***UPDATED PLAYOFF PREDICTIONS POST SATURDAY GAMES***

#77
#77
JMSqb11 said:
Georgia will not and should not get penalized for losing the SEC Title game just because its a 3rd loss
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I don't get what yall mean by penalized. If you mean still make the playoffs, of course they should still make the playoffs, but that's based off current rank position. Nobody will clamor for the Big12 loser to make the playoffs because of where they are currently ranked. In UGA's case, it's literally the same thing as a team that doesnt play a CCG because they're ranked high enough not to fall out the top 12. So they'll still make the playoffs with an L, which means they're not penalized. But that doesn't mean u shouldn't fall in the rankings with a loss. You shouldn't get to hold the same spot after a loss no matter where it happens.
 
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#78
#78
OrangeEtBlanc said:
The committee likely sets it up where the winner/loser of the BIG & SEC CCGs are interchangeable in their final seeding. For instance, the Oregon & Penn State winner will be #1 and the loser will be seed #5. Texas & Georgia will probably be seeds #2 & #6 or 7. Doesn’t punish the lower-ranked loser of the CCGs.

The SMU & Clemson matchup is different. If SMU wins, Miami will remain in the field. If Clemson wins, SMU drops to where Miami is while the Hurricanes drop out. I think Miami will be the “last team in” on Tuesday for just this scenario.

The thing that could really shake-up the CFP is a Clemson victory. After losing to USC this weekend, they will drop further in the rankings, definitely behind Arizona State & Iowa State. Thus, if they win the ACCCG, they would likely be the lowest-ranked conference champion.

Boise St, should they win against UNLV, would be the 3 seed, with the Big 12 winner the 4th. Clemson would be the 12 seed.

Even wilder is if both Clemson AND UNLV win their conference championship games. Does that knock Boise St out of the playoffs? You could potentially see the Arizona State/Iowa State winner at 3, Clemson at 4, and UNLV at 12. THAT would be come chaos.
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I don’t think people are ready for a field that includes 3 ACC teams.

I for one think if Clemson wins, Miami vs Indiana will be up for the final spot in.

I will be very interested to see if Indiana is ranked ahead of Miami on Tuesday. Because no one with a brain thinks Miami is a worse team than Indiana.
 
#79
#79
NATHAN05 said:

USA Today has us up one and hosting OSU.......I think this makes the most sense assuming the conference games go as expected. Even though UGA struggled on Friday, they own H2H.​

bracket projections: Live updates​

Here's a live projection of the 12-team CFP as Week 14 games become finalized:

Last updated Saturday, Nov. 30 at 11:33 p.m. ET. Records reflected on Week 14 results.

  1. Oregon (12-0)
  2. Texas (11-1)
  3. SMU (11-1)
  4. Boise State (11-1)
  5. Penn State (11-1)
  6. Notre Dame (11-1)
  7. Georgia (10-2)
  8. Tennessee (10-2)
  9. Ohio State (10-2)
  10. Indiana (11-1)
  11. Miami (10-2)
  12. Arizona State (10-2)
TENNESSEE SECURES CFP SPOT: Tennessee looked to be on upset alert early against Vanderbilt, but the Vols staved off a 14-0 deficit and routed the Commodores 36-23 in Nashville. The win, coupled with Ohio State's loss, gives UT a chance to host a playoff game at Neyland Stadium.



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FROM BLEACHER REPORT, SHOWING US HOSTING OSU:

No. 1 Oregon (Big Ten Champion)
No. 2 Texas (SEC Champion)
No. 3 SMU (ACC Champion)
No. 4 Boise State (Best Group of 5 Champion)
No. 12 Arizona State vs. No. 5 Penn State
No. 11 Miami vs. No. 6 Notre Dame
No. 10 Indiana vs. No. 7 Georgia
No. 9 Ohio State vs. No. 8 Tennessee


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COLLEGE FOOTBALL NETWORK HAS US HOSTING INDIANA:

College Football Playoff Predictions | First Round​

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MSN SPORTS HAS US HOSTING OSU AS WELL:
ast updated Saturday, Nov. 30 at 11:33 p.m. ET. Records reflected on Week 14 results.

  1. Oregon (12-0)
  2. Texas (11-1)
  3. SMU (11-1)
  4. Boise State (11-1)
  5. Penn State (11-1)
  6. Notre Dame (11-1)
  7. Georgia (10-2)
  8. Tennessee (10-2)
  9. Ohio State (10-2)
  10. Indiana (11-1)
  11. Miami (10-2)
  12. Arizona State (10-2)
* bolded teams denote shift (up/down) in the projected CFP bracket from current CFP bracket.
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ESPN COLLEGE FOOTBALL HAS US HOSTING OSU.........PRETTY GOOD ARGUMENTS FOR THIS BRACKET ACTUALLY



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CBS SPORTS HAS OSU HOSTING TENNESSEE:

