in addition to your numerous qualities, can we now add fortune teller to your resume?
a lot is going to happen between now and election day, but why declare the thing over before it really gets started?
Lol. Obviously not. Hyperbole.
But the writing is on the wall.
1) In 2010 the Republicans had an amazing serge of momentum behind the tea party movement and regained control of the House of Representatives by a wide margin. State houses experienced the same thing. People were outraged by Obamacare and Obama's popularity was waning fast.
2) Republican primaries roll around. The heavy hitters of the Republican Party (Chris Christie, etc) who could easily mount a campaign to overcome Obama bow out of the race. The GOP is stuck with a bunch of lack luster candidates.
3) The GOP eventually nominates Romney. Mr. flip-flopper himself. The base is not at all happy about this pick. They just figure in their minds that he might be able to get some independent vote to oust Obama. Let's not mention the fact that he is a mutlimillion dollar CEO at a time when distrust for CEO's is unprecedented and is absolutely awkward in his interactions. Smart move.
4) Meanwhile, Obama is enacting the Dream Act. Smart political move to get Hispanic vote; particularly in the swing state of Florida.
5) Tax returns. A non-issue that has blown up. Romney could have released his tax returns and it would have passed within a couple news cycles had nothing devastating been in them like he claims. Team Obama has been able successfully paint him as a sleazy and deceptive CEO out of touch with the American public. At the start of his nomination, Romney enjoyed a slight lead over the Obama. Such should be expected in an economy such as ours and on the heels of the 2010 mid-terms. Since his nomination, he has went from a slight edge to a solid underdog. Although that does not matter nationally. However, he is behind in all the key swing states. He, and the GOP's shot at the White House, just keeps dropping like a rock since the mid-terms.
6) Romneycare. Opps, I mean Obamacare. Wait, is there a difference? Why the hell would the GOP nominate this clown? He can't possibly talk about Obamacare in a negative light without being a hypocrite. Oh, and to the response from Romney's press secretary that Romney was indirectly responsible for a woman who succumbed to cancer, To that point, if people had been in Massachusetts, under Governor Romneys health care plan, they would have had health care. You can bet you @$$ that Obama will replay the sh*t out of that clip in future ads. smh
7) Then comes his VP. Instead of picking someone that can help in November, he is forced to choose a guy to help shore up his base. However, that has consequences. Ryan is the author of a very detailed budget plan, Medicare overhaul, and co-sponsored a House Bill to extend Constitutional Rights to a single-celled fertilized egg. Es no bueno. Why would you want to tie yourself to a specific budget during a campaign? It's damn near political suicide. Hell, the Team Obama have been trying their damnest to tie Romney to Ryan's plan well before Romney announced Ryan as his VP. Do you find it a coincidence that Romney, within a day, has already tried to distance himself from Ryan's plan? The second one is highly unpopular with seniors and will probably cost him the state of Florida; which is game over. The last one has been defeated pretty handily all across the country and is super unpopular among women.
If the election were held today, Obama would win easily. That is fact; acknowledged by both sides at the moment. Obama's campaign has all the momentum at the moment. That is fact. Romney and the GOP are hoping the announcement of Ryan and the GOP Convention are going to turn things around.
Could something major happen between now and November? Certainly. Romney almost certainly needs something of that scale to happen at this point. However, if things continue as they "normally" should in an election cycle, Obama is president for another four years.