Majors
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Hi Tony,
Thanks for sharing. Yes, I saw this earlier today and both Eddie and myself are actually quoted in it. it's a
great article, but the problem is that our phylogenetic analyses aren't able to answer whether the
sequences are unusual at individual residues, except if they are completely off. On a phylogenetic tree
the virus looks totally normal and the close clustering with bats suggest that bats serve as the reservoir.
The unusual features of the virus make up a really small part of the genome (<0.1%) so one has to look
really closely at all the sequences to see that some of the features (potentially) look engineered.
We have a good team lined up to look very critically at this, so we should know much more at the end of
the weekend. I should mention that after discussions earlier today, Eddie, Bob, Mike, and myself all find
the genome inconsistent with expectations from evolutionary theory. But we have to look at this much
more closely and there are still further analyses to be done, so those opinions could still change.
It wasn't anti-science. The lab leak theory is as based in science as is the natural theory.
Neither was proven via science.
Natural theory = entirely based on past history that this is a way the viruses move from animal to human. The science against it was and continues to be the lack of the transmission chain. That alone suggests the theory may be wrong.
Lab leak = has happened before in China, lab working on these types of viruses, virus emerged at the location where the work was going on, cleavage site on virus appeared unnatural.
Each is based on pieces of evidence and neither is conclusive.
To say the lab leak theory was anti-science at the beginning is simply untrue. Dismissing it out of hand is anti-science.
The natural theory is basically just “experts” saying that’s what happened. Like you said, there is actually zero evidence of the transmission chain. Even SARS 2003 they identified the chain.It wasn't anti-science. The lab leak theory is as based in science as is the natural theory.
Neither was proven via science.
Natural theory = entirely based on past history that this is a way the viruses move from animal to human. The science against it was and continues to be the lack of the transmission chain. That alone suggests the theory may be wrong.
Lab leak = has happened before in China, lab working on these types of viruses, virus emerged at the location where the work was going on, cleavage site on virus appeared unnatural.
Each is based on pieces of evidence and neither is conclusive.
To say the lab leak theory was anti-science at the beginning is simply untrue. Dismissing it out of hand is anti-science.
Can you interpret the email I posted above? To clarify, that was Dr F's personal email communication with the team of experts assembled to study the origin of the virus AT THE SAME TIME that he was poo-pooing the lab leak theory as nonsense.First, neither theory is, as you put it, has been "proven via science." That is the whole point of the "low confidence" moniker.
A part of this has to do with the source and the fact that we know they have agendas to make it appear that their own theory has somehow been shown more valid when that is not the case. Laura Ingraham, desperate to be taken seriously and to show she belongs with ratings giants Carlson and Hannity, is a perfect example of what I'm talking about.
First, neither theory is, as you put it, has been "proven via science." That is the whole point of the "low confidence" moniker.
A part of this has to do with the source and the fact that we know they have agendas to make it appear that their own theory has somehow been shown more valid when that is not the case. Laura Ingraham, desperate to be taken seriously and to show she belongs with ratings giants Carlson and Hannity, is a perfect example of what I'm talking about.
See, why do you have to engage in this hyperbole of "silenced persons" and "laughed out of the room"? Its not helpful and is inexact in the extreme. All it does is make it apparent, ironically enough given the weekend's news, that it is you and not me who is completely unwilling to change your mind.
cough cough China Virus cough
cough cough the media cough cough
To his credit @lawgator1 actually posts his own thoughts. Unfortunately, it makes for easy pickins. Many others simply post a tweet from others and share which makes it impossible to search the post for specific key words.
Also, SO. MANY. DELETED. TWEETS. Twitter is used irresponsibly in this forum.
2) My understanding from the reporting this weekend is that this is still the theory of many agencies, but that now the Energy Department says that it started in a lab. (footnote: why the Energy Department studied this issue, I have no idea).