There is hardly any evidence from an AD when a coach is timeline is up. Hell, we were told "Bruce is our guy" up until the night before the Michigan game, but everyone knew that it was inevidable that he would be canned.
Looking at the future somewhat logically....next year is Martin's best year at making the dance. If he misses, then what's the future hold? A rebuilding year in 2014 replacing 3 possibly 4 of your starters. Looking ahead at this point, it doesn't look like we possibly could make the dance in 2014/2015. We can, but just looking ahead, that would not be our year. 4 years without going to the tourney and the fanbase will be completely gone. They got 15,000 average this past year. That's ticket sold. Not attendance. Fans will be screaming for CCM to be fired next year. And season ticket holders will be dropping like flies. I for one will decline my 6 if we miss again. Hell, there is more fans against Martin now then are for him, IMO.
I think he will be fired if 1 of 2 things do not happen. 1. make the dance (which I think he will). 2. Bring in a top 15 - 20 recruiting class in 2014. Other than that Hart will be forced to fire CCM.