Official Seed List Watch Party Thread

#551
#551
TheMookieMonster said:
In the interview I listens to, their spokesperson said “things could change” but it felt more like just a CYA thing to add on. He said they had to start putting the bracket together but that the first 8 teams (1s and 2s) were already seeded.
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But again like the 30 team comment, not a shock…look at the matrix, huge gap from 2 to 3 and top 3 is Gonzaga who is done playing.
 
#552
#552
bleedingTNorange said:
Todays games to watch:
12:00pm: St. John’s vs. Marquette
12:00pm: Wake Forest vs. Miami
12:30pm: Iowa State vs. Baylor
2:30pm: Providence vs. Connecticut
3:00pm: Colorado State vs. San Diego State
7:00pm: North Carolina vs. Virginia
7:00pm: DePaul vs. Xavier
9:30pm: TCU vs. Kansas State
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Zero help so far lol, last hope tonight is TCU. Sure glad we won or almost certainly would’ve slid to a 4.
 
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#554
#554
Based off Lunardi’s projections of the 13 and 14 seeds, it looks like being a 4 seed would present better matchups in the first round than being a 3 seed would. However, being a 4 seed puts you in the same side of the bracket as the 1 seed in that region.
 
#556
#556
BallerVolFan said:
Based off Lunardi’s projections of the 13 and 14 seeds, it looks like being a 4 seed would present better matchups in the first round than being a 3 seed would. However, being a 4 seed puts you in the same side of the bracket as the 1 seed in that region.
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Depending on the draw thats not the worst thing. Theres really only one I wouldnt want to play and thats Purdue. I dont think theyre great, I just dont trust our bigs to match up with Edey.
 
#557
#557
BallerVolFan said:
Based off Lunardi’s projections of the 13 and 14 seeds, it looks like being a 4 seed would present better matchups in the first round than being a 3 seed would. However, being a 4 seed puts you in the same side of the bracket as the 1 seed in that region.
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Why, what 14’s do you feel are better than 13’s? And don’t forget that then you’re playing a 5 seed most likely instead of a 6 as well.
 
#559
#559
This was seed list entering yesterday and results…

9. Marquette W
10. Gonzaga(done playing)
11. Kansas State L
12. Tennessee W
————————
13. Connecticut W
14. Xavier W
15. Indiana DNP
16. Virginia W
————————
17. Miami W
18. San Diego State W
19. St. Mary’s(done playing)
20. Iowa State W
 
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#560
#560
Todays games:
6:30pm: Connecticut vs. Marquette
7:00pm: Kansas vs. Iowa State
7:00pm: Duke vs. Miami
9:00pm: Creighton vs. Xavier
9:00pm: Maryland vs. Indiana
9:30pm: Clemson vs. Virginia
9:30pm: San Jose State vs. San Diego State
 
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#561
#561
bleedingTNorange said:
Todays games:
6:30pm: Connecticut vs. Marquette
7:00pm: Kansas vs. Iowa State
7:00pm: Duke vs. Miami
9:00pm: Creighton vs. Xavier
9:00pm: Maryland vs. Indiana
9:30pm: Clemson vs. Virginia
9:30pm: San Jose State vs. San Diego State
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Don’t feel great about this set of games, but if we can just get 2 to go our way it would be big.
 
#563
#563
bleedingTNorange said:
Why, what 14’s do you feel are better than 13’s? And don’t forget that then you’re playing a 5 seed most likely instead of a 6 as well.
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On your 2nd point, which of the projected 6 seeds (TCU, Creighton, Duke) would you rather play than the projected 5 seeds of San Diego St, Iowa St, or Saint Mary's? All of them are good teams I know, but man that 1st set of teams looks scarier than the 2nd set. And yes I skipped over Miami as a 5 seed as they are the 1 5 seed I want nothing to do with.
 
#564
#564
TheMookieMonster said:
Don’t feel great about this set of games, but if we can just get 2 to go our way it would be big.
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bleedingTNorange said:
These are the 4 biggest imo…
6:30pm: Connecticut vs. Marquette
9:00pm: Creighton vs. Xavier
9:00pm: Maryland vs. Indiana
9:30pm: Clemson vs. Virginia
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Are we really sure these games really make that big of a difference? I mean last year they were completely ignored.
 
#565
#565
I think worst case scenario is we get a 4 and are matched up against 5 seed Duke or Miami.
 
#566
#566
mr.checkerboards said:
Are we really sure these games really make that big of a difference? I mean last year they were completely ignored.
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I don't think it matters too much, but it matters. I think last year with the debate being Kentucky vs. Tennessee, there is no way the committee was going to change their mind on a Kentucky decision. Yeah, sounds conspiratorial, but it is what I believe. Blue bloods get special treatment in March.

