Sorry I missed this earlier.
In a nutshell, Florida has the same problem you had last year: an inexperienced offensive line and a lack of stand outs in the skill positions on offense. The exception may be Will Grier, who looks like he should be the real Mccoy on paper, and is reportedly practicing well. But after the Driskell disaster -- he also looked good on paper, had skills, and did well in practice -- I am withholding judgment until I see what he can do in real life.
We have decent running backs, and some depth there. Defensively we lost some NFL players, but fact is we've been loaded there for awhile and even though we might not be quite as strong there as in the past 5 years, we are still overall a formidable unit there.
I have no clue on McElwain or what he has assembled. My expectations consequently are very low, and I am prepared to be pleasantly surprised.
My guess is as follows:
New Mexico State: W
East Carolina: W
@ Kentucky: W
Tennessee: L
Ole Miss: L
@ Mizzou: L
@ LSU: L
Georgia: L
Vandy: W
@South Carolina: L
FAU: W
FSU: L
5-7
2016 we could easily be back in contention for the SECe, depending on how healthy the offensive line and Grier can stay.