Path to a #1 seed

#51
#51
berryvol said:
We’re the number 5 overall seed. Dense doesn’t begin to describe your brain function.
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You're an idiot if you think this team closes the season well enough to get a #1 seed.

The top 3 teams in the league are Auburn, Alabama and Florida. Duke and Houston will be in the mix.

This team as gotten swept by Kentucky, still has Alabama and is no better than A&M, Missouri, and possibly even Vanderbilt.

Keep thinking the "but we ranked #5 though" will bring a #1 seed. Tell me what we're ranked on Monday. I will be waiting.
 
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#52
#52
Dougie_D said:
As far as I know Auburn and Duke are locks as 2/4 number 1 seeds.

That leaves 2 left with :
Bama, TN, FL are floating around for those last spots.
After the KY loss , I think we may have slipped down to 3rd.
- Bama
- FL
- TN

Bama has everything to gain and everything to lose. Every single game left is a top 25 matchup.
They only get bounced out if they go 2-5 which seems unlikely .. SO- that will lead us FL and TN for last spot. I’m

Even if we win out we’d need a FL loss.
- OR,
If we lose 1 game it can only be against Bama , Ole Miss, or TX AM and hope FL loses twice to any team .

TN remaining schedule:
Vandy
@TX AM *
@lsu
Bama *
@Ole Miss *
South Carolina

Florida remaining schedule:
South Carolina
Oklahoma
@lsu
@Georgia
TX AM *
@bama *
Ole Miss *
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We aren't getting a #1 seed, nor do we deserve it. Hell, we may lose today. We still have loses at A'M and Ole Miss coming. Could lose today and to Ala. Could also lose at LSU. We've never played well there. Potentially a 9-10 loss conference record. Plus, add another loss in the SEC tournament.Will be lucky to get a #4 seed at this rate.
 
#55
#55
BreatheUT said:
You're an idiot if you think this team closes the season well enough to get a #1 seed.

The top 3 teams in the league are Auburn, Alabama and Florida. Duke and Houston will be in the mix.

This team as gotten swept by Kentucky, still has Alabama and is no better than A&M, Missouri, and possibly even Vanderbilt.

Keep thinking the "but we ranked #5 though" will bring a #1 seed. Tell me what we're ranked on Monday. I will be waiting.
Click to expand...
I’m not talking about our ranking. I’m talking about the seeding released this am. AP poll means nothing.
 
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#56
#56
jasonvol18 said:
Not after today and a loss to A'M this week.
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Even if we pull a rabbit out the hat today, which appears more improbable with every possession, the Kentucky loss cemented that this team is limited. It's not going to hang with the big dogs consistently enough to threaten for any championship.
 
#58
#58
jasonvol18 said:
Yep and it's getting worse. A loss today, we damn sure aren't winning in College Station nor in Oxford. Could lose at LSU as bad as we play on the road and we could lose at home to Ala too. That's potentially 5 more losses
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Transitive property doesn’t work in any sport, much less CBB. Get back to the FF with this dumb sh*t.
 
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#63
#63
VolCalls said:
No such thing as a lock with nearly a quarter of the regular season left to play. If Auburn or Duke drop 3-4 more games they’re staring at a #2 or #3 seed. Is it likely? No, but this is sports where anything can happen. Don’t count your chickens before they hatch.
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I’d be good counting their chickens and then not hatching.
 
#64
#64
Anti-shunshinepumper said:
Maybe not as big of one as one might think.
For sure need some things to bounce our way.
But we control a lot of it, and what we don't is reasonably possible if not likely.

A few things we need to happen for sure :
Alabama to lose to Auburn
Flordia to lose to Alabama
Us to beat Alabama
Us to beat Texas A &M

We may or may not have to win out as well.
If the above teams ( not including us) take other L's besides what is listed above, it could allow us to take an extra L, too.
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We could possibly lose to A&M but then we have to beat everyone else, including Bama here and Ole Miss on the road and there’s a chance we might still need help in that scenario. We wouldn’t need a lot of help but possibly a little.
 