First round​

DateLocationProjectionWinner faces
Dec. 20 or 21Darrell K Royal Memorial Stadium
Austin, Texas		(5) Texas vs. (12) Miami(4) Boise State
Dec. 20 or 21Ohio Stadium
Columbus, Ohio		(8) Ohio State vs. (9) Tennessee(1) Oregon
Dec. 20 or 21Beaver Stadium
State College, Pennsylvania		(6) Penn State vs. (11) Indiana(3) SMU
Dec. 20 or 21Notre Dame Stadium
South Bend, Indiana		(7) Notre Dame vs. (10) Arizona State(2) Georgia

Despite the fact that the Wolverines are only 7-5, I don't expect the Buckeyes to fall too far in the rankings because of the loss. No. 10 Indiana is the absolute floor for them because of Ohio State's dominant win over the Hoosiers just one week ago. However, I am projecting them to be ahead of 8th-ranked Tennessee as well, which is due to the fact that the Buckeyes have two top-10 wins, one of which came on the road. ~ Jerry Palm, CBS SPORTS

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THE SPORTING NEWS HAS OSU HOSTING TENNESSEE:

No. 9 Tennessee (10-2, SEC at-large) at No. 8 Ohio State (10-2, Big Ten at-large)​

This is the one where the SEC school has to go to the Big Ten environment. This is where the Buckeyes will fall – at least for this week. The 13-10 loss to Michigan in The Game poses a psychological hurdle, but a first-round home game in the new format is a consequence. That is not as drastic as years' past, even in the four-team setup. Tennessee beat Vanderbilt 36-23. Nico Iamaleava (18 of 26, 257 yards, 4 TDs, INT) and running back Dylan Sampson (25-178) led the way. These teams have not played since the 1996 Citrus Bowl.

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View attachment 702284
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It doesn’t matter until after next week. We will be no worse than 8 seed.
 
#80
#80
There are 4 slots available for hosting a game. ND is getting one. Loser of Oregon and PSU will get another. I think if Texas loses, they will get another, if Georgia loses, they will slide behind us with 3 losses. The wild card is OSU and will they slide behind us this week? If they do, then we are guaranteed a home game. If they slot OSU ahead of us, I think we have to root for Texas to win the SEC.
 
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#81
#81
901 Orange said:
I don't get what yall mean by penalized. If you mean still make the playoffs, of course they should still make the playoffs, but that's based off current rank position. Nobody will clamor for the Big12 loser to make the playoffs because of where they are currently ranked. In UGA's case, it's literally the same thing as a team that doesnt play a CCG because they're ranked high enough not to fall out the top 12. So they'll still make the playoffs with an L, which means they're not penalized. But that doesn't mean u shouldn't fall in the rankings with a loss. You shouldn't get to hold the same spot after a loss no matter where it happens.
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I keep seeing people invoking the Big 12 and ACC in this and its absolutely moronic.

Georgia is already in the playoff before the SEC title game kicks off.... That game is meaningless to the two teams in it as they are already in the field.

The Big 12 title teams (ISU and ASU) are not in the field as it stands now on ranking. They are playing for one spot. Therefore the loser of that game had no shot coming into the title game to still be an at large and they have will have no shot as an at large.

Since Georgia is in the playoff already, they are not going to be penalized by losing the SEC Title game and losing a host seed.

The CFP will not penalize Georgia for losing a meaningless game.
 
#82
#82
JMSqb11 said:
I don’t think people are ready for a field that includes 3 ACC teams.

I for one think if Clemson wins, Miami vs Indiana will be up for the final spot in.

I will be very interested to see if Indiana is ranked ahead of Miami on Tuesday. Because no one with a brain thinks Miami is a worse team than Indiana.
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Yeah, only 2 of SMU, Miami, and Clemson will make it in. Miami needs to be big SMU fans next Saturday because I think the Hurricanes are out with a Clemson win. I don’t think the committee will drop 1-loss Indiana out for a Miami team that just lost a second time and failed to make their CCG.
 
#83
#83
This is my personal one
1.) Oregon
2.) UGA/Texas
3.) SMU
4.) Boise/ASU
5.) ND
6.)PSU
7.) Tennessee
8.) OSU
9.) UGA/Texas
10.) Indiana
11.) Boise/ASU
12.) one of Miami/Scar/Bama/Ole miss/ SMU (if they were to lose to Clemson)
This is assuming Oregon doesn’t blow out PSU
 
#84
#84
I don't understand why people suddenly believe losing the conference championship game is meaningless, when it's been very meaningful from this same playoff committee in the past. Neither Georgia nor PSU will get to host if they lose the championship game. How would 2 loss PSU get to host over 2 loss OSU, who beat them in their own building? Why would 3 loss Georgia get to stay ranked the same or move up, by losing and being one of maybe two teams with 3 losses in the entire field?
 
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#85
#85
JMSqb11 said:
I keep seeing people invoking the Big 12 and ACC in this and its absolutely moronic.

Georgia is already in the playoff before the SEC title game kicks off.... That game is meaningless to the two teams in it as they are already in the field.

The Big 12 title teams (ISU and ASU) are not in the field as it stands now on ranking. They are playing for one spot. Therefore the loser of that game had no shot coming into the title game to still be an at large and they have will have no shot as an at large.

Since Georgia is in the playoff already, they are not going to be penalized by losing the SEC Title game and losing a host seed.

