Predicting AP Top 5 as of Monday 2/10

#52
#52
GBO18 said:
Why would Florida jump 3 spots but the the team they beat not drop any?
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Logic would be that Auburn was so far and away #1, that no one has a resume that would deserve to leap frog them considering they lost to a top 10 team.

Florida would jump because Duke is in the acc and will be hurt by any loss. They split with Tennessee.

And I expect the voters to overreact to what is arguably the most impressive win on anyone’s resume this year.

Just so everyone knows, I don’t care about the rankings in the slightest. It’s nice to carry the tag of #1, but I care about the league title, sec tourney and ncaa title. Rankings are just fun
 
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#54
#54
movinonup said:
1 - Bama
2 - Auburn
3 - Tennessee
4 - Duke
5 - Florida

Don't think they are going to allow SEC 1-4.....will keep Duke in the top 4 mix.
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May not, but they should. They are the only team out of those that lost to someone outside the top 25.
Clemson is a #30 NET. Florida is #6 and #5 NET.
Tennessee beat Missouri, #15 and #23 NET.
Bama's only win this week was against a meh Arkansas team, so may not be enough for them to take that top spot. Should tho, since they won and were at 3.
The AP is a weekly up to date poll.
Based on this last week, Duke should drop below Houston who may not have beat anyone special this last week (won 2 games ), but importantly they didn't lose to anyone.
I have a feeling you see 4 SEC teams on top tmmrw when the AP poll comes out.
 
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#56
#56
FWIW, I'm going to add one more thing to this discussion
The AP voters, for better or worse, often look at overall records.
Given that you have,

Auburn 21-2
Alabama 20-3
Florida 20-3
Duke 20-3
Tennessee 20-4
Houston 19-4

They don't just go on record or anything, but at lot of the times I've noticed it be the deciding factor when ranking close teams.
 
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#60
#60
tennrich1 said:
Bama
Vols
Florida
Auburn
Duke
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It will be this. AP swings a lot week to week - just look at what happened to us last week. Auburn getting dominated at home will drop them behind Bama for sure and likely us and UF. UF won’t leapfrog us because of the more recent bludgeoning by us w/o key personnel. Those thinking Aubbie stays at 1 are thinking more along the lines of net ranking as a whole and not AP “hotness.”

If we can somehow escape Rupp w/ a W, then we are sitting pretty with a huge top 5 showdown with Bama coming.
 
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#61
#61
99gator said:
Logic would be that Auburn was so far and away #1, that no one has a resume that would deserve to leap frog them considering they lost to a top 10 team.

Florida would jump because Duke is in the acc and will be hurt by any loss. They split with Tennessee.

And I expect the voters to overreact to what is arguably the most impressive win on anyone’s resume this year.

Just so everyone knows, I don’t care about the rankings in the slightest. It’s nice to carry the tag of #1, but I care about the league title, sec tourney and ncaa title. Rankings are just fun
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If the tourney started today do you think they’d give the last 1 seed to Gators or Vols? Interested to hear your take. Both resumes are deserving IMO
 
#62
#62
Things would have been even juicier had Bama lost. The Gators have blown out AP#1 twice this year, including at Auburn where nobody but Auburn wins. They have a strong argument, but I’m not persuaded it’s strong enough that they would jump from 6 to 2, over a team that just drubbed them by 20 and had two Quad 1 wins this week, but we’ll know soon enough. Leap frogging multiple teams that won is more common in the 10-20 rankings, almost unheard of in the top 5.
 
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#63
#63
CornbreadVol said:
If the tourney started today do you think they’d give the last 1 seed to Gators or Vols? Interested to hear your take. Both resumes are deserving IMO
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I'd probably give it to Tennessee. They have more quality wins at this point.

But, I believe, beyond what occurs the rest of the year, this where the SEC tourney will matter.

Personnally, I think the committee is going to do everything they can to have Houston/Purdue/Michigan State.....anyone else from outside the SEC get a #1 seed to avoid having one conference having 3, #1 seeds. If it's at all possible to do with a straight face.

I really don't care. One of the things that sucks is that even if Florida were the #1 overall seed (in theory), they still are going to have to travel somewhere as there is no tournament site anywhere close to the state. As I stated earlier though, I don't care about seed, I care about bracket.
 
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#64
#64
99gator said:
I'd probably give it to Tennessee. They have more quality wins at this point.

But, I believe, beyond what occurs the rest of the year, this where the SEC tourney will matter.

Personnally, I think the committee is going to do everything they can to have Houston/Purdue/Michigan State.....anyone else from outside the SEC get a #1 seed to avoid having one conference having 3, #1 seeds. If it's at all possible to do with a straight face.