#66
#66
volsack said:
None of this matters. Since 2001, no team has won the tournament that finished the season ranked outside of the top 21 in adjusted offensive efficiency. The lone exception is UCONN in 2014. Tennessee is ranked 37th. A lower seed would help the PR of this team not being that good
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The season isn’t over. We’re now 30th. And don’t forget, winning the title and making a FF are 2 very different things.
 
#67
#67
Dougie_D said:
Still possible that we go 5-1 but we are still on the outside of FL. Need FL to have a worse record than us down the stretch.
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Agreed but only by 1 game. Our schedule has been tougher and our games against them were a wash. If we finish with 6 losses and UF has 5, we will get the 1 over them. Same with 5 and 4.
 
#68
#68
BreatheUT said:
You're an idiot if you think this team closes the season well enough to get a #1 seed.

The top 3 teams in the league are Auburn, Alabama and Florida. Duke and Houston will be in the mix.

This team as gotten swept by Kentucky, still has Alabama and is no better than A&M, Missouri, and possibly even Vanderbilt.

Keep thinking the "but we ranked #5 though" will bring a #1 seed. Tell me what we're ranked on Monday. I will be waiting.
Click to expand...
The committee ranked us as number 5 after the second UK loss. We beat Vandy, although it was a struggle. It’s tight now but we do still control our own destiny.
 
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#69
#69
jasonvol18 said:
We aren't getting a #1 seed, nor do we deserve it. Hell, we may lose today. We still have loses at A'M and Ole Miss coming. Could lose today and to Ala. Could also lose at LSU. We've never played well there. Potentially a 9-10 loss conference record. Plus, add another loss in the SEC tournament.Will be lucky to get a #4 seed at this rate.
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Ha! Good one.
 
#70
#70
BreatheUT said:
Even if we pull a rabbit out the hat today, which appears more improbable with every possession, the Kentucky loss cemented that this team is limited. It's not going to hang with the big dogs consistently enough to threaten for any championship.
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You seem like a good dude from the posts over read of yours over the years but you’re moving goalposts on this one. No one is talking about winning a championship right now.
 
#71
#71
volsack said:
None of this matters. Since 2001, no team has won the tournament that finished the season ranked outside of the top 21 in adjusted offensive efficiency. The lone exception is UCONN in 2014. Tennessee is ranked 37th. A lower seed would help the PR of this team not being that good
Click to expand...
This has to be clarified though. While generally this is true, KP is updated throughout the tournament, too. So, a champion is going to increase its efficiencies while making the run. I don’t know how much it changes, but the numbers need to be pre-tournament.

We moved up to 30 in offense after yesterday. If we hover between 20-25 before the tournament, then we are doing great.
 
#72
#72
BreatheUT said:
You're an idiot if you think this team closes the season well enough to get a #1 seed.

The top 3 teams in the league are Auburn, Alabama and Florida. Duke and Houston will be in the mix.

This team as gotten swept by Kentucky, still has Alabama and is no better than A&M, Missouri, and possibly even Vanderbilt.

Keep thinking the "but we ranked #5 though" will bring a #1 seed. Tell me what we're ranked on Monday. I will be waiting.
Click to expand...
AP ranking has nothing to do with it. The committee released its seeds, and we are 5th. Literally, last night, Lunardi is talking about us moving up if Florida loses. We have more Q1 wins than them. We are right there.
 
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#73
#73
A 2 seed is better if we end up with a 1 Seed out West because of the location and the draw. This is the year that a 1 Seed is not the best choice for us if it is across the country.
 
#74
#74
Sudden Impact said:
A 2 seed is better if we end up with a 1 Seed out West because of the location and the draw. This is the year that a 1 Seed is not the best choice for us if it is across the country.
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This was discussed last year, but I believe the path out west was better for us last year. Bama ended up going to the FF, and we had to go through Purdue. I was favoring being closer to home, but hindsight was that we probably would have been better out west.
 
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