreased. So hospitalizations is a pretty good predictor proxy for mortality whereas testing positive is less so.
 
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A handful of people at the wedding asked if our gathering was illegal and if there was a possibility the police would show up.
I assured them we average one police car on our road about every 3 years.
You should have informed them all parties at your house are illegal because of the copious amounts of blow on hand.
 

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