No we don't..we want it bad, but that is different. We are not beating UK with Cade out. He is the difference...the backups kill the offense.
I don't understand why so many people are "expecting" a win against them...this is not your typical crap Kentucky program, they are a good, solid, well coached and prepared team.
If the coaches pull it off it will just be further proof that they are doing an outstanding job, however losing the game only reinforces the fact that they are bringing a knife to a gunfight against the better SEC teams.
Even with a patchwork O-Line, we only had 1 turnover against Alabama and scored 24pts.
Here's how Alabama and Kentucky's defenses compare in SEC rank (Bama / UK):
Interceptions - (T-1st / 14th)
Fumbles Rec - (T-10th / 13th)
Sacks - (5th / 12th)
Tackles - (T-5th / 12th)
Tot Yds/Game - (2nd / 3rd)
Pass Yds/Game - (9th / T-6th)
Rush Yds/Game - (2nd / 4th)
Points - (5th / 3rd)
What that says to me is that Kentucky's defense isn't super disruptive and doesn't get in the backfield often. But they are disciplined and probably don't allow many yards after contact or catch.
I would expect to score at least 20 offensive points on them. The difference is that their offense is one of the worst in the SEC. UK offense ranks 11th in scoring, 7th in rushing, 13th in passing. Their clear and obvious strength is rushing, which happens to be the strength of our defense (8th - bulk of the damage done to us is mobile quarterbacks and IDK if Levis fits that bill) along with making stops in the backfield.
On paper, and based on how the group performed most recently, I'm not super concerned with our offense's ability to score on Kentucky. And I like our D-Line's matchup with their running backs. I think that'll be the dogfight to watch in this game that will decide who wins. Not Cade.
But I'm with you on everything else. Heupel shouldn't be expected to win this game on the road, but it's the best upset chance of the season (even better than the chances against Ole Miss imo).