Again, I don't think we'll make a huge jump one way or another, but I think us losing the Mizzou and everyone else winning means we'd drop from a 3 to a 4. Losing hurts you more than winning helps you at this point in the year. Easier to go down than up. So, as long as we keep winning I think whatever seed the Committee had us at prior to the SECT (whether it's a 3 or 4) is where we'll stay.
 
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#567
#567
wtmvol said:
On your 2nd point, which of the projected 6 seeds (TCU, Creighton, Duke) would you rather play than the projected 5 seeds of San Diego St, Iowa St, or Saint Mary's? All of them are good teams I know, but man that 1st set of teams looks scarier than the 2nd set. And yes I skipped over Miami as a 5 seed as they are the 1 5 seed I want nothing to do with.
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Duke isn’t a projected 6 seed…it can’t be A&M or Kentucky so that leaves Creighton or TCU, I’d take TCU. Hopefully Creighton plays their way up to a 5 and SMC or ISU drop to a 6, I wouldn’t mind either of them.
 
#570
#570
bleedingTNorange said:
Duke isn’t a projected 6 seed…it can’t be A&M or Kentucky so that leaves Creighton or TCU, I’d take TCU. Hopefully Creighton plays their way up to a 5 and SMC or ISU drop to a 6, I wouldn’t mind either of them.
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Depends where you look. They just rose 6 spots in the NET overnight. Could very well get a 5. It's really fluid, as there isn't a ton of separation in all those teams on the 5/6 lines. I guess my point is, it just depends who the 5's and 6's are as we all know.

Here is my realistic ranking of preference in 2nd round matchup:

1. San Diego St - admittedly haven't watched them play. But they just seem like a slightly worse version of Saint Mary's
2. Iowa St - very slow, rock fight game. Concern is they force a ton of turnovers. We would have to play extremely disciplined.
3. Saint Mary's - They're good, but they looked totally overmatched against Gonzaga the other day
4. Creighton
5. TCU
6. Miami
7. Duke
 
#572
#572
mr.checkerboards said:
Are we really sure these games really make that big of a difference? I mean last year they were completely ignored.
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TheMookieMonster said:
I don't think it matters too much, but it matters. I think last year with the debate being Kentucky vs. Tennessee, there is no way the committee was going to change their mind on a Kentucky decision. Yeah, sounds conspiratorial, but it is what I believe. Blue bloods get special treatment in March.

Again, I don't think we'll make a huge jump one way or another, but I think us losing the Mizzou and everyone else winning means we'd drop from a 3 to a 4. Losing hurts you more than winning helps you at this point in the year. Easier to go down than up. So, as long as we keep winning I think whatever seed the Committee had us at prior to the SECT (whether it's a 3 or 4) is where we'll stay.
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IMO the later the games are in the conference tournament, the less likely they are to change anything because there's no time to make changes (or the committee is lazy), particularly based on results in the championship games on Sunday. If a team gets upset early in their tournament, they may be more likely to be penalized.
 
#573
#573
Volprofch05 said:
IMO the later the games are in the conference tournament, the less likely they are to change anything because there's no time to make changes (or the committee is lazy), particularly based on results in the championship games on Sunday. If a team gets upset early in their tournament, they may be more likely to be penalized.
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Agreed. I think today is pretty much the last day where results “matter” except for situations where a team not even on the bubble makes a miraculous run and wins their conference tournament. Outside of that anomaly, any team wanting to improve seeding or punch their ticket on the bubble has to do so today.
 
#574
#574
MoCo_Vol said:
Where?

ESPN Bracketology has them as a 5 seed in the East as of this morning...we're a 3 seed though in the Midwest now. So wouldn't face 'em anyway.
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Bracketmatrix, which is who I’ve said time and time again is who I use because they’ve proven to be the most accurate. Now that hasn’t updated with yesterdays results so they may climb to a 6 in next update but right now they’re listed as a 7.
 
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#575
#575
bleedingTNorange said:
Bracketmatrix, which is who I’ve said time and time again is who I use because they’ve proven to be the most accurate. Now that hasn’t updated with yesterdays results so they may climb to a 6 in next update but right now they’re listed as a 7.
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Interesting. I’m not doubting Bracket Matrix, but I find it hard to believe that Duke ends up as a 7. I think a 6 is their floor right now and very likely will be a 5. They’re playing really good basketball. They also are a blue blood and I just am completely convinced blue bloods get preferential treatment in March. I will not be shocked if Duke is a 5 seed, or a 6 seed in Greeneseboro.
 
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