Predicting AP Top 5 as of Monday 2/10

#76
#76
All Vol! said:
Several have suggested Auburn should remain #1. I think you're not wrong if the AP followed the 'body of work' approach. Instead they almost always follow the 'What have you done for me lately?' approach; you lose, you drop. That said, no one else is close to Auburn's Quad resume'. I wouldn't argue if they're still #1 today, but I think they'll likely drop a spot. They're still probably the best team overall, but getting absolutely manhandled at home is also worth paying attention to; exposes vulnerabilities. It's about where teams are right now, and maybe they're getting tired as the season waxes old. Should be interesting.
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Auburn will not be number one when polls come out today regardless resume. All bout what u done last . I can see Auburn being anywhere from number 2 and as low as number 4….
 
#77
#77
Bigorangefan 98 said:
Auburn will not be number one when polls come out today regardless resume. All bout what u done last . I can see Auburn being anywhere from number 2 and as low as number 4….
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You may be right, but wouldn't surprise me if the only thing that changed in the polls was Duke and Alabama swapping 2-3 and Houston and Florida swapping 5-6.
 
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#79
#79
1. Auburn (Auburn is still 21-2 with a 12-2 record in Q1 even after the loss to Florida.-)-
2. bama
3. Tennessee
4.Duke
5. Fla. 4 of the top 5 from the SEC. Never seen such before.
 
#80
#80
I think in the AP (media) poll, you will likely see some combination of Auburn/Bama at #1 and #2 because the media loves 1-2 matchups and the hype and intrigue they create. And given that Bama and Auburn play each other this week, it's exactly what they will get.

Duke plays a weak schedule, and despite having a solid record and good metrics, they should be punished any time they lose, especially to an unranked team, by seeing a rankings drop, similar to how Gonzaga has been treated in the polls over the last 5 years, or so.

Florida is an interesting case. They beat Tennessee by 30, then lost by 20. They have two of the most impressive wins in the country, both over #1s, and no bad losses, but also haven't done a lot outside of those 2 wins; just 4-3 in Q1 games and a pitiful OOC schedule. Tennessee's isn't much better OOC, but are at least 8-4 in Q1 games which is good for 2nd most in the country.

I'll not be surprised to see the following in the media poll, at least...
1. Auburn
2. Alabama
3. Tennessee
4. Florida
5. Duke

And in my opinion 1/2 could be flipped, but in either case will be very close. And the same will be true of 3/4. I could also make a reasonable case for Houston over Duke at 5, but it just feels like Duke will get the nod because they're Duke. Houston also has a Q2 loss while Duke doesn't, and Duke has a stronger OOC schedule.
 
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#81
#81
cncchris33 said:
I think in the AP (media) poll, you will likely see some combination of Auburn/Bama at #1 and #2 because the media loves 1-2 matchups and the hype and intrigue they create. And given that Bama and Auburn play each other this week, it's exactly what they will get.

Duke plays a weak schedule, and despite having a solid record and good metrics, they should be punished any time they lose, especially to an unranked team, by seeing a rankings drop, similar to how Gonzaga has been treated in the polls over the last 5 years, or so.

Florida is an interesting case. They beat Tennessee by 30, then lost by 20. They have two of the most impressive wins in the country, both over #1s, and no bad losses, but also haven't done a lot outside of those 2 wins; just 4-3 in Q1 games and a pitiful OOC schedule. Tennessee's isn't much better OOC, but are at least 8-4 in Q1 games which is good for 2nd most in the country.

I'll not be surprised to see the following in the media poll, at least...
1. Auburn
2. Alabama
3. Tennessee
4. Florida
5. Duke

And in my opinion 1/2 could be flipped, but in either case will be very close. And the same will be true of 3/4. I could also make a reasonable case for Houston over Duke at 5, but it just feels like Duke will get the nod because they're Duke. Houston also has a Q2 loss while Duke doesn't, and Duke has a stronger OOC schedule.
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I like Tennessee at the 3. Some ( pundits) are saying Florida to the 3 and us behind them.
Some have us going to 5. I just don't see them dropping Tennessee when we won two games. They haven't been dropping that top 4 all year without a loss. Not to mention Flordia won just one once last week ( granted a big one) and we hammered them just a couple weeks ago.
 
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#84
#84
Anti-shunshinepumper said:
I like Tennessee at the 3. Some ( pundits) are saying Florida to the 3 and us behind them.
Some have us going to 5. I just don't see them dropping Tennessee when we won two games. They haven't been dropping that top 4 all year without a loss. Not to mention Flordia won just one once last week ( granted a big one) and we hammered them just a couple weeks ago.
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I, too, have a hard time seeing Tennessee dropping after two pretty solid Q1 wins, one a blowout road win against an NCAAT team. Duke's only two jewels in their crown over Tennessee's résumé is road record and one less loss. Tennessee has 3 more Q1 wins, a better neutral site record, and a better overall SOS thanks to the SEC vs the ACC. If Duke isn't punished for losing to an unranked ACC team by a precipitous drop in the rankings, then the only logical reason is because they're Duke. 5th in the rankings should be their ceiling after losing to Clemson. Not an embarrassing loss by any means, but it's a loss in a weak conference (#5 in NET). Louisville is the 2nd highest ACC team in KenPom rankings at #28 followed by Clemson at #29. For comparison, there are 8 SEC teams in the KenPom top-25.
 
#93
#93
Updated AP top 10:

1. Auburn
2. Alabama
3. Florida
4. Duke
5. Tennessee
6. Houston
7. Purdue
8. Texas A&M
9. St. John's
10. Iowa State
 
#95
#95
Czarcasm said:
Updated AP top 10:

1. Auburn
2. Alabama
3. Florida
4. Duke
5. Tennessee
6. Houston
7. Purdue
8. Texas A&M
9. St. John's
10. Iowa State
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Wow...Duke gets the regal vote, of course. I guess playing in a garbage conference and taking a loss to an unranked team comes with little consequence if you are Duke.
 
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#97
#97
Thing is this poll wont really mean much for a few more weeks as UT plays Kentucky this week, Bama plays Auburn 2 more times. By the end of the season it will be hard for more than 3-4 SEC teams to be in the top 10 simply because they play each other. UT, Florida and one of either Auburn/Bama have the best chance to remain in the top 5 based on what they have left to play.

Florida has pretty much went through its gauntlet already with only @bama at end of season left as one they wont be favored in. Maybe 1 more loss best case?

UT has Kentucky and A&M on the road and Bama at home left. 1-2 losses best case?

Auburn has Bama twice and Kentucky and A&M on the road. until proven otherwise I give them 1-2 losses worst case. Best case they sweep.

Bama gets Auburn twice play UT on the road and host Florida. They also have to see Kentucky and missou. I see 3 losses in that stretch.

But the AP poll is kinda nuts.. the SEC even beating itself up still stands above because we owned OOC.... There are gonna be teams that will be in the top 25 this week with 7-8 losses. There will be 7 or more loss teams getting 1 seeds in the tourney this year..

UT just has to get no more than 2 losses the rest of regular season and advance at least to the semi-finals in the SEC tourney to lock down a 1 seed. But some crazy stuff could happen.

Bama Sweeps Auburn but loses 2-3 other games.
Auburn Sweeps Bama but loses 2-3 other games.
Kentucky goes hogwild and Sweeps their remaining schedule beating UT, Bama and Auburn. And Auburn Bama split their series.
Florida cant really cause much chaos as they only have the road game against Bama and A&M left as top 10 games.
A&M on the other hand could probably cause the most chaos as they play UT, Florida and Auburn.

This season is gonna be wild.
 
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