2024 Official Seed List Watch Party Thread

#302
#302
I went back and forth but then I settled on rooting for Baylor. The rest of their schedule is no cake walk. I see at least one more loss after this game, probably two.
 
#303
#303
Lunardi once again on GameDay stated Arizona is almost a lock for the 4th top seed.
 
#304
#304
TheMookieMonster said:
Think it depends. Houston winning helps our floor, because Baylor who is fighting for a 2-seed would have another loss. But if Baylor wins you give yourself an outside shot at Houston, if they lose another game or two after it, falling off the 1-seed line.

Pick your poison.
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Houston is 9-3 v Tier 1, I'm not sure they're close to dropping to a 2 seed.
 
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#306
#306
kckempf said:
Houston is 9-3 v Tier 1, I'm not sure they're close to dropping to a 2 seed.
Click to expand...

Probably not. But if they falter down the stretch they could. I wouldn’t place a bet on it, as it’s really unlikely. But it’s not out of the question. Cheering for them is probably the better choice.
 
#308
#308
berryvol said:
He’s probably assuming they win out. Even with their easier schedule, it would be near impossible to drop them with no losses.
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They are pretty likely to win out, though they have a Q2 and a Q3 loss already. It's just weird to see him call them a lock, since he would really have to project the next two weeks to do that, and his schtick is who-is-in-right-now, not predicting game results. Tennessee winning out and having 9-5 Q1 vs Arizona with 7-4 Q1 doesn't feel like a lock to me. 9-4 Q1 record is also still possible for Kansas. Arizona's the most likely of those three to win the remaining games but a lock sounds strong to me.
 
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#309
#309
kckempf said:
They are pretty likely to win out, though they have a Q2 and a Q3 loss already. It's just weird to see him call them a lock, since he would really have to project the next two weeks to do that, and his schtick is who-is-in-right-now, not predicting game results. Tennessee winning out and having 9-5 Q1 vs Arizona with 7-4 Q1 doesn't feel like a lock to me. 9-4 Q1 record is also still possible for Kansas. Arizona's the most likely of those three to win the remaining games but a lock sounds strong to me.
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If we won out, we’d be the final 1 seed. But Lunardi is also probably taking that into consideration - it’s a very low % we win out. I personally think we’d have the better resume if we finish 4-1, but is that enough to jump a team that is in front of us and goes 4-0, albeit to lesser competition, during the same span? I think likely no, but time will tell.
 
#310
#310
berryvol said:
If we won out, we’d be the final 1 seed. But Lunardi is also probably taking that into consideration - it’s a very low % we win out. I personally think we’d have the better resume if we finish 4-1, but is that enough to jump a team that is in front of us and goes 4-0, albeit to lesser competition, during the same span? I think likely no, but time will tell.
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I think you're right, I just find it funny that they're giving him enough screen time to make score predictions as well as bracket predictions, though he wouldn't be the worst talking head they let do that.
 
#311
#311
12:00pm: Houston vs. Baylor ✅
2:00pm: Washington vs. Arizona ❌
2:00pm: West Virginia vs. Iowa State ❌
2:00pm: Duke vs. Wake Forest ✅
2:15pm: Iowa vs. Illinois ❌
4:00pm: North Carolina vs. Virginia
4:00pm: Alabama vs. Kentucky
6:00pm: Texas vs. Kansas
6:00pm: Auburn vs. Georgia
8:00pm: Villanova vs. Connecticut
10:00pm: San Diego State vs. Fresno State
 
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#312
#312
TheMookieMonster said:
12:00pm: Houston vs. Baylor ✅
2:00pm: Washington vs. Arizona ❌
2:00pm: West Virginia vs. Iowa State ❌
2:00pm: Duke vs. Wake Forest ✅
2:15pm: Iowa vs. Illinois ❌
4:00pm: North Carolina vs. Virginia
4:00pm: Alabama vs. Kentucky
6:00pm: Texas vs. Kansas
6:00pm: Auburn vs. Georgia
8:00pm: Villanova vs. Connecticut
10:00pm: San Diego State vs. Fresno State
Click to expand...
Kentucky beating Bama is looking really good right now
 
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#316
#316
TheMookieMonster said:
12:00pm: Houston vs. Baylor ✅
2:00pm: Washington vs. Arizona ❌
2:00pm: West Virginia vs. Iowa State ❌
2:00pm: Duke vs. Wake Forest ✅
2:15pm: Iowa vs. Illinois ❌
4:00pm: North Carolina vs. Virginia
4:00pm: Alabama vs. Kentucky
6:00pm: Texas vs. Kansas
6:00pm: Auburn vs. Georgia
8:00pm: Villanova vs. Connecticut
10:00pm: San Diego State vs. Fresno State
Click to expand...
Not much help in front of us in regards to 1 seed, but behind us almost all the 3’s lost making a 2 that much more likely as our floor with a win tonight.
 
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#319
#319
ThatVolGuy said:
I am going to sh*t a brick if we find a way to win out (yes I know, unlikely) and Lunardi tells everyone that Tennessee being a 1 seed just “isn’t part of the narrative” like he did a few years back.

Such a punchable face.
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agree, but i really think we can win out.... and if we dont get the last number 1 seed... what a joke. i really think we go 3 - 1 last 4 games, we are a number 1 seed, down fall of that we proably go west.
 
#320
#320
The bama game is going to be very hard. We'll have to play an excellent game, strong defense and shoot well to win
at bama with a stoked crowd yelling for blood.
 
#322
#322
I don't know Az remaining sched. but we need to win all 4 so there will
be no doubt what our seed is.

I think we keep a 2 seed if we go 2-2 over the next 4.

4-0 gives 1 seed
3-1 gives 1/2 seed
2-2 gives 2 seed
1-3 gives 2/3 seed
0-4 gives 3 seed

my thoughts.
 
#323
#323
Dougie_D said:
Are we a 2 seed because AZ has to be in the West?
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Arizona has a little bit better resume than us right now. They will almost certainly put Arizona in the west as either the 1 or 2 seed. We would probably need to win out regular season and AZ lose at least 1 to pass them for the West 1 seed.
 
#324
#324
wtmvol said:
Arizona has a little bit better resume than us right now. They will almost certainly put Arizona in the west as either the 1 or 2 seed. We would probably need to win out regular season and AZ lose at least 1 to pass them for the West 1 seed.
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I agree with this. I also believe we’ve locked up a 2-seed barring an 0-4 finish.
 
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#325
#325
Dougie_D said:
Are we a 2 seed because AZ has to be in the West?
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Arizona doesn’t “have” to be in the West, but they will be because it’s their natural region and the three teams currently above them are in dither natural regions: UConn (East), Purdue (Midwest), and Houston (South). If a team like UCLA or Washington was ahead of them on the 1-seed line, it would bump Arizona elsewhere.
 
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