The CFP will not penalize Georgia for losing a meaningless game.
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You literally just said the exact thing I'm saying. UGA is ranked highly enough that the SECCG outcome doesn't matter for them. Same as Penn St. If they're in regardless they're not penalized for losing. The ACC and Big12 losers aren't ranked high enough for this to apply to them. Dropping in the rankings and dropping out of the Playoffs are 2 different things. Any loss should drop you IN the rankings, and has for generations. So yes UGA is in with 3 losses but that doesn't mean they can't be ranked 8th-12th. I don't see them putting a 3 loss team ahead of any 1 or 2 loss teams. So UGA would be the highest ranked 3 loss team.
 
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#86
#86
VolFanNC09 said:
There are 4 slots available for hosting a game. ND is getting one. Loser of Oregon and PSU will get another. I think if Texas loses, they will get another, if Georgia loses, they will slide behind us with 3 losses. The wild card is OSU and will they slide behind us this week? If they do, then we are guaranteed a home game. If they slot OSU ahead of us, I think we have to root for Texas to win the SEC.
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I think this is where we are at, this is how it will play out
 
#87
#87
TNBV said:
Doubt Clemson or SMU is seeded or ranked above us if Clemson wins. The winner would be an automatic qualifier but not necessarily one of the top four ranked conference champs.
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This is according to ESPN:

A refresher on the rules for the 12-team playoff: The field will consist of the top five conference champions – as ranked by the CFP committee – as well as the next seven highest ranked at-large schools. The top four conference champions will be seeded Nos. 1-4 and will receive a first-round bye. The fifth conference champion will be seeded by its CFP ranking. If that ranking is outside of the top 12 it will be seeded 12th
 
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#90
#90
VolFanNC09 said:
There are 4 slots available for hosting a game. ND is getting one. Loser of Oregon and PSU will get another. I think if Texas loses, they will get another, if Georgia loses, they will slide behind us with 3 losses. The wild card is OSU and will they slide behind us this week? If they do, then we are guaranteed a home game. If they slot OSU ahead of us, I think we have to root for Texas to win the SEC.
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PSU could fall below us if they get boat raced by the Ducks, say 56-14, which could happen. ND is a lock for 5 or 6. I don't know who to pull for in SEC game. If its close, don't see either the Dawgs or Texas falling below us. Like you say we really need OSU to fall to 9 with this weeks rankings. Hosting would really help our chances of advancing out of the first round. Neyland at night would be great for TV too. If the CC games are anything like the last two weeks it will be fun and chaotic.
 
#92
#92
Here is where Espn's 13 so called "experts" have Tennessee ranked:

7 "experts" say 8th
4 say 9th
2 say 10th

One who has us at a 10th seed, has South Carolina at an 8th seed
 
#94
#94
VolArmy74 said:
I don't understand why people suddenly believe losing the conference championship game is meaningless, when it's been very meaningful from this same playoff committee in the past. Neither Georgia nor PSU will get to host if they lose the championship game. How would 2 loss PSU get to host over 2 loss OSU, who beat them in their own building? Why would 3 loss Georgia get to stay ranked the same or move up, by losing and being one of maybe two teams with 3 losses in the entire field?
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You keep bringing up UGA last year, but that was an entirely different scenario. Yes, they dropped five spots after losing the SEC championship game, but the teams they fell behind had won conference championships. They did not fall behind any team that either lost a conference championship game or sat out entirely.
 
#95
#95
Go47 said:
Dinich has us at 9 and playing in the road at Ohio State.

I suspect that’s what happens.
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OSU lost AT HOME to a bad MIchigan team, on Senior Day. Senior Day! They don't deserve to host. Danny W needs to make sure Sankey drives this home. Can't let BIG10 bias win this one.
 
#96
#96
Boston Vol said:
You keep bringing up UGA last year, but that was an entirely different scenario. Yes, they dropped five spots after losing the SEC championship game, but the teams they fell behind had won conference championships. They did not fall behind any team that either lost a conference championship game or sat out entirely.
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Ohio State jumped Oregon last year, while not playing in a CG, with Oregon losing to Washington in theirs. A CG loser has never not fallen in the CFP poll. Let alone went up in the rankings, as some have UGA rising to the 5 seed after a SECCG loss.
 
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#97
#97
JMSqb11 said:
I keep seeing people invoking the Big 12 and ACC in this and its absolutely moronic.

Georgia is already in the playoff before the SEC title game kicks off.... That game is meaningless to the two teams in it as they are already in the field.

The Big 12 title teams (ISU and ASU) are not in the field as it stands now on ranking. They are playing for one spot. Therefore the loser of that game had no shot coming into the title game to still be an at large and they have will have no shot as an at large.

Since Georgia is in the playoff already, they are not going to be penalized by losing the SEC Title game and losing a host seed.

The CFP will not penalize Georgia for losing a meaningless game.
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Championships are NEVER meaningless. Ever. At any level.

Stupid post
 
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#98
#98
Ohio State nearly lost to a true freshman QB at home vs Nebraska, who is barely bowl eligible. But I guess we’re just going to gloss over that.
 
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