So here are the facts about Rick Barnes in Tournament:
2017/2018 #3 seed, lost to Loyola in Second Round off a last minute 3 pointer. Loyola went on to Final Four
2018/2019 #2 seed, lost #3 seed Purdue in overtime (This is the roughest loss, in my opinion, as I thought this team was the real deal)
2020/2021 #5 seed, lost to #12 seed Oregon State BAD. No excuse here
2021/2022 #3 seed, lost to #11 Michigan in the 2nd round, no excuses here
2022/2023 #4 seed, lost to #9 Florida Atlantic (who went to Final Four)
There is one consistency with all the teams except the 2022/2023 team (last year), they all fell ONE GAME short of the seed. The 2022/2023 lived up to their seed.
Going off that results, we are a Sweet 16 or Elite 8 team (more likely Sweet 16 finish).
To me, the 2018/2019 and the 2021/2022 teams bothered me the most as I bought into those teams and thought they were good enough to make runs.
We also have a knack for running into and losing to Cinderellas (Loyola and Florida Atlantic; even Oregon State and Michigan went on runs).