I really don't care. One of the things that sucks is that even if Florida were the #1 overall seed (in theory), they still are going to have to travel somewhere as there is no tournament site anywhere close to the state. As I stated earlier though, I don't care about seed, I care about bracket.
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Agree with everything, but I’ll have to see the SEC tournament make a difference before I believe it does anymore, other than a team on the outside prior and then winning it.
 
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#65
#65
99gator said:
I'd probably give it to Tennessee. They have more quality wins at this point.

But, I believe, beyond what occurs the rest of the year, this where the SEC tourney will matter.

Personnally, I think the committee is going to do everything they can to have Houston/Purdue/Michigan State.....anyone else from outside the SEC get a #1 seed to avoid having one conference having 3, #1 seeds. If it's at all possible to do with a straight face.

I really don't care. One of the things that sucks is that even if Florida were the #1 overall seed (in theory), they still are going to have to travel somewhere as there is no tournament site anywhere close to the state. As I stated earlier though, I don't care about seed, I care about bracket.
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I can see that. Has a conference ever held 3/4 #1 seeds?
 
#70
#70
99gator said:
Personnally, I think the committee is going to do everything they can to have Houston/Purdue/Michigan State.....anyone else from outside the SEC get a #1 seed to avoid having one conference having 3, #1 seeds. If it's at all possible to do with a straight face.
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You are most likely right.
However, it does depend on if they can keep their record good enough. Purdue and Michigan State still have to play each other. If the winner drops a couple more games it will be awful tough for them ,IMO.
Houston probably has the best chance.
They still have Arizona, Texas Tech, Baylor ×2, and Iowa State to play. All but Baylor is ranked, but Baylor is #26 Net and sitting right outside top 25 rankings now. They could be ranked by season's end.
If I had to guess they end up with that #1 seed because their Net will be right up at the top.
Provided they win the games they have in front of them of course.
They have room for a little slip but not much. They will end up with a much better resume than Purdue or Michigan State.
 
#71
#71
99gator said:
I'd probably give it to Tennessee. They have more quality wins at this point.

But, I believe, beyond what occurs the rest of the year, this where the SEC tourney will matter.

Personnally, I think the committee is going to do everything they can to have Houston/Purdue/Michigan State.....anyone else from outside the SEC get a #1 seed to avoid having one conference having 3, #1 seeds. If it's at all possible to do with a straight face.

I really don't care. One of the things that sucks is that even if Florida were the #1 overall seed (in theory), they still are going to have to travel somewhere as there is no tournament site anywhere close to the state. As I stated earlier though, I don't care about seed, I care about bracket.
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Hogwash. The committee will reward the four most deserving teams based on the metrics with the four #1 seeds. There have been three #1 seeds from the same conference before - 2009 and 2019 - so there's already precedent that they will do the right thing versus any sort of bogus conspiracy that some of our fans like to formulate.
 
#72
#72
99gator said:
Logic would be that Auburn was so far and away #1, that no one has a resume that would deserve to leap frog them considering they lost to a top 10 team.

Florida would jump because Duke is in the acc and will be hurt by any loss. They split with Tennessee.

And I expect the voters to overreact to what is arguably the most impressive win on anyone’s resume this year.

Just so everyone knows, I don’t care about the rankings in the slightest. It’s nice to carry the tag of #1, but I care about the league title, sec tourney and ncaa title. Rankings are just fun
Click to expand...
My thoughts exactly.
 
#74
#74
VolCalls said:
Hogwash. The committee will reward the four most deserving teams based on the metrics with the four #1 seeds. There have been three #1 seeds from the same conference before - 2009 and 2019 - so there's already precedent that they will do the right thing versus any sort of bogus conspiracy that some of our fans like to formulate.
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You don’t need a conspiracy to have aligned interests or bias. In the rare years when they’ve chosen three teams from the same conference, the data was insurmountable. They do not want three from the same conference, but will acquiesce if they have to.
 
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#75
#75
Several have suggested Auburn should remain #1. I think you're not wrong if the AP followed the 'body of work' approach. Instead they almost always follow the 'What have you done for me lately?' model; you lose, you drop. That said, no one else is close to Auburn's Quad resume'. I wouldn't argue if they're still #1 today, but I think they'll likely drop a spot. They're still probably the best team overall, but getting absolutely manhandled at home is also worth paying attention to; exposes vulnerabilities. It's about where teams are right now, and maybe they're getting tired as the season waxes old. Should be interesting.
 
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